Best Swing Trading Strategy for Salaried Employees Hindi | Episodic Pivot ft. @AnkurPatel59

I had a taxi business. My drivers used to drive two taxis. So I had a lot of time. So at that time I He used to watch the stock market all day. My wife told me that he was wasting time. He was also wasting money. Why? Did you go into the swing trade? I never understood the fundamentals. You can also say that my direct entry It happened in technical field. So maybe I did not see anything beyond that. Whatever I have mentioned in the book, my name is in it. There is no claim that this is my thing. I also get taught by someone else and I have mentioned their name there as well. [music] Hey guys, welcome to another episode of connecting the dots. And in today's episode, I have listened to all of you guys. You said you Want to learn swing trading. So I have got an expert Ankur Patel to come and explain everything that there is about Swing trading. Now this is not intraday trading. This is something that even working professionals can use and this is some Different strategies of how to enter, how to exit, what are the different scanners that are there and how do you actually navigate All of this. Now all of this will be shared and this episode is going to be power packed. So stay tuned till the end. By the way, I Also notice that almost 82% of the people who watch this video do not subscribe to the video. So if I have provided any Value to you in this entire podcast or before that please subscribe to this channel. And also I want to give a big shout out to Grow because we are now part of the groan network and they have sponsored this channel so We can come out and give amazing content to all of the fu guys. So if you want to know more about grow then definitely go check the link In the description. So, Ankur, very very very happy that you have come all the way here. I know it's been a very hectic day. Ah but you know in my audience lot of people have asked me that Shashank we want to learn Swing Trading and We Want to Understand More Concepts on Swing Trading. Now I Know You Have Written This Amazing Book on Swing Trading Simplified. Ah and all of you guys should definitely go check this book out. I know there are lots of strategies in this book. Ah but Because we don't have all the time in the world. Let's focus on some simple strategy. So first Ankur ji, I want to understand ah Why did you get into swing trading and may be not fundamental or you know why did you go into swing trading? Ah that's nice Question to start with. So I started back in late 2016 and at that point There was not much material available if you know like this then everything is pretty much available online. YouTube good I am doing everything. But I just think it just happened. You know I am a family guy I was in Together. There I heard about a stock Suzelon and next few days I started Tracking that stock and I saw it went up. So I had my taxi My business was that of drivers travelling in taxis. So I had a lot of time. So I started tracking and I saw that this stock went up. So the next time I saw that It went up so I bought it again and had no idea how the stock The market works etc. So, the first time the money comes in cash, like stocks I heard about option trading in the market. So I will tell you the story. People normally trade a stock on average. Let's say if you buy at 80 then you will average it at 40. I have done options averaging At the time of averaging I had monthly options. I did not know that the option would become zero. So wait I don't know for me it may become one I used to take monthly NIFI calls in 2 months and average them so that the call of 120 came I think at that time Nifty must have been at 11-12 so I used to average it. No and then my wife told me brother you are on time You are wasting it. You are wasting money also. If you have to learn then just go and learn and get into the things because of me I had a lot of time. So at that time I used to watch the stock market all day and mostly in Gujarat. So then I started learning technical fundamentals but I never understood the fundamentals I think I can also say that if I got direct entry in technical then maybe I did not see anything beyond that in fundamentals. So I am not again a pure technical guy. I Fundamentals, like I told you before this meeting that I am minus in fundamentals, so I am not against fundamentals. At least I don't know, I don't have that credibility or that knowledge, I think the technology is more simple Yes. That is the reason why I went into technical field. And then slowly things went deeper inside. Gradually things started to unfold. And eventually it was discovered that if you trade intraday I can't do it because I had lost a lot of money in options. I don't need to do it intraday, just It then becomes very hectic the whole day. So that's the thing that when I started trading I did not know that this There is also a profession called full time trading. So then eventually I came to know that this is The way it happens is that when the stock is in momentum, I read books on it and from there I came to know that it is like a stage shoot There is a thing that like a good fundamental stock, you will also see the same only when the stock comes in a momentum. And then I I went and studied it carefully and I noticed that yes this is true that when a stock is in a good momentum there But money is made quickly and in large amounts. So you just have to repeat the same thing again and again when you buy a stock Whenever the time of that stock was over, because eventually the stock comes down or goes sideways also, then that is why I Then I started this swing trading, I understood but there are many strategies in this swing trading, right? I mean many people make 52 week high and breakout, right now the breakout squads are also happening at the same speed, so you have your How was the system developed? There was a lot of iteration in it. Yes, for the first time when you developed this entire system I started with trial and error, so when I started learning, I learned indicators like MACD, RSI. I learned about the deal and I missed some stock alkyl amines if You can either buy it for 202, I was buying it for 400-450, I did not take it because a I had an indicator of ADX, something should have happened there but it did not happen so I thought that I should not buy this stock. And then it disappeared above 0000 and at that point I thought that now I can't rely on this indicator. And then I went through the book and the books. At that point I just clipped a Darvas box and took five of it. Consolation I eventually if you see what we will be discussing today the core in any pattern No range contraction is normal when we talk about any stock that it is building pace or accumulation is taking place If it is, then that accumulation will be within a range. That range is what you will call range contraction. So the stock will go in a small range in a range. And when it comes out of there, someone is buying it. Maybe Be it a fundamental reason or any other reason, if that stock comes out from there then I start tracking it again from there. hmm. ok so can we go into ppt mode and understand some setups because i want to learn if i want to learn your strategy So how will it do it. So now this is a BSE stock and if you see, it was up 400% on BSE. Are we okay? Now you are a fundamental person. You caught this. 400% no, you didn't. And you were scared too when it went up At first I thought it would not go any higher. Okay? Next Cochin CPR it came 800% I did it 800% no I did not. That too happened in almost one year. Yes, in one year the thing is that if you look at any These legs are also there in the stock. I have also mentioned this in the book, this is that area, if you can see how much this is that area Money is made quickly here. So that's a one swing move. Now after this you see these three to six months are completely sideways It is gone. Are we okay? Call it basing or range contraction, then again it speeds up, so my idea for this stock is this That even if I don't make 200% or 300% in this 800%, it is not necessary that every time We will gain 200-300% but my idea is that when the stock is coming out of this base When it is coming in momentum, because as you can see, 80% of the stocks remained sideways, 20%, this is 800% If you look at the move candle wise, there will be selective weekly candles where it would have moved 15, 20, 25% or other ways It may have moved sideways as well. So the idea is that when such moves come, I should catch it. And that too with very small risk because I don't know the fundamentals but I came to know that something is happening inside this stock If some activity is happening then an extreme volume candle is formed in the stock and a very good volume candle is also formed This tells me that something is happening with this stock so the idea is that you will grab multiple moves which A strong move is made from here, one which is made from here, one which is made last from here, the fear in this is that every stock is up to 800% After this, the next thing you can see is that the stock gave a move of 125% and then it came down to 50% This is actually the fear we have, so if you are a very core fundamental guy Those who know a lot of things and are also aware of the fundamentals, when the stock goes sideways, now we don't have that tension See, very few people want their stock to go up every time, which is not possible, so now after it goes up 125%, it will go up 50% If Pulbak is giving it, then not everyone will be able to hold it, most people will not be able to hold it. So that is why I came up with this idea This is a swing factor, I built my system on this so that whenever I buy a stock These are coming out in a swing, I will watch them and catch them somewhere. And mainly these are mostly stocks which behave Are there a pattern that stocks mostly momentum stocks follow the pattern I repeat the same pattern in a stock I should continue trading in other stocks from here. Understood? Now let me ask you another question that in one year as we have seen from 2023 onwards, You will get more opportunities like 100% of the stocks have doubled in a year. Correct. But more than that, if I ask you where will you get 30 to 50% opportunities? You have got more opportunities compared to 100% movers. So that is the main idea that you try to catch multiple moves of 30 to 70% Will you do it or 30 to 50. Now I guarantee that in the Indian market, if you go and check the data, then mostly you will see 70 in momentum move. You will get moves of 100% only. Meaning if a stock goes up 100% in 3 months then there There are very high chances that it will not give any returns in the next 2 to 3 months. Correct. Okay? So at that point if you are investing in a similar If you are an investor, you will sit holding it. But for a swing trader, the money that is lost is also lost because money He can put it somewhere else. So that is why in a year you will get 30 to 50% more moves. You will get more repeats What you have to do in this mode is that suppose railway stocks are in trend then you transfer the money to railway stocks and invest it there But catch that swing move. If the same money is going into power again, then you will slowly understand the whole process. So this is the whole concept that I told you about my idea, so if I go to the previous slide and first tell you Let me tell you that this area is the range contraction area, first of all you can see that here I will also show you a proper stock but this Where suddenly the stock came out from this whole basing somewhere here Whatever range contraction breeds there, my funda is that I first invest in the stock I will wait for the momentum to come. Why would I? Because as I said that the fund houses which I Or if there are big investors, big institutions who are buying, then how will they know when there is a price movement in the stock? A good leg would have formed, a good move would have come from the bottom, then that will confirm to me that a momentum has come in the stock Now that the momentum has come, I will not buy it straight away because I want to buy at low risk. That means my stop losses Today my stop loss is not more than 2.5% of my average stop loss. If I buy at 100 from my buying price then it will be bigger than 97.5 I will not have a stop loss. If my stop loss is not set then I will leave the stock and then buy the stock. so wa low stop loss very yes because you are in non churn business here and because if you do you can trade with 10% stop Loss. But the thing is that this whole game is about risk reward. Now in the stop loss of 10% your The trade will give you three times return only if it goes up to 30%. We are right? Now what happens if it goes up to 2.5% I have to keep my stop loss at 7 or 10% only. I am taking my 4-5% of my risk. Okay? And I can Correct. Actually, by taking the same risk, let's say I have a risk of ₹10,000 in my account, then 2.5% will give me more money and 10% will not allow me to buy that much quantity because My stop loss is very big. So technically if you go this then it is a range contraction. This is my idea Whenever this stock comes out of this range, buy it and this is very interesting because this The mistake a lot of people make is the first range expansion which is weather it is whatever it is right it is Gone up, people think that if it has gone up, then it cannot go further so it will fall down or its journey is over, but you wait again may be this is weeks don't know how much time may be even months you You wait until this range has contracted and when the breakout happens again from the range for the second journey, only then you can buy it If you take low stocks then mainly you will say that the stock has reached stage two and the stock has come into momentum so I know that this stock has not done anything Something has happened, I don't know what happened, but there is some reason, someone is buying this stock and that is why I have enough reason I bought the stock because the volume also came from below and the stock is also up from above. I just tried and repeated that whatever The stock has filled such a candle that from the first day onwards as soon as the stock starts showing such a move, I should drag it Let me start. Okay. And then whenever I feel that again you said this many times a month because when If momentum comes then it does not go to basing again. It does not go to a big base again. It mostly remains here even for a week or two. Let me give you a chance. Okay, we are fine? So that's basically the idea. This is the core. The core of the whole system is that the range What will happen after expansion is that after range expansion there will be range contraction. And here again range expansion which It happened again and after this you will again see range contraction here. And this can happen again and again. Because it happened again and again. Till then there is no market Maximum I have seen that the good trades are four times, I have noted them four times but after the third time you will see volatility As I said earlier, this coming down from the top will be a bit much. So my principle is that whenever I When the stock comes out of such a base, I try to buy it on the first post itself. As I said, if I told you earlier in the video, I told you that there is a move of 30 to 70%. So the sooner you buy from it, the better it will be that some stock will be bought from the average move It would have gone to 200. But I am talking about an average move because we work on probability. We don't know whether the one with 100 will go to 200. But we know this I know that the chances of walking after 100 are less. That's right. So I will take out that money and I will see that money to something else. So just like it is in range, it is exactly the same in volume. Now you have seen it in this Confirmation is also needed in the volume and ups and downs in the price. So whenever you see that with a large volume There has been a breakout in a stock. Okay? There is an R World tool for this. Whatever indicator leaks etc. are there I will share it with you. I have videos of how to use it, so I will share the link right now because So that people do not have any confusion, I will provide you the link of how to use it and how all these stocks will appear on the screen I will give you all that as well, what links do you need first of all, what tools and indicators do I use You will get all the links and how to use it correctly. This is your idea that you are a strong Hold the stock, if you buy it here then it is best, if you cannot do so then here you will know ideally best of two my taste this does like this only i will wait here because i don't know So there is a strong move here and I will look to enter here so that I can know that there is volume here as well And the stock is also going in momentum, it is not necessary every time that the stock goes to such a fourth leg, even if the market is good If it is not there then he can fail in the first leg as well but this is the main idea I follow so what alert do you keep in this that this If the price goes up then give me an alert, then should I buy now or will you let it go and then buy the next day on the second leg Yes I buy in the second leg if I look at the previous day's high, I will discuss with you where I buy. But this is that area if we understand it If anyone wants to understand then this is that area that if the stock would have made something like this then I look to buy here that it is also quite good It is coming out of consolidation and you should also understand that if a stock is out of consolidation of 6-8 months There must be some reason. This is the cycle fully, if we understand it in more detail We are very interesting about this. We have mentioned this in the whole book as well that it can break out from here. Here a very small base is formed, it may be formed many times and it may also be big, then there is a base in two stages and then Basis eventually you will see the stock price and if you go and note it down in multiple stocks then you will get the idea that the stock is not yours First of all, here is the iconic DND face, you do not need to touch it, say 'Do not disturb' because there is nothing in stock here. That's it. Correct. Now what will happen here is that either your time or money will be wasted. What we want is that there should be momentum in the stock I call it young trend. Why young trend? Because just if that stock is emerging from the bottom then it will be at that place. This is a good opportunity to buy. If you buy a stock here, it goes from 60 to say 130. We So that's already in that late state I call that its move is about to end there. This is because in the Indian market as I said I told you that after 100% move you will definitely see sideways action for 8 to 12 weeks. So I I don't want to buy a stock which can go down. I don't want to buy a stock which can go sideways because there are both cases I may waste my time and money. So I use 10 and 20 EMI. And whichever stock is emerging new and is giving a breakout, I will tell it from here and here mostly you will find a common stock. If you see, there will be a candle bigger than 6.5%, it is in the scanner so beavers have to spot it It will be that difficult and it will come in the scanner, after the scanner you just have to wait for it that it will be his entire game here. So basically any stock in your scanner which goes above 6.5% will be on your watch list It will come in. It will come. Then you will wait that this base is made, the base is made. Then you will keep watching every day and Then when a new breakout is coming, the volume is also expanding, then only you can try a range. Like I told you, range The contract when it becomes extreme will be very small yes because eventually it has to go up because someone has already said yes It can go down in some cases. Obviously it can go down. But now the range has contracted so much that it can get a tighter range from there. I have no place to go. So that's the way you build this gut feeling. Now you have to follow a system, continuous trade. You will do it. You will know that today is its day and normally I used to buy on this earlier. But gradually you will reach 100% If you trade, if you trade 200 times on the same system then you will come to know. More and 100 SI said that I repeat mode If I do this then I will start knowing how the stock behaves near which candle. But worst case you have a stop of 2.5% I have a loss. I know my loss. So let's come to the real game. You see this daily candle here. Okay. This is a daily candle. Mostly 80 to 90% of my entire system is built on daily candles. Because weekly is a good candle, there is no doubt that weekly is a good candle. You will see many things clearly on weekly. But I like daily because I like I need a big move and quickly because if I go with the stop loss of 9% then For me the daily candle will be the set. You can see that we have decided whether it is 10 EM or 20 EM. Okay Is it? Mostly stocks will trade around 1020. The moving averages. Okay. So this is range expansion This is your stock with a good run of 6.5% above 6.5, such multi candles built And here in buying also you can see volume is also up yes now after this the stock has gone down to deep low of 2020 came around and can you see the right tight candles here hum ok so I look to buy above this candle and may be above this candle hum technically I will buy above this candle only I must have already entered this candle and then next day it built up but now this is what I am saying. You Do you keep an alert on this or gt that gt. gt If I am not in front of the screen, then I keep gt. Yes because we think that if we stay in office then we will have to cut down on GDT. Okay. So that's a setup. One like this You will see this setup of G GT by the way for those who don't know it's a preset number that you can put and say if When this comes at this rate, you automatically buy it. So you are presetting the brides. It's like good till triggered. Good till trigger. Yes till trigger here. So understood. Or you have no doubt here, it is perfect now. next now i did the same thing on this one. can you see this stock correct It came out of the basics. Suddenly, I don't know. Now look at the volume below. Okay? Then the stock went sideways. We end up going back to 1020 EMA. Again it formed an expansion. Again sideways It's going up again. So how many months is it? April to August. May to August May to August. And I think this 26th 46 must have become 100, right, this is what you are saying dude That after 46 I have done this basic thing for three times here I can go and trade you can check that after a move of 100% of 100 You don't have the time in these three to six months to see what has fundamentally happened, you think It will not get spoilt, it will not get spoilt, my reason is inbuilt that when I starred then it became like this I used to see some checks on TV, yes, this fundamental stock is good, at that time I thought stock T20 in 2018 On hearing any voice of SRC NBC I get up daily and whatever stock those people They used to give me for intraday, I will buy such stock and I will buy a good five shares, my one is bigger than mutual fund Time itself had become a portfolio filled with stocks. We will learn from our mistakes and if we don't understand, then from that time. How much do you usually take at a given point of time? How many trades do you have open in a good market? In a good market In a good market that's all that's all and in a bad market bad market one and two mine now you have bad The market will give you a breakout. Okay. My stop losses will be triggered. Now I know that when my four trades trade at the same time, I will see a breakout. Five stop losses were triggered in the last one week. I know the market has deteriorated. We and even if the market does not deteriorate, I will be I am not trading well. That is why I had four stop losses. So you should go to that point and see that. You will have to figure out where the mistake is. And most of the time if you are there in the business for five years you will know that this is your mistake. It is not a mistake. The market is moving up and down. So the last time it happened, it was like this. Give me one position Position Bill Rise & 2nd was IPL we booked Stop Loss in Bill Rise Profit The figure came out to be around the cost but I understood that now you will get something more in this market, there is a lot of volatility here ok understood this so there you see again this lock ma'am see that ��� from the very bottom Don't do these things again, mostly the people who are watching, my only advice to them is that you have to look at this candle from very low The sooner it is done the better, get a base if you do it 70% in 3 months After the stock is traded, if you are looking at this, you will see the bottom candle here, no doubt there is a range contraction here. Yes, but the chances of it going up from here are very low. It has been exhausted. This stock is again 650. It has already reached 1200 and I am not saying that this stock cannot go up from here But for it to go up from here it will have to rest for 8 to 12 weeks, that is what I am saying, so someone Do not misunderstand that brother you had said that the stock will not go up but it can go up but the way it did from here so quickly If he moves from here so fast and does not move from here then there is a probability also in this, yes, you are seeing that one thing gets repeated There is range expansion then it's tight range and this tight rate, that's why I hold this range contraction or this I built the system on top of this because my stop loss is 2.5%. If I go here and do this stunt on a big price If I make 2.5% then my trigger will be there. So what I try and do is that if any stock is making around 2.5% If you look at the percentage on this day, it will be around 2.5% or so. That is why I buy such candles eventually I am seeing that the volatility has already come down a lot. And then I will buy it because the buyer here will come back to buy it again. But I have a question, your scanner shows 6.5%. In a good market, there is a lot of profit. All the scanners must be coming. So if you think 20 companies have come, then you will put them in the watch list and do this every day by scanning 5-10 companies. So how much have you seen in your experience that in these stocks most of them go down or actually in it What is the success ratio which comes in the scan, scan to breakout, so mostly after coming in the scan, it is usually 5 to They stay there for 10 days. I keep track of them. Now when the scan comes, you will note one thing that batch wise it is the same. Repeat stocks of the sector started coming in. We are your first side that something is happening in railways. We mostly see that if you check the fundamentals of a sector, you will know that there are some changes in the hotel sector like Symbli right now. It looks good. Cement is being developed, hotels are being developed. Last time auto and slurry were being developed. You have to focus on that. You can dream about that. What is your question basically? Another question that comes with it is that when there are so many big names on your list If it is there then how will you bring it to Charp name or 10 names? We will go directly to the sector for setup You will see quality liquidity. The liquidity of the stock is also in my indicator that the price of a stock worth Rs. 5 crores is in 50 If you count the daily average volume, even if the liquidity is not good, I would not say buy. So most of all the SME stocks They will be removed. The stocks that you find in one or two T2 categories will be removed. Firstly, such stocks It will be removed because now you understand that if you run the scanner, then this panel will come in my list even after this candle. Correct but it is not tradable for me because it has three legs yes so my idea is that that is exactly what we saw in the cycle momentum In the cycle, there should be young stock. Young means that the stock is not 50, 70 or 80% run down. meaning it's coming out of a long base it has just come up for the first time meaning if it has moved let's suppose that you If you see that this move is going on then give it rest for 8 to 12 weeks. That's all I am trying to do to ensure that after 2 months, you can buy any stock. Also trade it, it might be coming out of 2 month or 3 month base, it is a good way to trade your chances there You can also apply stage analysis on it. That means it is at stage two right now. Then it becomes flat so it is at stage three. It will go. It will go to three. Then it will decline to four. So you can do that too. Meaning you can mix these two things. I don't do this, I keep things very simple because my idea is that if I do what you are saying That's a weekly stage by Styles Westin. We so that I also noticed that someone Also in stock like the 600% move is 300 400 600 see Laxmi cam when it came When it happened it went very quickly then Happiest Mine then Balaji MIS after that IRCTC one I was on point, now go and see, whichever stock gave a 300-400% move very quickly, that stock did nothing in the next 2 years Correct, I have seen that, yes, okay, that is the same thing that I invest, if this stock moves 100% from here and it gives another leg of 2% After a month, I gave it again, I know that now you should look into some of this in Railways or Defence Correct, now a move of 600-800% has happened and you will not get any return from there for 2 years. So now we will look at another sector Sector is right, just recently you can see that this is also around the basic, this Like you know technically this is happening in just two days. So this is very difficult for you, even for me I did not trade You will be able to judge very little in these two days. But you see again because people ask me a question that Sir, after this range expansion, what will happen? What is the fixed day for contraction? Yes, how many days does it take? If you think about it, whether it is a fixed day or after the fifth day If you buy only then there should be no stop loss on the sixth day. But there is no trading because it is an art. It will not run at 100%. Some stocks will fail even after the eighth day. Some stocks will go up even after the 12th day. So it All about how tired it gets. You can see that here again it got tired. Again it gave a leg. And now you can buy this stock If you look at it, it started coming down again in two-three legs. Now there is a question in it, let's assume the first range expansion is done. Then He went sideways for seven days, then you saw that tightness and you said bye but It may also happen that it did not crack at all, meaning it will continue to be flat, so you also put a time stop that this much time It took a long time, suppose it lasts for a week, now the stop is so tight, then one thing will happen that If it does not move then my stop loss will anyway get triggered. If it goes flat then it means I am exiting it if it remains flat for 4, 5 or 6 days. I did not do anything and if that setup is still not good then in main case because if you are giving flat it means it is getting tighter we going flat could also mean this we It did not even take my stop loss and if the setup still looks good to me, I will add it to another case I understood, okay, okay, because my funda is the same that re contraction, so if this thing here And if it is getting tighter then it is better for me sir it is another opportunity to add correct then even after this it does not work suppose that 1 If nothing happens for a month then I will go back to normal and type in 1 month but Santosh stock can go down and exit like that. will give okay fan enough make sense now we have understood all these things that above It will go up but it is not necessary that all the stocks go up. That's what I said, how much position do you normally take in this, when the price goes down This is important. Yes because ultimately these charts will not make you money. Yes Money will make you money based on how much you bet. If I am starting with 1 lakh then what position should I take in the best market I am doing sizing. Should I put it in 1010 or should I keep cash and how do I do it percentage A I am also one question is also missing that what is your skill level, if you have 1 lakh then consider yourself a beginner, consider yourself a beginner So I would say that if you are a beginner you should go with 10% only because only he can acquire any skill worth Rs. 1 lakh. If the expenditure is going up then I will tell him that brother, invest 25% in one stock, buy only four stocks because you have that Correct your skills because then there is money to be made because where you are taking risk you get 25% return Also, it will increase by that much because if you over diversify, that is, if you go into 10 stocks, then some of your stocks will also go up You will go but some will pause you down as well. What we want is that we should make more money from where we bat These patterns, these range contract and expansion are not making us money. Actually I said the same thing that I caught such a good setup. Now my I have 10 lakhs. Now out of 10 lakhs, I have invested ₹ 00 in this setup called Loys Enterprise. I invested only ₹00 in it, so I did not make any money even after going there. Correct. Even if the stock is running double But I did not make any gain at the portfolio level. So that is why you need to understand that position sizing will also matter in this case And if you make your stop loss position sizing bigger, then you can have a stop loss there too. If you make it smaller, then it will be there There can also be stop losses. So depending on the mood and market you are entering, that is very important. Are we okay? And as I said your ratio will be less than 60%. You can even reduce it to 50%. Say don't spend to win everything. This is my trade. Recently I traded this here, this red candle. As soon as it reached a high, I bought it. My stop loss is at yes as this is also a contraction. It was coming positive and then suddenly a red candle came, look at this stock, it is right from Beijing It is coming from this and Tanla platform so if I remove my name at this moment then you would not get any I don't see any difference, it is just the difference of that red candle, so your stop loss was there, so it got hit, I simply did not exit now I am going to finish this one at 2500 and hold it at 1900 and this is the recent one right now in JG camp. So you can also see that here I had taken out a trade early but eventually you can see this also that it went sideways, your trade got triggered and it also went up and then it is coming now we So technically this also happened sideways, a range contract expansion, momentum came in the stock, good buying happened and If it went sideways, you took entry at low risk, taking your stop loss, then what will be the exit plan that you have There will be a simple one or two ideas. What will happen in selling is that either you sell the stock into Strength means if a stock is going to ���. You can buy this stock right here and sell it. Sorry if you have bought here or here then you should sell in strength when the stock is showing strength. Because you took a risk of 2.5%. Now the stock is up 20-22%. You sell even portion Be you sell 50% and then you wait that may be one way is that if the close is below 10 EMA then you sell 50% and then you wait that Take out the day on that day. That is one way that is called sell to sell. Still it will be a little hybrid that you can increase the portion a little and you will have it What will happen is that if the stock goes down from here, then you will not feel that I am missing I did this, if the price goes up then you will not feel guilty that I sold it early so it's a waste but you should always leave little on the table now you can never do the top never sell out the top you can never sell out the top but lot of people think that we will sell it only at the top, that never happens, it never happens, he says either they are on board and they Are you lying so this one is selling to strength and when the other one is selling to weakness So this means that when a stock sources a weakness to you now in this case it may happen that a stock or so you may also avoid to close below 10 EMA and 20 EMA but for this you have to be ready that the two stocks which went to 1200 from above will go down to 1000 You will have to sell when you get close to it and the difference between 10 and 20 is huge, meaning the higher the stock will go. The difference between 10 and 20 will increase that fast. This is obviously the average of 10 and 20 days, so that difference will also increase very fast. so that's a selling scenario. if you have any question regarding selling you can ask. so usefully what you trail a stop loss if If it goes above one second leg then you trail and you will have to keep a stop loss. So how much do you keep? It would have expanded a little now 2.5 No Stop Yes 2.5 Because initially my stop has moved up. I can keep it from the profit. 5 10% At that time, I take a little rule. Okay because that is ours when we trade. If you initiate it, I don't know how much profit we will make but I know that the loss will be 28% Ok, so there is 100% certainty about one thing before doing it, that how much your loss is, you are already fixed, it is less, profit will come later If you sell the stock, it will come and as we discussed, you will be fine with only 40%. Ok on, I understood fine, so this second system which I will discuss will take very less of your time. But but its core again I repeat the core will remain the same range expansion contraction is a core the core of my system it is not that I There are many people who come and make four systems for you, but my system's core and foundation is still the same. But in this case, when the candle develops then we will not give any reason for it, but now We will go and see those things that you can do when you can give minimum screen time to them or Be able to trade with your schedule and that's why there's a thing called delayed ep episode pie what is eb ep ep is Understand episodic pivot that something happens suddenly in any stock, here also the candle happens suddenly But we don't know, we didn't try to find out why it was made because we didn't want to look at the fundamentals. I still want to see the fundamentals, I still haven't seen them, okay, still I don't see the fundamentals, okay, because I was saying a while ago I don't know fundamentals and in the same video if I say that I have just understood the fundamentals, if I don't know fundamentals then what would I have seen in EP, then we will talk about that Let's discuss if there is a company that is selling a stock of US drug If we are getting approval then the spy lying in the stock was done in Glenmark a few days ago. Okay. So that happened if the government has given some big order that someone is becoming big in this sector or brother there is something in solar Is it happening or it happened in Defence Railways, we will take care of whatever happens suddenly there AP will say episodic pivot, this is a term that is developed by Pradeep Bani, a trader from the US and he also read a book He was reading a book called Finding the Next Superstop by Frank Kabir That idea of this system came from me. So again I said that I owe it to you that I have learnt it from those people Should I give him credit and I don't know where he learned it from before, where he came from, but I think this is his system. I treated it according to the Indian market. Now you must understand that you check the fundamentals of any stock. Okay? So If suddenly something not very good comes in any stock then you will track it We are yes. But if you understand that the same stock went from 900 to 1200 before tracking then The warning was already in the price. Are we okay? So what I check, I don't check the Fundamentals. I check the reaction of that stock to the news. How strong or how weak. Okay? We are saying that the news of that EP is good. I don't know bad. If the government comes and makes this announcement, it doesn't matter to me. It seems that what will happen to this company. But what is the reaction of that company? Is that stock giving a good reaction then? Go and sit, is the market perception strong on that? And the stocks under ownership were mostly that I will tell you later. Why am I talking about under ownership now. Okay? It means whether the market is trying to show you something Trying to do something that no one else had seen, not you. Episodic pivot doesn't mean that everyone knew. Correct. That is something a surprise element. Surprise is a keyword here. Surprise is a keyword. And why am I saying that? will discuss why these things matter now that a ship pattern ship will tell There you will have a big mouth, it will start with the episodic pivot and you He will be able to enter into big moves very quickly because the story of a stock can change The story of any stock can change, we will see examples, so now what are its characteristics like we have seen range expansion contraction We have looked at the characteristics, like it should be a young stock etc., now no stock should be neglected for a long time. Neglected means it has gone completely sideways. One is going sideways or will come down. Both Why will this happen in this case now? What is the reason for being neglected? You will know about under ownership only then. If big fund houses have bought that stock If you had said bye then it would not be coming down. Correct. And it would not have been going sideways for 3-6 months. So that is your neglect. You should do the same You will know this way. That shows you under ownership. Because no one has it, that is why it is going sideways or down. There is one more thing. You will go to Reliance and see that it is not available on the episode. When the company is small, only then it can grow big. There is a chance of . So Reliance TCS Infosys you get that chance very low sense chances of course probability wise. Okay? And that is Why if you see that there was a gap up or a good strong reaction after that I am saying earnings mostly earnings because there are four quarters in our market. So mostly in these quarters you will get quarters You will get an opportunity every quarter. Suppose for one quarter there is a job like you said that if there is a working professional then Every quarter they just have to sweat down and every week and maybe today we are making this video on Saturday So we are sitting on Saturday or Sunday, how many results have come this week and in the same scanner which is of 6.5% scanner, I will get the same result When you go and see that 'Earnings' is written below in the trading view, then you just filter out which stocks What hell did it make because of its earnings? Actually, this was the last time I think there was a company, when we were tracking it. The FS Motors had said that he had given this and he had given this in the last quarter to this quarter Apprently 80% have been given in one quarter why three months sir c hum if you remember OFS in 2023 or 2022 We did it like this, it was same with OFS, yes it also went completely sideways before the result Two candles were formed, I think there was some insider trading and then it went sideways and then it was not as big as the 50 OFS company Very interesting, okay, so it is clear to you till here, yes, okay, so why did the Indian market do this thing? It works as I said it was under the ownership of fund houses. So whenever they checked the earnings etc after post Market results mostly come and then people see that something like this has happened in this stock and they will have to buy it. So let's buy long term, let's think, let's start buying and then if it gets 20% from the first day or opens very well then Then it will go sideways only because if he had to go bye then there will be some continuous stops or there will be two back to back If three candles are formed then that you cannot do anything for that effect, 60% is lost there but then you see That after one or two big candles the stock will move sideways because institutional investors will come to buy it again and that will be good for you too Low risk will become an opportunity. Just like in the previous system, you will get to know about each risk. Basically, you don't know about it on the first day that is where will you keep the risk, you are an intraday trader who is doing it in US if you invest that 10% 5 10 because you have If the stock gaps up by 10% instead of 10%, then in our market you will have two or three sideways moves, then that will be better for you And the reason is that if there is some change in a neglected stock then you will get the return very quickly like you have just done. He said that the force matter went up by 80% in a quarter to quarter. Again, its second benefit is that Working professionals can easily scan it and make their list. Then you do not need to scan it daily It is. Sit comfortably during the weekend and whatever result comes, because you have to wait and do whatever you want and whatever you get out of it, let it go Ideally you will not be able to trade everything. The more precise you are, the more you will be able to trade. If you know the fundamentals then it is better for you. And the advantage is that you go and choose which of these results is good There was a result etc. But as I said I am not capable of that, I don't have that result etc. I don't see it. No, the opposite is happening right now. The results are good. The stock is falling. You C. So that is also a reason. After seeing the results you will see that the stock is falling. Stocks can also go up on bad results. Stocks with good fundamentals also go down. Stocks with bad fundamentals also go up Yes. We are fine. Now we know what is EP. But what is not EP? It is very important to know that It is. What is not an episodic pivot. If the stock is already trending. Before the news if the stock is up 30, 40, 50% If it was there then it could be a case of cell news. Yes, this happened in the defense department. The young train guy will come here again. I have seen the momentum and it will come here because of that, I thought it is ok if there is a gap up or a stop up It happens but there is no volume, then again it is okay if there are big institutional investors already Is it turning on or the news has already understood there that the stock is being taken, suppose today the news came that these things will happen but later I found out that this was a news from Royce that was going viral on Telegram about this stock exchange If it remains below then such gaps are not of any use to you, understood? Now let's take the first example on 2 June 2023 in Osa This is the co-occurrence of three trains. Correct. If you remember, it was sold on Friday and The market opened on Monday and in two days the government came at that time, I think it was some mistake of the driver or something like that It had come. So the government had launched a scheme called Kavach Scheme. Its biggest beneficiary was HB. Power. At that time there was no HB power. Now there is HBA engine. So now you think that there will be a crane kit assembly. Nobody knew. Sudden activity happened but one company is benefiting from it. Benefit to the company means that it is getting some benefit. I am not getting my order etc. And see that the next day market gap up is given by the stock. It came in the scan above 6 1/2%. It is coming in your scan. And then you see the contraction in one two three and eventually This stock went up to 600 yaar. And it still not broken 10 EMA. Or and it went up till 600 correct. So that's it You have basics, that is why I am talking about the foundation in repeat mode because the foundation will remain the same. But here you go and see that something like this happened. Another thing is that such news No, I did not get it on a regular basis. This one off happened like the prime order has changed or someone has Mostly you should rely on the earnings only because there are four quarters of results of so many stocks. If you come there you will get more opportunities because this is a one of a kind thing. You can ask any doubt, any question, any query etc. here. no in this I would say if you can you can go if you want if you can go with the six to 8% stop loss because I have a big reason. I would like to repeat again that I I don't look at fundamentals because they think I am against fundamentals. I am not the one who looks at reactions, I look at reactions And if that reaction is good and it is going sideways, I am getting it at low risk, I will take the trade, so you don't take it on the first day, Same as breakout, yes same sideways idea will remain same but in this you have to hold your For the reason that if the stock is reacting like this on the news and you can see that it has been moving sideways for one or two years And suddenly this news has come, so this is the first example, next example if we look at NACL in Industries, if you Remember recently Murgappan Group and this is the record of Murgappan Group, it is a turn around record. I think about the turn around TI Industries they team can be maybe they had acquired and there you see that it Coromandel has 53% Took stake in NSCL and that was the news range expansion range contraction and then it went from circuit to circuit Correct so option so opportunity so stock was given and here only and circuit to circuit mostly if somewhere here then you You might not have got the opportunity, but how do you deal with such stocks? Circuit to circuit is a bit risky as well, we have that tool as well I will also share that with you where the stock is, I used to deal with it with a lot of difficulty when scanning the stock I do not trade stocks with 5% and 5% circuit. When we talk to you, I know that if there is a gap of 10% There is only 10% space after the up so I know in advance that the stock can go up or down by only 5%. I do not trade Do it. Because I have hit the reverse gear in the same way. So this is the tool for it, its trading If you just look at the view then you will know whether this stock is in 5% or 10% or 20% or FAO. You will send this to me. I am sure that the complete link will be there and everything will be put in it for you. Wonderful Next cover one more story Tata Motors we see Tata Motors again sideways neglected Always look at the fuzz in it so that you know that it is a neglected fuzz. The stock is not doing anything. We Suddenly there was a gap up here. And when I dragged it, I found out that JLR is coming to the UK for the first time because of its subsidy. There, JLR noted profitable profit for the first time. It has come after a long time. And then this stock has this range Contraction was given and after this if you look at this stock, Tata Motors which was priced at Rs 480-500 reached up to Rs 1000 in 4 months In four months, but most of the stocks that I am watching now are riding on the 10 EMA, most of them, so this is the common trend. We should see that even in 20, yes there will be bounce from 20, first there will be one or two bounces, now you will get good bounce at 20 but mostly The stock has become very strong, it will not break 10, now we have become the ones who are going to talk about the future and the story. There were stocks where someone gave an agwire, someone else got the news. Same satary and IT Cement is that above and below the earnings which you are seeing, it is correct, it is visible on the trading view because of the earnings, so the earnings Next pay there is a gap up back to back two day candles and then you can see the range yes six days and seven days of Take the risk, you are here ideally what are my chances that I will be in any momentum I am seeing the momentum, now there is a reason for it here, better earlier there was no reason, so I am like share I do if this is a working profession then this stock can potentially double triple as well. Correct If you can manage again then obviously when I talk about double triple the stock then you have to spread your risk from top to bottom You have to be ready. But here you can see that the stock which was at 684 is correcting to 900 in the same leg and in the same run. ITC risk is also there. Months. Okay? Now we will come to everyone's favorite stock Reliance Power. Now its fundamentals Tell me. You know its fundamentals are bad. Right? No comments. No comments or earnings came. Next day there is a gap. Can you see the gap up? Or can you see the red contraction? Hmm. And from Can You See the 45 it went up to 77. So it got orders one by one. Yes. But this is the thing that I said to I Will I don't know the fundamentals and that is my plus point. But tell me one thing, right now it is at 71. I see it has gone too far from the 10 EMA. That is called parabolic. Yes. So then wouldn't it be like common sense says It means that there will be a lot of mean reverses, book it. When you start getting almost 90° angle moves. Very If the stock falls a lot in a short time, then best case is to book it because it has to come down anyway And even if our rules have not come, SEBI says that we should bring 5% ASM GSF I will give you an idea, it is the same, now the stock is 100% gone very quickly, so they list it anyway I will come in such ASM GSM list that the stock cannot run more than 100% from there, if it ends then better that whole movie will be spoiled The momentum will die, so book it, so that's one good point you put that if there is any reaction of this type in the stock If it is giving so much quickly then you should book it there because if you trail it with 10 EMA then 71 to 50 20 30% will be away We will go to that, that will not make any sense understood but that is one scenario or one example that Where I did not know the fundamentals of R power and these plus points or minus points In case if I knew the fundamentals then the butt is that the plus and minus of a system There will be no minus, I would say bring some fundamental bias as well, analysis paralysis also happens Sometimes I have also seen that a good company is doing well. But I do not buy it based on fundamentals. What I mean If the stock doesn't care, then that is correct. I understand that even a stock with fundamentally bad fundamentals can trade at 30%. 50% or that is what I am saying. That is going on in the news and perception. Very interesting. Sir, all this is good The example is now bad because again as I said no system is 100%. This depends on your FCR of 202 in front now it's going to be a range expansion tie train But fail, keep the same stop loss and let's go, okay, so this characteristic and it has remained the same It showed everything similar, it has a 50-50 ratio of failure and success because it is EP so maybe Because in my case I am not checking the fundamentals, so my ratio remains the same i.e. 40 but I can tell you about your gain wise in this That you get very good moves very quickly, you get to know about it because you get to know about it in two weeks Institutional under ownership is a surprise element in under ownership, no one knows that there is something like this in the stock If it is correct then only these things will react to you like mother this comes again this sideways I came out from there and then I went up to it, it was in a good sector too, everything was perfect and then I understood one thing I said brother keep a stop loss whatever it is don't be greedy in life just keep your stop loss and go okay understand If you have any question then this is the same as this is base no. And as I said if you trail by 50 in this case you can trail by 50 Yes. But you need to be ready. And when I am talking about trail, I am talking about profitable trade. I am talking about that I am not doing it. It should not happen that someone starts trailing from 50. Once you have started your trade with 5% stop loss. So whenever the stock 15% is gone. The first thing you have to do is not to lose on that trade. Are we okay? Now take 5, 6, 7%, whatever it is At least you Winnie the Poor that your winning bat shouldn't turn out into your losing one So you will shift that this stock will go from here above my cost, now it has reached near the cost, if that stock also moves from there Some reactions show that I will take 25-30%, so you book 1/3 if the market is good or 1/3 if the market is bad then book the entire book Do it, book 70% because I would say that because of the market conditions A lot of things will depend on us so Ankur all of you says in your book the second one is not there sorry delayed dp is no so if i want to learn about delayed dp where should i go again I told in this video, still if you upload anyone's video on YouTube, these are my two videos on YouTube Ok, regarding this, but I think fundamentally the range expansion and contraction is in this book. It is a complete exponent with all the edge why momentum cycle all those things inside it where to book how to scan that If someone wants to just place me on top of a candle like this, because I never thought of all these things Correctly, if I find something like that because ultimately I want to trade with range contracts only So why do I have to wait from here, let's see if there is someone who doesn't want to wait from this candle and they want to get the range contract only If it is available then he can make its scanner from here but when I checked this book, it was not available on Amazon, it was sold out It had happened, he was that sir, I had not thought that there would be such a response, honestly but people responded like that It was also trending on Twitter, I think, two-three days ago, so again Ankur, very very interesting because of what you said I think I will summarize a little bit about the weight for the earnings pivot range contraction Expansion will be good. Keep a good stop loss. Don't expect that you will win 40% in every trade. 50% Win Rate Is Great If You Can Do That 50% Is Great 50% Is Great maha right so give 2.5% start stop loss and play on the victory as much as s b the 5% start with 5% because you are a beginner's conviction and this is what I always say that this is what I told you Instead of accepting it directly in our video, it is better that you go and check your system on it and understand it now That's why I have also made a list of the top gainers of the last 10 years along with this, I will give that to you as well If someone goes and studies it properly and tells you to go and follow this diet, but if I will do my bit and ask you, you will go and see why he said these things, then it would be better Whatever I have discussed in this video of RC, you should first go and see what he is saying Is it correct or not, or is it like this, do some paper trading, we will go and check it, do a back test I will provide all the material to all the people who need all the details but they should also take some time to see it themselves. will have to so I think guys one to Ankur first of all thank you this is like crazy amount of Knowledge I think is also for you guys who are into swing trading you want to learn you want to understand so I think now you have got two nice strategies as homework to go and read and understand as much as you want you can do right? right? and again ankur Very very happy. I know you took a by the way he took an early morning flight. Hey, we have set and done this podcast for So long. So, again thanks a lot for coming and giving knowledge to as many people as possible. And here are the links, the scanners. Yes, everything will come in the description for you. So, do do do do do do we have to go to 50 different places. And if any more doubts, any more questions, Ankur Patel has His own YouTube channel where he keeps putting out more content like this, and you should definitely go follow and learn from him The technique, his strategies, how it's evolving over time as well. Right? That's it for today's episode. Ankur. Thanks a lot Again. I can't even explain how good this was. Yeah. Thank you. Hey guys. I hope you Enjoyed today's video and I know that this was slightly lager than the other videos but it was power packed with a lot of Information. Again as a part of the Grow Network. I want tank to grow as well for sponsoring the channel so we can get amazing Content out to you guys. If you want to know more about grow, then check out their link in the description below. And I will see you Guy's son.