My Trading Strategy is Boring, But Makes Me $100k/Month — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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My Trading Strategy is Boring, But Makes Me $100k/Month

PBInvesting · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 03:13 PM IST
★★★☆☆ 3.0 / 5

Why 3.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • A real but modest per-trade edge: +0.13R across 11,888 trades
  • Convex payoff 5.0 — winners far bigger than losers
  • Only 22% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • 3 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2025, 2026) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • Max drawdown -53% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (buying)Intraday EMAVWAPPrev-day H/LVolume

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “I started trading when I was just 12 years old and I tried every single complex strategy out there it took me over 2 and 1/2 years to finally become profitable ”

Verdict

Auto-backtested. Detected: 50-EMA trend-following. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 11,888 trades, win 22%, payoff 5.01, expectancy +0.13R/trade (avg +0.57%/trade).

This is a marginal edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Reasonably consistent (67% of years positive).

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

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🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)

Tracking since 2026-07-07 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return-38.4%
CAGR-5.9%
Max drawdown-53.3%
Trades774 · 129 won
₹200,000 → ₹123,131  ·  2018-07-09 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
-18%-24%+14%+22%-10%+9%-14%+4%-19%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
201877819% -0.16R -1.35%
2019160520% +0.02R -0.12%
2020128628% +0.48R +3.65%
2021138124% +0.18R +0.94%
2022159521% +0.00R -0.20%
2023143028% +0.59R +2.40%
2024142221% +0.09R +0.31%
2025168419% -0.03R -0.49%
202670717% -0.17R -0.97%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 6624% +8.0% +173% +531% +51%
2 ████████ 6624% +3.7% +74% +243% +47%
3 ████████ 7219% +0.8% +44% +56% +42%
4 ████████ 7616% +0.7% +92% +54% +37%
5 ████████ 6829% +6.4% +164% +434% +36%
6 ████████ 7225% +2.6% +94% +187% +31%
7 ████████ 8624% +2.1% +68% +177% +31%
8 BHEL free peek 7027% +2.8% +81% +199% +30%
9 ████████ 6023% +8.2% +274% +490% +28%
10 ████████ 2218% -0.8% +24% -19% +27%
11 ████████ 4641% +4.5% +55% +206% +26%
12 ████████ 7923% +0.7% +66% +55% +20%
13 ████████ 4615% +1.2% +51% +54% +16%
14 ████████ 5932% +1.5% +56% +86% +12%
15 ████████ 6620% +0.4% +25% +26% +12%
16 ████████ 6834% +2.5% +43% +170% +11%
17 ████████ 7321% +0.6% +51% +46% +10%
18 ████████ 7420% +1.0% +41% +75% +9%
19 ████████ 6825% +1.7% +62% +117% +8%
20 ████████ 7524% +0.9% +34% +70% +7%
21 ████████ 7420% +0.2% +30% +17% -32%
22 ████████ 7121% +2.0% +48% +141% -26%
23 ████████ 7618% -0.2% +40% -18% -25%
24 ████████ 8119% -0.1% +38% -5% -25%
25 ████████ 8421% +0.5% +44% +44% -25%
26 ████████ 3628% +2.5% +60% +89% -24%
27 ████████ 6517% -0.4% +37% -24% -23%
28 ████████ 9020% -0.2% +50% -16% -23%
29 ████████ 9316% +0.0% +84% +3% -23%
30 ████████ 2425% +2.4% +44% +57% -23%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -24% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY8725% +0.23R +0.44%
BANKNIFTY10523% +0.09R +0.14%
Full transcript (4220 words)
I started trading when I was just 12 years old and I tried every single complex strategy out there it took me over 2 and 1/2 years to finally become profitable and losing tens of thousands of dollars to learn one crucial lesson that profitable trading is boring FAS wor to now I trade for less than an hour and a half every single morning using the same simple setup every day and I've consistently made over $100,000 a month I even bought a Lamborghini her kind Tech inome my dream car a couple of weeks ago so in this video I'm going to show you guys why you don't need the fancy indicators you don't need to stay at your charts all day you don't need to over complicate trading to change your life we'll cover everything I've learned over the Last 5 Years everything that cost me thousands of dollars and tens of thousands of hours of time I'll be showing you guys my repeatable strategy that anyone can start using today I'll walk you through my exact process so your real trades using the exact rules that I use and by the end you'll have a blueprint that's boring but profitable let's get into it most Traders Chase excitement they chase adrenaline they chase the feeling of being in a trade but that's going to crush you the truth is profitable trading is boring successful trading is boring there's going to be days where you're just staring at the screen for 2 hours doing nothing just watching and that's what's going to separate you from everybody else I'm going to say this again profitable Trading is extremely boring when I was an unprofitable Trader I would come home from school and I'd feel the adrenaline to want to trade and I would take stupid trades when I got back from school that's because I was treating trading as fun I wasn't treating trading as a business when you start looking at trading as a business you start to realize that you have to be a boring Trader less is more there's three core principles of my boring trading strategy my boring trading system first things first is I only trade A+ setups and I practice extreme patience I miss a lot of Trades I miss trades every single day and I'm okay with that I probably miss 70 to 80% of the trades that I'm looking at the reason being is I'm very precise with my entry I'm very patient with my entry if I don't get exactly what I want then I don't take the setup because every single time we enter a trade we're putting our hard-earned Capital at risk and I don't want to put my Capital At Risk if I'm not extremely confident in the trade and if it's not a no-brainer trade Now what is a no-brainer trade a no-brainer trade is when everything's lining up when everything is just coming to you when you look at this trade and you're confident when you're pressing those buttons that's what every single trade should look like when you're a profitable Trader my boring trading strategy the second principle is stop trying to catch the whole move I know you want to be crazy and try and catch the full bottom to the top for your ego so that you think you're sick but the truth is that's not the way there's billions and billions and billions of dollars to be made in the market and that's the truth but we don't need to make that much we don't need to catch the whole move from the bottom to the top all I want is to catch the chunks I want to catch the meat but I want to be able to catch the chunks repeatably profitably and consistently over time which is why I focus on just adding those chunks up consistently and compounding the third principle of my boring trading chaty is don't over complicate it keep it simple keep it simple and I'm going to go over everything that you need to know please don't over complicate it your for yourself just listen observe and try to understand what I'm trying to show you guys and with my boring trading strategy I usually only trade from 9:30 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. the reason being I want to ignore the choppy price action I want to ignore all the afternoon chop and the biggest moves for me the most profitable moves for me have been from 930 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. eastern so for the first hour and a half of the day so that's when I like to trade also a lot of the point of trading is that you can replace your 9 to5 with something that you control your schedule you control your freedom there's no point in replacing a 9 to5 with a 930 to4 my goal is to trade for an hour hour and a half and get off the screens go enjoy my day that's what trading is all about so guys now let's go over the fundamentals of the trading strategy what we're trying to accomplish what makes a good trading environment and mixing the two together so guys we're trying to catch moves that we can consistently trade over time what does that mean these moves are not predicted moves they're moves based off reactions their moves based on when I teach you guys this system a little bit in the video you need to click in your head if this happens I do this if this happens I do this not oh I think it's going to go up no we are trading as robots trying to just catch little bits of the move and with my strategy I trade options reason being is options are best for people who don't have as much money to trade with or want that more volatile trading action and I don't want to have to put $100,000 in to make a $1,000 I'd rather put $11,000 and manage my risk correctly and have a chance to make one two even $3,000 on a trade so that's why I trade options it is high risk obviously so what makes a good trading environment guys you want to look for Trends in the market you want to look for the stocks that are strong stocks that are weak you want to avoid the choppiness so what is that mean it means that your best trading days the best trading environment is going to be when the whole Market's trending one day when you open your screens you open your scanner and everything's green everything's going up that's going to be the Easy Money no-brainer trades where the whole Market's trending you get pullbacks you take that retest boom so you want to look for not ranges you want to look for Trend days where everything's ripping primarily the stock you're looking at and the indexes so if you have spying QQ ripping and you're trading Nvidia or Tesla then you're looking pretty solid as long as obviously you're playing with the trend also guys you need to understand with this strategy news not good so we don't want to trade on days where it could potentially be choppy like pre fomc we have to be very careful you have on Mondays I'm also very careful through journaling I've understood that Mondays are a weird day to trade for me so I trade them very light now these are the types of things you're learning your trading another thing I just told my students a couple weeks ago go over all your trades see where are you most profitable from the first 30 minutes of the day or after the first 30 minutes of the day you guys might not be able to copy me directly off those little things but those are things that you need to adapt just based off your personality and how you trade so guys and the reason I trade 9:30 to 11:00 a.m. eastern is because I'm going to say it again it offers usually the most highest profitability setups and I don't want to be staring there all day but you need to avoid the opening bell chaos you need to avoid kind of the opening candles because it could be a lot of fake outs I'm not saying don't trade it completely I'm saying be careful and be aware that it's extremely volatile off the open and you should be definitely sizing lower from that last thing with my trading environment and before the strategy I'm about to show you guys is Don't Front run the move we wait we don't predict so guys now let's get into my exact trading strategy and how I know when to buy and sell so guys every single day I do the same exact thing today we had Nvidia Nvidia was extremely weak extremely extremely weak so now we're looking at Nvidia here as we can see Nvidia was weak and what do I do I look at the stock that I'm looking at and I Mark the pre-market high and I Mark the pre-market low so what is that you guys see the Shaded area from 4:00 a.m. to 9:30 that's the pre-market Mark the high of the pre-market marked the low of the pre-market Nidia was weak so what are we looking for we're looking for to break under the pre-market lows so what happened we got a 5 minute candle close under the pre-market low so this candle right here is our confirmation that it has breaken under it is our confirmation that the trend is going down and as we can see CU was going down with it so that's what you see when a no Rainer good Traders so we got that 5 minute close under now what are we looking for for puts when do we know when to enter so guys let me reiterate for puts you're looking for a 5 minute close under pre-market low on a week stock for calls you're looking for a 5 minute close over pre-market high on a strong stock now let's focus on the puts and then we'll come to the calls after after you get that 5 minute close under you're looking for one of two things and if they match up then it's an insane trade looking for it to come back up and retest the level with vwap this yellow line here vwap is the volume weighted average price and it basically tells us a big volume level a big volume area for the stock it's telling you the average trading price of the day which is always a big area so we get this 5- minute close under we get the retest and we get the pop the vop when we get this retest here I am entering puts reason being is the trend is down we broke under this support and when you break under a support the support becomes resistance making these buyers here become Sellers and that's exactly what happened so you would have taken puts on this retest your stop loss would have been a 5 minute close above pre-market low and you see this blue line the 90 Ma you can hold it as long as it stays under as long as it stays under so boom you would have helded through this whole thing this whole thing now let's see if you were to invest ,000 into puts here and there was no reason to sell until it got above the EMA how much money would you have made you would have made $22,000 just like that I'm not saying that you're going to always hold through the way no we take trims so for example we're taking trims as it breaks low a day we're taking trims as it goes down and we're taking trims before 10:00 a.m. because the first so this is a tip guys after the first 30 minutes of the day at 10:00 a.m. usually get you can get some sort of reversal or some sort of crazy price action in so we always want to take trims before but guys literally as simple as that you mark your pre-market lows you wait for it to get under comes up retest it that's your entry for puts you're betting it's going to go down on the retest and boom now let me show again so say this is the stock this is the pre-market data you mark your pre-market low you mark your pre-market High it breaks under the pre-market low comes up Taps it this is when you're buying puts betting that it's going to go down if it goes back above the pre-market low this is when you take the loss when it goes down we're taking trims every single time it goes down and along the way and we're securing our profits so look Nvidia 5 minut a close under it came up retested this is where you buy puts under vwap under EMA looks good and it dumps also the weakest stock of the day you had QQQ dumping with it which is always a good sign now let's look at example of a strong one iwm you mark our pre-market high right here and our pre-market low is right here but obviously it's a strong stock so we don't care about pre-market low much we most more or less care about pre-market High since we're looking at trade calls now what happens here we get a 5 minute close above pre-market high and then we come down and test vwap and we test pre-market High when vwap and pre-market high are lined up to each other or vop and pre-market low are lined up with each other when you have both those confluences on one that's when it becomes an A+ no-brainer trade so you want to see a vwap retest with the pre-market retest and those are my absolute favorite trades and we're taking trims as it goes up so we're taking trims here taking trims here obviously our entry is right here or here and then more trims more trims obviously the first red candle you want to take some trims and then we get all out once it gets under the EMA but now let me show you guys something so now it came back down and tested vwap again if you would have taken this trade you would have got stopped out on the next candle so this would have been a loss but look how small this loss is so let's do this so on this trade you would have made about a130 on this trade and then on the loss you would have lost less than 20 cent that's 1 to six that's what you want to see but after the first retest that's usually one of its best so like you know when you get that first retest 9:30 to 11: that's the best this is after 11:00 after our trading condition so I would never take this anymore anyways but guys now let's recap that one so we have our pre-market high range we get above pre-market High come down test it you got vwap strolling around the way tap highs now guys trading without key levels is very very important so I'm going to go over again you want to mark your pre-market High you want to mark your pre-market low and you also want to mark your previous day high and your previous day low which all that is is so for example let's go to Nidia all that is is the previous day low and the previous day's High you know what's crazy is this is the previous day low right look exactly actually it didn't really matter but look at the opening candle kind of rejected off of right right off that level so in this example it really doesn't matter but again you always want to have those levels marked always want to have those levels marked they're going to be big areas of support and resistance I promise you guys so now we have to go into to reward guys if you flip a penny 10 times and it lands on heads it's probably going to be 50% of the time right that's just what the odds tell you but what if every time you land on heads you win $500 and every time it lands on tails you lose $100 anyone's taking that bet right it's exactly how trading is and that's exactly how trading with a profitable strategy is the only difference between trading and gambling is having a proper risk reward having proper risk management so you have to be very tight with your stop losses and the reason I love this strategy is because we're buying so close to our stop loss we're literally buying at the stop loss level we buy puts here and if it gets above here we stop out and if we win we win a lot of money the most you would have lost on this trade was literally 50 cents and the profit was $3 that's a one to six risk to reward that is what you want to look for in these trades but you have to be thinking of the long run there's going to be times where you get stopped out and it rips and you're so mad at yourself it's okay this is a part of the being a profitable Trader this is why profitable trading is boring because you're going to stop out you're going to want a Revenge trade but you can't this is what's going to separate you from a profitable Trader is when you stop out when you feel like you want to Revenge when you feel like you want to trade with fomo what do you do do you give to your Temptations or do you stop do you recess and you understand that you are about to blow your account so you need to relax so risk reward is extremely important you always want to keep a risk reward positive it should always be at least one to two on a trade now let's go over a couple more of these examples Tesla we Mark our pre-market low so as you could see it retested and then was still vwap right here rejected off vwap dumped this is all BS though then we get the real retest but not only do we get the retest but what is this level it's called a psychological level every dollar every whole level so 275 280 290 300 all those levels in stocks 100 you have to always Mark those levels down look at Tesla so 280 was a support we broke below 280 we retested it the support became resistance now we're under the 280 level if vwap is under pre-market low you're looking for a vwap retest if vwap is above pre-market low you're looking for a pre-market low retest so here this is pre-market low so vw's under it looking for a pre-market low retest Tesla is extremely weak we get the vwap retest and wow is n that crazy we're ja right off of vwap and we don't go above the EMA we don't go above the EMA until right here so right here you're making let's see your entry is literally off vop so you don't an exit till here and you're definitely weren't holding it above 280 definitely so if it get above that psych level don't even wait for it close get out and it's a 1 to six risk reward but again you got to really read it out and you have the watch Sur price action live but that's it that's a vop retest for puts as smci got a 5 minute close above pre-market High we get a vwap retest no pre-market High retest vwap is above pre-market High here as we can see the yellow lines above it we get a retest we're above vwap above vwap we're good and what happens rips the high day beautiful nice little trade then comes down retest again retest again no reason to get out boom rip to highs vwap Works guys do you guys think we're just bouncing off random levels here every time we come down we're not so that's the strategy it's simple we trade the retests viop and the pre-market levels as well as some more key levels so if you want to practice your strategy then you can start with paper trading try it out see how you like it start with small slides review all your trades journal every single day every single week figure out what your winners have in common what your losers have in common how to fix it with your paper trading be realistic don't go put a million dollars in an account no so you want to start trading with $1,000 put $1,000 in your paper trading account and then as far as setting up your charts guys vwap okay these are my settings so vwap boom plus my vop settings this is my EMA settings you can use 9 or eight EMA it doesn't really matter you guys need to develop the right mindset so now that you guys know the system you guys know the strategy you guys know what to do you guys know what to avoid I kind of gave you the whole bar Park you need to understand that trading is a business it's not a hobby it's not a gambling and if you want to treat it as it's not a business and you're going to lose money treat it as a business treat it as like yo I have to become a profitable Trader or like I'm never going to stop trying and force yourself to do it that's the only way you're going to be able to do it and if you have all these bad habits in your life if you just doing stupid stuff don't expect to be a profitable Trader don't expect to be part of the 1% of people that make it doing the stuff the other 99% of people don't no the only way you're going to make it is if you put your head down you lock in give it all you be smart you treat trading like a business you stay consistent you compound your gains you avoid fomo you avoid Revenge avoid emotional attachment to trading handle the wins and losses like the same thing don't even look at the money look at your performance look at your win rate look at your risk to reward look at are you journaling every day are you prepared are you scanning do you deserve to be a profitable Trader really think about it and develop that mindset that you're just a Trader it doesn't matter the money is just numbers on the screen you're just a Trader you're just trading and whatever happens happens and every day is a fresh day every day is a new day so if you've lost a bunch of money before forget about it it's a fresh day it's a fresh week it's a fresh month and every single day you need to start and act like your p&l is zero so guys let's go recap of the boring but profitable strategy simple setups pre-market highs pre-market lows 5 minute Clos and a pre-market low look for a retest for puts on a week stock ideally you want the indexes to be trending with it on a strong stock 5 in a close above pre market High then the retest and you want the indexes to be going with it we keep our rules very very strict our trading time very very strict we keep our risk reward extremely strict as well because we want to be profitable in the long run and we don't sit at our screens all day if there's no trades there's no trades if there's no a plus set ups there's no a plus set ups if there's not screening at us PB come take me I want to make you money then we don't take it so guys if you enjoyed this video drop a like subscribe follow me on Instagram and I hope you guys enjoy trading doesn't have to be complicated or stressful to make money I simplify the market and I think that's where my Edge is and that's why I love trading so much and I love teaching you guys is because I know that I have something and I've changed lives and I want to just change as many lives as I possibly can making a lot of money is cool but seeing other people make money because I can help them is a lot cooler thank you for watching and I'll see you guys in the next video peace

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