Supertrend + 23-EMA Swing (Shubham Agrawal) — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Supertrend + 23-EMA Swing (Shubham Agrawal)

Shubham Agrawal / Upsurge
Analysed 01 Jul 2026, 11:31 PM IST
★★★☆☆ 3.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Swing SupertrendEMA

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “You can't really lose / max loss ~5-7%”

Verdict

Genuinely the cleanest of the Supertrend family. The 'no big loss' claim holds up — the flat-base breakout entry + 23-EMA stop really does cap the downside (large losses are rare). Positive expectancy in the let-winners-run (23-EMA ride) exit; the edge is the fat tail, not the hit rate.
It's trend-following, so regime-dependent and survivorship-leaning on a large/mid universe. 'No big loss' is not 'reliably profitable' — a calm/strong April carried the 6-month portfolio.
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