W.D Gann's Secret Trading strategy | How to predict the market with time cycles? 92 % Win Rate — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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W.D Gann's Secret Trading strategy | How to predict the market with time cycles? 92 % Win Rate

Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 03:13 PM IST
★★★☆☆ 3.0 / 5

Why 3.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • A real but modest per-trade edge: +0.13R across 11,888 trades
  • Convex payoff 5.0 — winners far bigger than losers
  • Only 22% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • 3 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2025, 2026) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • Max drawdown -53% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Futures SMA/MAPivot points

Verdict

Auto-backtested. Detected: 50-EMA trend-following. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 11,888 trades, win 22%, payoff 5.01, expectancy +0.13R/trade (avg +0.57%/trade).

This is a marginal edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Reasonably consistent (67% of years positive).

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

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🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)

Tracking since 2026-07-07 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return-38.4%
CAGR-5.9%
Max drawdown-53.3%
Trades774 · 129 won
₹200,000 → ₹123,131  ·  2018-07-09 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
-18%-24%+14%+22%-10%+9%-14%+4%-19%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
201877819% -0.16R -1.35%
2019160520% +0.02R -0.12%
2020128628% +0.48R +3.65%
2021138124% +0.18R +0.94%
2022159521% +0.00R -0.20%
2023143028% +0.59R +2.40%
2024142221% +0.09R +0.31%
2025168419% -0.03R -0.49%
202670717% -0.17R -0.97%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 6624% +8.0% +173% +531% +51%
2 ████████ 6624% +3.7% +74% +243% +47%
3 ████████ 7219% +0.8% +44% +56% +42%
4 ████████ 7616% +0.7% +92% +54% +37%
5 ████████ 6829% +6.4% +164% +434% +36%
6 ████████ 7225% +2.6% +94% +187% +31%
7 ████████ 8624% +2.1% +68% +177% +31%
8 BHEL free peek 7027% +2.8% +81% +199% +30%
9 ████████ 6023% +8.2% +274% +490% +28%
10 ████████ 2218% -0.8% +24% -19% +27%
11 ████████ 4641% +4.5% +55% +206% +26%
12 ████████ 7923% +0.7% +66% +55% +20%
13 ████████ 4615% +1.2% +51% +54% +16%
14 ████████ 5932% +1.5% +56% +86% +12%
15 ████████ 6620% +0.4% +25% +26% +12%
16 ████████ 6834% +2.5% +43% +170% +11%
17 ████████ 7321% +0.6% +51% +46% +10%
18 ████████ 7420% +1.0% +41% +75% +9%
19 ████████ 6825% +1.7% +62% +117% +8%
20 ████████ 7524% +0.9% +34% +70% +7%
21 ████████ 7420% +0.2% +30% +17% -32%
22 ████████ 7121% +2.0% +48% +141% -26%
23 ████████ 7618% -0.2% +40% -18% -25%
24 ████████ 8119% -0.1% +38% -5% -25%
25 ████████ 8421% +0.5% +44% +44% -25%
26 ████████ 3628% +2.5% +60% +89% -24%
27 ████████ 6517% -0.4% +37% -24% -23%
28 ████████ 9020% -0.2% +50% -16% -23%
29 ████████ 9316% +0.0% +84% +3% -23%
30 ████████ 2425% +2.4% +44% +57% -23%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -24% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY8725% +0.23R +0.44%
BANKNIFTY10523% +0.09R +0.14%
Full transcript (3115 words)
hello my name is G and welcome to WD Gans time cycle course in this video I'm going to examine WD gan's top secret time Cycles the knowledge of time Cycles is an ancient knowledge that 99 of Traders are unaware of the chart that you currently watch on your screen is the Cotton forecast for 1922. as you can see using time Cycles Mr Gan has been able to predict all the tops and bottoms of the cotton chart from one year in advance Mr Gan has not only been able to predict the turning points of the market he has also been able to predict the price using this secret knowledge he has achieved a win rate of over 88 percent and is considered one of the most successful traders in history several years ago when I started as a Trader I was looking for an indicator so that I could guess the market Trend change ahead of others therefore I spent several thousand dollars on various Advanced Technical and fundamental analysis courses and the developed many personal indicators to be honest all efforts came to a dead end if you are an experienced Trader you already know that no indicators and strategies nor even price action no matter how sophisticated they are can forecast the tops and bottoms of the market days and weeks in advance at best they simply follow the trend the most effective strategies may even have a win rate of 60 percent with all that said is it possible to reach higher win rates is there a solution to increase win rate the solution is in very ancient teachings I started reading WD gan's books after going to so many rabbit holes and spending twenty thousand dollars on various fake Gan courses I finally found the invaluable method of gan's time cycle and it changed my win rate dramatically I must admit that I owe my success to experienced mentors who made this difficult path easy for me in this video we take a brief look at this mathematical method a method that if you learn it you can achieve a win rate above 80 utilizing it in your favor and predict tops and bottoms of the market 100 percent which markets can be forecasted using time Cycles any Market you have in mind can be forecasted with this method all stocks Commodities and Forex Market are predictable with one hundred percent accuracy let's look at the Apple stock forecast using time Cycles what you see is just a small time cycle called the lunar cycle that is present in all markets how much can you improve your trading strategy if you have such a tool that tells you when the market Trend will change from a certain day more than 90 percent of Traders are estimated to lose money in the markets the most important factors for the Lost trades trades are one Traders don't know when trending going to change this makes entering the transaction early or late two Traders don't know how long Trends will last this causes early closing of the transaction before the price hits the main target solution using time cycle you will know exactly when trend is going to changes and how long it will last time and timing are the most precious Assets in trading Mr Gan is not present Among Us are there others who have used his method and achieved success is it possible to predict when trend is going to change using time cycles and modern financial markets before we answer that question let me introduce you the most successful investor and Trader of all time who is the greatest investor of all time is it Warren Buffett or Ray dalio George Soros or some other investor Dr Jim Simons is the one who is the owner of the most successful hedge fund in the world says that all Market movements can be predicted by mathematical models the Renaissance Technologies hedge fund earns billions of dollars annually from Trading Dr Jim Simons is a professor of mathematics at Harvard University he is known as the man who solved the market for more than two decades Simon's Renaissance Technologies hedge fund which trades in various markets around the world has employed mathematical models to predict price changes and financial instruments Renaissance Technologies has earned a report at 39 percent on average per year since 1988 and has made over 104 dollar billions in trading profits let's get back to our important question is the market a random phenomenon or it is predictable but I started doing trading I got a little tired of mathematics I was in my late 30s I had a little money I started trading and it went very well I made quite a lot of money out with pure luck I mean I think it was pure luck it certainly wasn't mathematical modeling but in looking at the data after a while I realized hey this looks like there's some structure here and I hired a few mathematicians and we started trying to make some models just the kind of thing we did back at Ida you you design an algorithm you test it out on a computer does it work doesn't it work and so on so let's can we take a look at this because I mean here's here's a typical like graph of some commodity or or whatever um I mean I look at that and I say that's just a random up and down walk maybe a slight upward Trend over that whole period of Time how on Earth could you trade look at that and see something that wasn't just random well any one anomaly might be a random thing however if you have enough data you can tell that it's not so in the long run no one can be profitable in the market just by relying on luck there are structures in the market that make it predictable according to Professor Jim Simmons the market is not a random phenomenon and if you have enough data from the markets past You can predict its future movements but what is meant by these structures and predictability of the market can technical tools such as moving averages or complex indicators that are available to everyone predict the market Commodities or currencies had a tendency to Trend not necessarily the very light Trend you see here but but trending in in periods and if you decided okay I'm going to predict today by the average move in the past 20 days there's 20 days uh maybe that would be a good prediction and I'd make some money and in fact years ago such a system uh would work not beautifully but it would work so you'd make money you'd lose money you'd make money but this is a Year's worth of days and you you know you'd uh and make a little money during that period but so you would say it was a very vestigial system so you would test a bunch of different sort of lengths of Trends and time and and see whether for example a 10-day Trend or a 15-day Trend was predictive of what happened sure you would uh you you know try all those things and see what worked best but the trend following would have been great in the 60s and it was sort of okay in the 70s by the 80s it wasn't such it wasn't it didn't because everyone could see other people so so what happened so how did you stay ahead of the pack yeah we stayed ahead of the pack by finding by finding uh other other approaches is it possible to forecast the market with Trend detecting indicators or other Advanced indicators no simple or Advanced indicator can predict the market Dr Jim Simmons uses a different approach to forecasting but what are these other approaches that he expresses he has been able to decode the market by using the mathematical method unfortunately Dr Jim Simmons has not written a book about the mathematical method of decoding the market but Gann has written many books my best guess is that he uses the same method that Gan used do you need complex mathematical models to predict the market absolutely not but it must be very difficult right if you think you need to use quantum Computing or complex mathematical models like Fourier series or other signal decoding methods to predict the market the good news is that gan's method is very simple let's make one thing clear once and for all Gan time Cycles have nothing to do with Fourier series or any signal processing method to forecast the market all that is needed to use Mr gan's time cycle of four basic mathematical operations in fact it is so simple that if you teach Gans time cycle method to a school kid he can easily predict any Market William Delbert Gann June 6 1878 to June 18 1955 was a 33rd degree Freemason in order to develop his unique method of trading he immersed himself in secret teaching of the ancient Greeks such as Pythagoras and Aristotle as well as Eastern philosophy astronomy and of course astrology Gan was an avid astrologer using knowledge of ancient teaching he was able to forecast Market very accurately during a career that spanned half a century Gan pulled over 50 million dollars from the stock and commodity markets by his uncanny ability to predict exactly how the markets would behave and more importantly when they would turn so impressive was his success rate that by 1910 he was offering a consultancy service that cost around three thousand dollars to four thousand dollars per year at a time when the average American wage was only about 60 dollars per month starting on October 1st 1909 Gann gave a public demonstration of his trading skills in front of a group of reporters and Witnesses he made 286 trades during a 25-day period of which a staggering 254 were profitable this gave him a 92 percent success rate fun fact the 33rd Masonic degree in Scottish Rite degree is the highest honor of Freemason why is 33 is important do you know why Christ lived on Earth for 33 years one of the most important Celestial Cycles is the cycle of the moon and the sun it is called the marriage of the Moon and the Sun the lunar solar cycle refers to the time it takes for the Moon and Sun to reach the same alignment they were when the cycle began this takes approximately 33 years this is wyan tunnel through the air hero's name is Robert the statistics show Mr Gans when raped for three consecutive years total number of trades for the entire year of 1933 479 trades of which 422 were profits and 57 showed losses when rate equals 88 percent total number of trades for the entire year of 1934 362 trades of which 337 showed profits and 25 losses when rate equals 93 percent total number of trades for the entire year of 1935 132 trades of which 112 showed profits and 20 losses when rate equals 84 percent in the previous slide we saw that the average when rate of Gan in three consecutive years is about 88 percent let's see if we can get close to this amazing win rate just by using a single time cycle having time Cycles allows you to know days and weeks in advance which day the market is going to turn we call these dates time psycho pivots the good news is that with just one cycle we were able to approach gan's legendary record suppose you are an Apple stock Trader and you just want to take buy or sell positions with the pivots obtained from time Cycles without any special strategy and by reaching these time pivots we simply enter the buying or selling position by reaching the pivots obtained from the time cycles and without considering the price action and looking at where the price has reached I have done this for the first six months of 2023 and the results are absolutely amazing the red dashed lines represent the tops obtained from the time cycles and the green lines represent the bottoms we were able to reach a win rate of over 92 percent just for a period of six months in Apple shares this is only the beginning because we have only used one cycle in this chart by combining this time cycle with a bigger cycle we can catch big Market movements and our win rate and profit will be much higher having access to this realgan strategy will make you trade like a god for example if you know that the market will be bullish for the next three days you will never enter a cell position using the same time cycle you will be able to predict not only time pivots but also price can the price be predicted absolutely yes let's watch the price and time forecast on three different charts price prediction allows you to have a better entry and exit point in the transactions let me make one thing clear without having time Cycles there is absolutely no way to predict the price the most important book that Gan wrote is tunnel through the air this book is written in the form of a romance novel and clothed in veiled language he has given all the secrets of time Cycles in this book let us read parts of the forward of this novel together happy is the man that finneth wisdom and the man that Gareth understanding this story is founded on facts and events many of which have happened or will happen in the future the tunnel through the air is mysterious and contains a valuable secret clothed in veiled language what does the time cycle shown in the previous slides come from my gift to those familiar with Gan and the tunnel book is to reveal this cycle this cycle is on page 345 of the book we will fully cover this particular cycle and other larger cycles and organ time Cycles course in the field of financial astrology the tunnel book is made up of five different parts these five sections include one aspects two natal chart three times cycles and time factors four squares 5. law of vibration or Lov most newcomers to Mr gan's World get stuck on steps one and two looking to find aspects of planets that have caused changes in the market in the past the natal chart also has special uses that George Bayer used in the five-fold chart although these two methods are effective the main secret of Gan lies in cycles and time factors only after you have Master time Cycles where you need squares for Price forecasting at a higher level you can also use a numerical system called The Law of vibration if only I had this information five years ago before I entered the Mysterious World of Gan I would have saved myself from getting trapped in worthless courses and fake mentors who took advantage of my lack of knowledge but unfortunately there was no comprehensive video to fully guide me so I decided to make a whole video and share with my friends all the tips needed to be successful in forecasting the market the first thing that appears when searching for the name Gan on the Internet is the square of nine and ganfan let me tell you that the square of 9 or hexagonal chart or other geometric tools such as Gan fan cannot predict the time pivots of the market after mastering time Cycles we use these geometrical tool to forecast the price therefore anyone who claims that the square of 9 can predict the Market's tops and bottoms is either a fraud or does not know what gan's time cycle method is price is found via the use of time Cycles this is why you need the Cycles before you forecast price contrary to the courses that suck spend your time making a study of the cycles that are operating in your stock or commodity you have to know the Cycles before you can use the squares in best case scenarios you can find the turning points of the market by drawing Gan fan and squares only 50 percent of the time you can play with these tools but you will not be able to accurately predict the market Gan has never made his Secrets public in fact he was bound to keep the secrets and knowledge of the Masons these esoteric teachings were made available to a very limited people who could afford the high costs of gan's private courses most of the Gan researchers who read the tunnel do not get satisfactory results even after years of research this book is coded in different ways the tunnel is apparently a romantic and Epic Novel book but it is actually about personal astrology mundane astrology medical astrology and financial astrology so it is very easy to get confused first of all you need to know how to read this book secondly you need to know what you are looking for even by knowing what to look for there's no guarantee you'll discover the length of time Cycles this is exactly why one would need a mentor for in starter you should become familiar with the concept of time cycle and also what kind of cycle you look for in The Next Step you need to get the length of the cycle you must know how to analyze past Market data each cycle moves with specific ratios or steps you must have a correct starting point for your cycle what is inversion and why does it happen each time cycle has an inversion cycle that adds another time pivot to the main cycle at certain times you need to know the inversion zones of each cycle and also the length of inversion cycle therefore without having an experienced mentor to provide you with this important information and guide you your chances of success are very low in fact Gan himself had a mentor and this high-ranking Freemason has only taught this knowledge to a select few students thank you for bearing with me and watching the video my name is G and if you have any questions about the Gans course you may contact me via email

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