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💡 Described strategy
Analysed 17 Aug 2026, 03:25 PM IST
★½☆☆☆ 1.5 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (buying)Intraday SupertrendPivot points

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “EXIT & TRAILING LOGIC: - Target 1 (+40 Points on Nifty Spot): * Book 50% profit (Exit 1 Lot).”

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: a pivot (R1/S1) break on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 30% / target 40% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

1,527 trades on ₹1L: net -86.9% over 12 years (-7.2%/yr, loses money), win 45%, payoff 1.18 (avg win ₹2,371 / avg loss ₹-2,017), max drawdown -152%, worst trade ₹-10,302. 2015: ₹-12,645. 2016: ₹+10,304. 2017: ₹-7,099. 2018: ₹+9,431. 2019: ₹+10,903. 2020: ₹-23,782. 2021: ₹-53,483. 2022: ₹-21,955. 2023: ₹+7,041. 2024: ₹-2,034. 2025: ₹-16,687. 2026: ₹+13,059.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
20156245% ₹-12,645
20168248% ₹+10,304
201711347% ₹-7,099
201812252% ₹+9,431
201911047% ₹+10,903
202013041% ₹-23,782
202120241% ₹-53,483
202215945% ₹-21,955
202315646% ₹+7,041
202411742% ₹-2,034
202518942% ₹-16,687
20268545% ₹+13,059
Full transcript (200 words)
""" ================================================================================ STRATEGY OVERVIEW: NIFTY 50 INTRADAY OPTION BUYING (S1/R1 BREAKOUT) ================================================================================ 1. TIME FRAME & INDICATORS: - Timeframe : 5-Minute Candles - Indicator : Supertrend (Period: 7, Multiplier: 3) - Levels : Daily Pivot Levels (R1 and S1 calculated using previous day's EOD data) 2. ENTRY RULES (Max 1 Trade Per Day): - BUY CE : Nifty Spot closes ABOVE R1 AND Supertrend is GREEN. - BUY PE : Nifty Spot closes BELOW S1 AND Supertrend is RED. - Note : Triggers immediately on the first candle if price is already beyond R1/S1 at setup. 3. POSITION SIZING: - Traded Quantity = 2 x Base Lot Size (e.g., 2 lots of monthly ATM option). 4. EXIT & TRAILING LOGIC: - Target 1 (+40 Points on Nifty Spot): * Book 50% profit (Exit 1 Lot). * Shift Stop Loss for remaining position to Entry Price (Cost). - Trailing State (Remaining 1 Lot): * Exit if Nifty Spot hits Entry Price (Cost SL). * Exit if Supertrend reverses direction (Green -> Red for CE | Red -> Green for PE). - Stop Loss (Before Target 1): * Full Exit (2 Lots) if Supertrend reverses direction before reaching +40 points. ================================================================================ """

💬 Trader reviews · community rating 4.0★ from 1 review

Syed Rehan ★★★★☆ 17 Aug 2026, 06:34 PM IST

Mera acha experience tha

User opinions, not investment advice. Reviews are moderated before publishing.

Results are AI-generated from stored historical market data and are for educational purposes only — they cannot be treated as 100% accurate, nor as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Strategies from non-Indian markets are also backtested on Indian market data only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.