P
Pullback Swing (Hiren Gabani)
Hiren Gabani
Analysed 01 Jul 2026, 11:31 PM IST
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)
- “In a strong Stage-2 uptrend, buy an orderly shallow pullback to the 10/20 EMA on drying volume and a tight bar; ride with a 1/3-1/3-1/3 runner. Pitched as winning 8 out of 10 times.”
Verdict
One of the more thoughtfully constructed setups — Stage-2 trend, orderly pullback, volume dry-up, runner exit. It clearly comes from a real framework, not just an indicator mashup.
How we tested it
Mechanized on Nifty-50 daily with a market-breadth regime gate, plus an exit-retune test to isolate whether the exit or the entry was the problem.
But the '8 out of 10' claim collapses to a 19% win rate and −0.51R. Re-tuning the exit made it worse, which proves the entries simply don't resolve into wins — the exit was never the problem. The 'orderly vs hard pullback' judgment is either unfalsifiable discretion or survivorship-picked chart examples; it doesn't mechanize on 2024–26 data.
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