I Tested 1,000 Trading Strategies... This Simple One Worked Best — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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I Tested 1,000 Trading Strategies... This Simple One Worked Best

Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 03:38 PM IST
★★½☆☆ 2.5 / 5

Why 2.5/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • A real but modest per-trade edge: +0.08R across 7,678 trades
  • Only 35% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • 4 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2024, 2025, 2026) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • Max drawdown -24% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way
  • Most of the big total return is compounding in a rising market (beta) — the per-trade edge above is what would survive a different regime

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

FuturesIntradaySwing SupertrendEMASMA/MAMACDPivot pointsFibonacciGapPrev-day H/L

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “(30:03) So how is it in that there is a level like 38% 58% 61%, so whoever has made this, whoever is its inventor, has done scientific back testing and seen tha”

Verdict

Auto-backtested. Detected: MACD signal-line crossover with a 200-EMA trend filter. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 7,678 trades, win 35%, payoff 2.26, expectancy +0.08R/trade (avg +0.26%/trade).

This is a marginal edge. Reasonably consistent (56% of years positive).

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

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Know someone trading this?

🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)

Tracking since 2026-07-06 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return+74.6%
CAGR+7.3%
Max drawdown-24.0%
Trades845 · 274 won
₹200,000 → ₹349,227  ·  2018-07-23 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
-6%+8%+59%+16%-5%+18%-5%-10%-4%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
201823630% -0.15R -1.21%
201977834% +0.02R -0.05%
202079240% +0.30R +1.94%
2021142938% +0.19R +0.88%
202277334% +0.03R +0.16%
2023114240% +0.29R +1.02%
2024134231% -0.03R -0.44%
202588428% -0.14R -1.07%
202630231% -0.14R -0.75%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 5036% +6.4% +104% +319% +40%
2 ████████ 5740% +1.9% +27% +109% +26%
3 ████████ 5233% +3.5% +71% +183% +25%
4 ████████ 3126% -0.4% +22% -11% +22%
5 ████████ 6627% +0.3% +28% +21% +20%
6 ████████ 4831% +1.7% +52% +83% +19%
7 ████████ 4633% +0.5% +27% +23% +19%
8 BANDHANBNK free peek 1010% -1.9% +19% -19% +18%
9 ████████ 4139% +2.3% +52% +96% +15%
10 ████████ 6138% +0.7% +24% +40% +15%
11 ████████ 6826% -0.2% +29% -14% +12%
12 ████████ 4749% +5.6% +44% +263% +11%
13 ████████ 5629% -1.3% +9% -71% +11%
14 ████████ 5733% +0.3% +23% +17% +10%
15 ████████ 4628% +1.7% +67% +79% +9%
16 ████████ 3845% +1.4% +26% +52% +8%
17 ████████ 5038% +1.0% +19% +51% +8%
18 ████████ 1937% -0.5% +9% -9% +8%
19 ████████ 5942% +1.1% +24% +68% +7%
20 ████████ 6542% +0.7% +20% +47% +7%
21 ████████ 2832% -1.6% +11% -44% -29%
22 ████████ 5433% -0.7% +16% -37% -23%
23 ████████ 4736% -0.6% +19% -27% -23%
24 ████████ 5133% +0.6% +39% +33% -22%
25 ████████ 7131% +0.2% +25% +12% -21%
26 ████████ 3941% -0.0% +16% -2% -19%
27 ████████ 5125% -1.8% +10% -90% -17%
28 ████████ 4637% -0.3% +21% -15% -17%
29 ████████ 5030% -0.2% +20% -11% -17%
30 ████████ 5034% +0.4% +29% +19% -15%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -90% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY8432% +0.00R -0.22%
BANKNIFTY7937% +0.01R -0.09%
Full transcript (6954 words)
I Tested 1,000 Trading Strategies... This Simple One Worked Best - YouTube Transcripts: (00:00) If you are following the trend the probability of winning increases a lot. So, all the strategies and setups that we have in swings, we work on them after looking at the trend, that is, after looking at the big trend. What we need in swing trading is that we buy it today, keep it for two-three days and after that we should exit with good profit. (00:18) Correct: What is the best strategy when the market bottoms out and starts moving up ? So this is a very simple setup. That's all we have to see. If you feel that I have hit my target here. I am satisfied with this much amount, I am getting Rs 15,000-16,000 in one day, then you can leave. If you are not satisfied then you can ride it till the next target. (00:34) Now the problem that many traders face is where exactly to exit. And I asked them what's your biggest regret about any trade? No one said that I missed this trade. No one said that I made a little more loss in this. They regret that they did not book the full profit. It is the nature of the price or it is the rule that whenever it comes near resistance or support it will give a reaction. (01:02) So, we will decide how much that reaction is going against us or how much it will benefit us. Another day another trading video on up with me Ansh R Hiran and today we have with us a very special guest Mr. Chirag Rathod sir. Hi Sir, Welcome back to Upsearch. I recently did a video with you where you taught us the strategy of bottom fishing. (01:30) Isn't it? How to find the bottom in a falling market. Now after doing that, when the markets are recovering, when the markets are moving. We have learnt a lot from you on intraday. I want to learn when the market is moving and for those who cannot sit in front of the screen all day. For those who have their own job or are studying, who are students or have their own business, whatever it is, for those who cannot sit in front of the screen the whole day, I feel swing trading strategies are the best fit. So today I want to learn one (01:59) true strategy from you that you personally use on your account. Ah to capture those swings in the market where one day we made a trade and we are holding it for a few days and do not need to constantly monitor it. You enter your data into the system, enter your levels and you're done for it. (02:15) So this is what I want to learn from you today. Thank you Ansh for calling again. As you said about swing trading, now when the market bottoms out and starts going up, what is the best strategy for it? There is no such thing as the best strategy. Whatever strategy we adopt, we will practice it. We will use it again and again. Sure. (02:34) The more we use it, the more we practice, our accuracy will increase. Correct. There are many swing strategies. I had created some in collaboration with Upsearch before. Taught in some webinars. Today again I have come up with a new strategy which I feel works quite well for swing. What do we need in swing? We need trends. Yes. So if you are following the trend, the probability of winning increases a lot. (03:01) So, all the strategies and setups that we have in swings, we work on them after looking at the trend, that is, after looking at the big trend. Ok? So the larger the time frame you work on, the more accurate you will be. What we need in swing trading is that we take it today, keep it for two-three days and after that we should exit with good profit. (03:20) Correct. Or if there is no profit then we can exit with minimal loss if the trade goes wrong. True. So what I have brought today, whatever we will use in it, we will use super trend. Super Trend is a very popular Ah indicator. Correct. Most new traders who enter the market are first faced with either moving averages or super trends. Yes. (03:38) Super trend itself tells us that it follows the trend. So whatever will be the trend of the market, we will trade in that trend. When the market bottoms out. Right now there is a falling market, so in the falling market we will trade in downward trading, ah trading, downward stocks or whatever falling indices or stocks are there. (03:58) When the market bottoms out, I made a video with you where we will come to know that the bottom has been formed and from here the market will not go down but will go sideways and up. In that we will use the upside or bullish setup. So how is that setup used ? How to enter and exit it, what should be the psychology , how much capital should be used? Today we will tell all this to your audience together with you. (04:23) Sure sir, please tell me definitely. Ok. As long as sir is sharing the screen. I have seen the data where I found out that a lot of you are watching our videos and we are trying to create a lot of value from it and you are also getting a lot of help in learning trading. But you have subscribed to our channel yet. (04:40) So what are you guys waiting for? And click on the subscribe button so that you don't miss out on all the informative content we create with great experts like Sir. So let's go to the screen, sure sir. So here we will use the daily time frame. In swing, if we use daily time frame, then whenever the stock comes in our indicator or on our setup, we should try to take exit in three-four days and keep rotating our limited capital to the maximum. (05:06) Ok? So what will we use in this? We will use super trend, moving average and private to identify the target. Ok? And a MACD is used. Ok? So let us put this here first. This is the same PAN terminal as the TradingView terminal that uses TradingView. So here you go to FX. You can put super trend there. We super trend. (05:29) Its settings will remain the same as 10 and 3. We will not make any changes in this. Ok. Here we will use a moving average. Here we will use the exponential moving average. Coming here, we will make EMA 23. 21 Take 23 Take 20 Take It's okay. And use any other one. We will go to its settings and make it red in color. (05:59) Then there is a third indicator that is private. We will go to private standard ok standard and go to settings. Go to inputs and convert it from traditional to Fibonacci. We say ok, so these are three indicators. We need private when we enter the trade and we need to identify the target. Ok. (06:32) So what do we have to look for in this setup? It is a very simple setup. Super trend everyone uses. When I came into the market, I was new and I used to use Super Trend. Moving average is a very popular one. Take a 20-day moving average, a 21-day moving average , a 23-day moving average. It does n't matter. Broadly speaking, all of them give the same results. (06:49) Correct. Ok? So, whatever is the average of the price of 20 moving averages is the last one month, we will take that average. If the price is above that then we will go to the buying side. Below that is so we'll go to the sailing side. Thirdly, there is another indicator MACD, we will also take that. So the fourth indicator which is MACD what we will look for in this whole setup is that the price should be in a down trend. (07:17) The short term should be in a down trend. We should be in a down trend for the last 5 days or 6 days. It should be below the down trend i.e. super trend. Yes, whenever it is below the super trend, it means it is a down trend. Coming above the super trend means it has become an up trend. Daily is the time frame. (07:31) So this is valid for next 7-8 days, it remains valid for 10 days. Meaning, if today we use Super Trend on daily time frame then it should continue for 7, 8 or 10 days. Ok? If you take it weekly then it becomes positional. We can take four weeks, five weeks, six weeks. Monthly is for investment purpose. Ok? This is a basic thing which I believe you all know. (07:51) Are we okay? So now what happens in this indicator is that the price should be below the super trend for the last five days. If it remains below the super trend for the minimum of five days or even more than that, then there is no issue. For five days minimum it should be below the super trend. This is a bullish side setup. (08:07) So if for five days it is below the super trend minimum or even below it, that is, if it remains below it for more days, then there is no issue for us. Hmm. Then whenever it comes up it should come above the super trend. Hum and this line of 23 MA should also be above it. We have these two things and the third thing is that the MACD line should cross above the MACD signal. (08:28) Ok? Ok? So this is a very simple setup. All we have to see is that it should be above the super trend , above the moving average and the MACD line should be above the MACD signal. So when this setup is formed then it tries to give us good profit in the swing, that is, in the next three-four days. So like this is Divi's lab. (08:51) Divi's Lab came into our setup on 7th October. Ok? I made a screener of this. I will share that with you. So you can share it with your audience. And we have given the link of this screener in the description. So if if if if if if if if if if if if if if want to check out the screener click on the link and you get it. (09:04) So if you see in this, Divis Lab was below the super trend before 7th October. Are we okay? Correct. It was at least five days. Even if it is more before that, we have no problem. Yes. So it was below the super trend for more than five days. Meaning it was in a bearish trend. So now what we have to do is that when it is turning from bearish to bullish and is giving confirmation. (09:23) We will enter at that time so that after entering our trade gets completed within two-three days. Let us exit this one. Because we have less capital. Whatever trades come in this, we would like to take as many as possible and keep rotating them. Ok? So this came on 7th October. This MACD line is crossing it from below. (09:39) Look at this, here this MACD line signal is crossing the MACD signal and coming up. Correct. So this is a confirmation here. The second one crossed above the 23 SMA. So at this point, ah, we're entering at 676. Ok? Now this is a swing so we're going to ride ride ride ride it. In this we apply a Fibonacci so that we get a target as to what the target will be. (10:02) If we are entering here now, then there is a target above. The one above that is the second target. So we entered here. Next day our target arrived. Meaning you got 200 points the next day. Ok? So here it came down with resistance. The stop loss will be the low of this candle. Ok? The stop loss will be the low of the entry candle. (10:22) Gives closing below that. So our stop loss is done. So as long as we are riding this , as long as our stop loss is not hit , we will ride it and there is also the concept of a trailing stop loss. I will tell you that concept also. Ok. Ok? So when we entered here, this is the first target, it seems that my target has been achieved, I got 300 points in one day. (10:40) I'm leaving. So you got 300 points. I think it means if the lot is of 100 then you will get 300 i.e. ₹1 or if it is of 50 then you will get 156000. So you get 15-16000 in one day. That is very good. If someone wants me to wait for the next target, then I can wait. How long can we stay at this? We will stay in this position until the price closes below the super trend mark. (11:02) Ok? This is a trailing stop loss. It went from here to here and then came back to it. Then it went higher. 6800 went. Correct. Ok? So here also if you think that no, it will go further up. If you want to wait, then wait. Ok? So one option is that if it goes above the private and next day it comes below the private immediately, it means that the trend is reversing here. (11:25) This is a slightly advanced version of price action. So those who do not understand price action should not go here, they should go here. So if your entry is at 6000 and you are exiting at 6400, then you are still getting 400 points in the next 8 to 10 days. Ok? Correct. Sir, I understood one thing in this. I understood the entry. (11:41) But your first target which is visible here is R2. Are we right? In this, if you look at the stop loss and the first target, the risk reward looks very strange. Meaning it's it's less than one. You asked a good question. In this it is like our safe trader, okay? Safe traders can book profits near a resistance level. (12:01) But here it is not like this is the only target and it will not go above it. The target is the next resistance. So the first resistance was here. After that, there is another resistance above. So if it is trying to go there then it will try to go up until the low of this candle is broken. So if he tries, his target is that this is much higher than the risk which we are taking. (12:22) Right? Ok? So if you feel that I have hit my target here. I am satisfied with this much amount in one day. I am getting 15,000 16,000. You can go out during the day. If you are not satisfied then you can ride it till the next target. Correct? So this private one works very well that we saw here that the resistance at R2 came down once. (12:48) The price tried again and went up to the next resistance and after facing a little resistance here, it went up and came back down and then it went back to the next R1. So these private ones here work better. So here we have to try that if we have two lots then we should book one lot here. If there is only one lot then we will book it here once. (13:05) You will get practice on this setup, so you can then wait for it to come here in its place. Ok. So this is an example. Now let us look at another example. We will see both bearish and bullish trends of Titan. Both will look inside it. Ok? Ok sir. Let's see more examples. But sir, as far as I can see, it is a trend following strategy. (13:25) Correct. Right? This strategy will work as long as the trend continues. But what about the sideways market? What about when the market is volatile? How to handle those things. So for that I have created an advanced swing trading course with Upsearch. In that I have explained four types of strategies. Bullish side and bearish side. (13:41) So you can use different strategies in different markets. There are some strategies that are evergreen. You can use it in a falling market as well as in a rising market. So, that's all I taught in my Advanced Swing Trading Course. So, if you want to trade in every type of market , then you should definitely check out that strategy course and by learning it well, you will be able to capture big swing trading moves on a regular basis. (14:07) Got it. Definitely we will give its link in the description. And you guys can definitely check it out. The Entire Course on Advanced Swing Trading by Sir Himself. Sir, all of them will be recorded sessions only. Right? Will remain recorded. But whoever enrolls for this course will also get to attend the webinar, that webinar will be live, so whatever queries you have or you want to know something deeper about it or you have any doubts, you can clear them by attending that webinar and in that webinar I keep teaching more new setups (14:37) so that how can we change with the changing dynamics of the market, how can we adapt to it, so I keep teaching that thing in that webinar and that webinar is one that comes was absolutely free with the course. We are pretty interesting sir. Come on sir, let's look at some more examples. Ok. (14:56) So now this is the second example of Titan. We came to Titan around 8th October. When it was continuously falling down. Here it started becoming stable. After stabilizing, it came above the super trend. So when this trend is changing here then we will have this trigger. Ok? So whenever this triggers, we will enter here. We will place a stop loss below its low on a closing basis. (15:16) And until that happens, we will stay in it. So if you see here, let's say we are entering at the highest point here, ah 3500 60. Ok? So the next two-three days went completely sideways. It is above the trend. So here we have nothing to do. Here, whether we take futures or cash, there is no issue of DK in it. (15:34) Options wo n't do either. Swing trading is only and only for futures and cash not for options. If you want to do options then do it intraday. You entered here. After that the price has moved up and up without hitting the stop loss. Here we will put Fibonacci back just for reference purposes as to where I can exit. We did this here, this is the first target. This is the second target, it went up. (15:55) It has not closed below this yet. Whenever it closes below this, this is the first time. 2 Chain is the first time it has closed below super trend. And here we can exit. Trailing stop loss that follows. Those who are not following trailing stop loss, you can do it at your target one, target two, wherever you want to exit. (16:12) Ok? You can ride it according to your emotions and your capacity to control them. So here the breakout candle is not very big. That's why the risk reward ratio has come out perfectly here. Yes, it has come here perfectly. Got it. Let's move on to the next example. This is my scanner. I will give you whatever stocks have come in the scanner. (16:29) In this, by back testing the same, I am telling you how accurately it is working. When does it not work. Many times it happens that your setups also fail. You have entered here and after that the stop loss should be hit. So no setup is 100% accurate. As I told you earlier, it is correct. 70% 80% is up to the user. (16:48) How does he use his psychology and how does he use it? So it depends on that also. Now this is like a coffer. You have entered here in Coforge. We have our stop loss below the low of this candle. Correct. After that, it went a little sideways. Then it went up. It went sideways and then up. So here this first target we target one target one so this was it. (17:08) Ah 1765 we entered 174 1765 came. Then it went sideways after that. Then it came back to the gap up opening up the second target. Correct. So as long as it's closed below this here for the first time below this. It will happen here on this candle or it will happen on this candle. So it will depend on how this indicator works in the live market whether it will start showing it right now or the next day. (17:26) You can exit from anywhere here. So this is almost more than a 100 point rally you are able to capture. If you are using trailing stop loss. Correct. If you are doing target based then you can exit here. So this is another example, very simple. In this you do not have to think at all that it should only be below the super trend. (17:44) Whenever the five day minimum comes above the 20 ASM EMA, we can enter. We are ok. So this is the bullish side. Similarly, the bearish side also works in the same way. Let us also look at three-four examples from the bearish side. In that also we will see that it should be above the five minimum five days super trend. After that, whenever it falls, it should come below the super trend and close below the previous day low. (18:06) And the MACD line should cross the MACD signal from below. Right? Very simple. There is a chart of Asian Paints. This is the bearish side. Here it is more than the minimum five days, it is above this. Super trendy. Whenever it has come below the super trend , it has then closed below the previous day's low. (18:24) Either you enter here or you enter here. There is no issue. It is below the 23 EMA and from here it has started falling. Ok? The MACD had already given a signal. So the MACD line is already below the MACD signal and from here it is again falling and the slope of this super trend is also down which indicates that the trend here is very bearish. It is very rainy. (18:47) So it fell from here on the third of October 3, 2024, after that it kept falling and on 17th January 2025 it made its short term bottom. Correct. And it went up from here. Let us look at the second example of KEI. We are getting this day on 23rd October. We've been on this super trend for quite some time now. (19:08) First time I've come down here. Correct. Ok? We should not exit until its high is broken. Our stop loss is not being hit. Then from here, let's say our entry is at 475. This is going to 3862 here. We will not be able to exit at the very bottom. Either we will do it here or we will do it here. You can do it at both places. (19:25) You can do it anywhere. In this also only pawt points will come down. Pavet points will also come in this. This is first target, second, third correct. Ok? One this happened. Also see OFSS. It is very simple. Meaning, the simpler you keep trading, the better money you will make. (19:46) The more you complicate it, the more your chances of loss increase. Correct? As it stands now OFSS is on a super trend for the last five days. Right? It came down to this. It is below the moving average and in this, Steve has fallen again. Correct. The MACD line has also crossed below. Here it is crossed in advance first. Then it kept falling down, down, down. It has been falling. (20:11) Then we come to the next example of Fortis. Let us look at the last example of this. It is going up and up. Then it's down and back into it with Steve Fall. Here MSCD told in advance and from here it started falling down. So as soon as the super trend bottoms out we can short here and it goes down to here. (20:31) So in this way you saw that there is a very simple strategy. You can also work on the bullish side. You can also work on the bearish side. If the market is trending then it will be very good for you, meaning you will get movement in it. If it is sideways then you will have to wait a little. It will take some time and I want it to be as fast as possible, the faster it is, the faster we will be able to rotate our limited capital and we will get more profit from it. (20:51) Got it. Sir, I have some questions regarding the strategy. A. My first question is that it is a trend following strategy MACD is a trend following indicator. Correct. Super Trend is a trend following indicator. And moving average is a trend following indicator. So these three indicators are showing us the same thing. (21:05) Then why are we using all three of them on the same chart. In this we need confirmation. In this, it should not happen that we enter and the market goes sideways. Ok? So a super trend indicates a proper trend. The moving average is telling us that the price of the previous 20 days is now breaking this price. (21:27) Are we okay? So we get that one confirmation. MACD is telling us that it is trend following but in advance. Sir, the leading indicator will tell us in advance what will happen next and will also tell us the strength in it. The MACD will tell both. The strength will also indicate that it is now going to fall very fast. (21:43) Are we okay? So for that reason we want to work by taking double or triple confirmation so that our chances of loss are minimized because we are going to take this overnight trade and due to the lots and lots of uncertainty because of so many factors. So we don't want our capital to erode. So if we get more and more confirmations, we will be assured that our chances of loss will be less and our probability will increase. (22:08) So that is the reason we have used all these three indicators which is a trend following indicator which out of which MACD is a very leading indicator. Super trend is little lagging that is it starts falling down then shows and moves with the moving average price. That is why we use three indicators so that our winning probability increases. (22:27) Got it. Another thing that comes into it is that as we saw some examples there was a steep fall. Correct. Right? And I saw some more places where there was a fall, our target which was support one, support two, support three, it came there, touched it and went up. Correct. (22:48) Right now the problem that many traders face is that they know exactly where to exit. If you talk to many people like this then they come to know and when you ask them what is your biggest regret, no one has said in any trade that I missed this trade. No one said, oh, I have increased the loss a little in this. He does not regret it because he knows that there will be losses. (23:09) Correct. They regret that they did not book the full profit. Correct, I sold it here and after that it went up a lot. Or I had my sailing skewed off and then dropped further. Now we saw the examples that at some places the market is giving reversal after your first to second target above S2. If you exit there and then there is such a steep fall, then it is obvious that you will always regret it. (23:34) Correct. So how do you handle it in this situation? Look, it is like this that in this we have to keep the psychology that the market is a very big ocean. Hmm. Ok? That sea is such that we cannot consume all its water. Ok? So we should be happy with the money that has come to us. Ok? So now someone has the capacity. (23:56) Like now there are swing traders. Swing traders are those who have good capital. The capital is 10 lakh, 20 lakh. He does. Correct. Ok? That's where swing trading comes in. Those who have less capital come under options. Right? So one thing we can do in this is that you have capital. You should work in two lots instead of one lot. (24:14) Ok? So like a private one came. Ok? Where support or resistance comes. So this is the nature of the price or this is the rule that whenever it comes near resistance or support, it will give a reaction. Are we okay? So we will not be able to measure how much that reaction is going against us or how much it will benefit us. (24:31) So if we reach such a level then we should book 50% of our amount at that level. Ok? So we will not have that regret that hey friend, the price fell a lot from here and I could not take advantage of it or the price reversed from here and I am left with this holding and I have to bear the loss or my profit has reduced. (24:54) At such a point where there is private or support, we should book 50% and for the second 50%, we should see that the price takes four actions. Open High Close and Low. Ok? These are the only four actions of Price. Correct. So whenever a candle is above the previous candle, understand that we are going towards the bullish side. (25:13) Ok ? So one thing we should keep in mind is that on the hourly time frame, if you feel that I may miss that trend or my profit may be lost. So one thing we should keep in mind is that if you are swinging on the hourly time frame, then if you are on the bullish side of the previous candle, then if any hourly candle closes below the low of the previous candle, you can exit there once. (25:33) Ok? If it closes below the low, it means that sellers are now dominating the buyers. For a short term period, I should exit here once. And I should ensure my profit and take it home. Ok? Now see, you will not be able to take the entire universe, you will be able to take the maximum profit that you can get by understanding the price action. (26:02) So if you put this minimum in your trading that whenever the price closes above the previous day high, then I am on the bullish side, meaning buyers have come there and it has closed below the previous day low or it has closed below the low of the previous candle. Sellers have arrived there. (26:16) So from there, if you are in the opposite direction, then you should exit there once. Or if you want to enter, you can enter there by saying that I have seen that now buyers have come here, so now I can take the bullish side here. You will have to keep some psychology in this that I cannot spend the entire money. Whatever I got is mine, I am at least taking that much home. It's not like that. (26:33) Here in the market 99% as SEBI always says that 90-95% people are the ones who make losses. Correct. At least you are not one of them. You are among the 5% who are going green and closing and taking the money home. We are this thing. So if you work with this psychology and keep working on any setup, then that setup will reward you. (26:54) Not immediately, but maybe after a month, two months, three months, you will get such a jackpot trade, in which you entered today and tomorrow a huge gap down opens, the short is wrong, such things keep happening. But if you practice one thing, it will reward you and will continue to do so. (27:12) Now we have one very practical question on this particular strategy. You talked about 50%, right? So the 50% rule works mostly when you have two targets, that is, we have booked one in our first target and we are trailing the rest using it, like here we are using super trend correct, here we have multiple targets correct upwards, R1 is our first target, R2 is the second target, R3 is the second target, so where will our 50% book be? At R1, R2 , R3 or some other level? So this private thing is mainly for the people who are not able to identify (27:48) which is the previous resistance. Ok? Now who knows, right? Who knows that here, like I remove this trend super trend here now. Private was also removed. This was also removed. Ok? Now it's falling from here to here. So I know that the first major support from here is right here. Correct? So whatever R1, R2, R3 comes in between, I will ignore it. I will wait until I get here. (28:07) Are we okay? Here I will do 50%. If it were me, if I had taken the trade here, then in that case your S2 would have become the first target. S2 would have been my first target because there is no legible support here where he has respected before. He showed the first respect here. Did it here first. Then did the same thing here again. (28:27) Ok? So my first legible target will be here. Now those who do not know whether to take this support or this support here. For them, it is like S1 will be the first target. You can book here once. As you work on it, you'll realize, no, this one is n't working that well, but this one will work well. (28:46) So, look here, now if you look here, the price moved in this zone for a long time. It fell after that. Are we okay? So, whatever resistance there is , that is a zone. There is no such price. That is the zone that there is support on this zone. So, it will spend some time here, then it will fall or reverse from here. Correct. (29:02) So, for me or anyone who keeps practicing this will realize that yes, now this is the zone. Here I should book Target One. After that, if it goes down, I'll go to Target to pay. If it reverses from here , I will exit my second one with less profit. We are this thing. So, Fibonacci is just a tool to identify the target. There is no such thing as a target. (29:19) If you take a target in options , then options are traded 1000 times in a single day. You will think that it will be my double, I will leave. Doesn't happen like this. Our target is just for reference purpose. If you know how to trail, you will get maximum profit. You will exit almost near the top or near the bottom if you are short. (29:40) Note it. And one last question on the strategy sir, risk management, you taught that this will be the stop loss, this will be the target. On that basis, your quantity can also be determined based on how much risk you want to take? Why did you choose Fibonacci based pivot points? Why not simple and camerala all this? Any particular reason behind this? What Fibonacci has is that it also captures the emotions of its traders. (30:03) So how is it in that there is a level like 38% 58% 61%, so whoever has made this, whoever is its inventor, has done scientific back testing and seen that whenever the market retraces to 38%, we go from bottom to top, once the market retraces from 38%, that means it stops and reacts there, so that is why the accuracy of Fibonacci is much higher than other types of pivots, as you said Camarilla or it is more than standard pivot. (30:34) So there is also some emotion involved in this, what were the emotions of the traders when it was created. So this has been created by implementing that. So there are some emotions on 38%. 61% have the highest emotions when it comes to pay. From there, strong resistance or support is considered. That is counted in the golden ratio. (30:55) The market will either fall in that sector or reverse from there and go up. Equal. So that is a point where all traders feel, meaning when it was made, those who made it after doing research, then this was that point, 61% 50% reactions to the prices come there. That is why it is used with so much accuracy and this Fibonacci is accurate. (31:16) Got it. I think that's all sir. I mean, it was quite interesting. The Highlight of the Strategy It Was Pretty Simple. Meaning you are looking at three indicators and on that basis you are taking a trade. You are trading in futures and in cash. If you want to make money in a downfall, you are most likely using the futures and then if you are going on the bullish side, you can do it in cash also. (31:40) Right? And using the three simple indicators which is very basic. You have not made any major changes in any indicator. Apart from choosing the right time length for the moving average. Creating a Profitable Strategy from These Basic Indicators At least I am not saying that it is a very advanced strategy but at least those who are beginners can create a great understanding of the market using this. (32:04) Correct correct correct. Right. What I am saying in this is that trading is a very simple thing. The simpler you keep it and the simpler indicators you use, the greater your profitability will be. You will put 10 indicators in it, one will say Pro, one will say Buy, one will say Sell, then what will you do? Correct. (32:20) You will become a mess. The more simple we keep it, there will come a point where you will not need to use even a single indicator. If you just look at this bear chart, you will know whether the market will go up or down from here. Right? So you will be able to reach that level if you keep simple things simple. (32:36) The less complicated you are, the more your chances of winning increase. Got it. I think that's a good note to end this video on. Thank you so much for being here sir and thank you so much for sharing this strategy. And how did you all like this entire video, let us know in the comment section below. Try this strategy. (32:52) Do a backtest. And let us know in the comments what results you are getting. Apart from this, if you have any questions, you can also tell us by writing them in the comments. And I think sir will help us to answer all of them. Definitely definitely. And not just that sir, we have given the link of all the courses of this in the description. (33:05) Along with this, we have also given the scanner of this entire strategy in the description. And along with all this, when you take courses, you get free access to these webinars. What Mode Do You Want? And what's stopping you from not clicking on the link and checking out those courses. So or on that note thank you so much everyone for watching this video. (33:21) I hope this video has created some value for you. So all what you have to do is like and share this video with all your trader friends. And we'll see you in the next infatuation content like this. Till then keep learning and keep trading with ups. See you guys in the next one and thank you so much sir for saying. Thank you so much. Thank you.

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