The Only Trading Strategy You'll Ever Need — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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The Only Trading Strategy You'll Ever Need

TradingLab · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 03:25 PM IST
★★★☆☆ 3.0 / 5

Why 3.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • A real but modest per-trade edge: +0.22R across 240 trades

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Demand/Supply zones

Verdict

Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: Price-action demand/supply zone strategy: identify trend via higher highs/lows, mark consolidation before impulse as zone, retest zone with 2.5:1 risk-reward minimum. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 240 trades, win 47%, payoff 1.52, expectancy +0.22R/trade (avg +0.29%/trade).

This is a real edge. Reasonably consistent (88% of years positive).

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

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🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)

Tracking since 2026-07-06 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return+18.3%
CAGR+2.4%
Max drawdown-6.4%
Trades233 · 110 won
₹200,000 → ₹236,516  ·  2019-04-18 → 2026-06-08
20192020202120222023202420252026
+1%+5%+4%+2%+3%+1%+1%+1%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
20191953% +0.45R +0.51%
20204448% +0.31R +0.66%
20214146% +0.25R +0.35%
20223546% -0.06R +0.11%
20233057% +0.53R +0.40%
20243139% +0.02R -0.01%
20252544% +0.14R +0.02%
20261540% +0.09R +0.08%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 117 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 425% +0.0% +6% +0% +6%
2 ████████ 450% +1.2% +6% +5% +5%
3 ████████ 1100% +2.6% +3% +3% +3%
4 ████████ 1100% +3.0% +3% +3% +3%
5 ████████ 475% +0.9% +2% +3% +2%
6 ████████ 425% -0.7% +2% -3% +1%
7 ████████ 3100% +4.5% +5% +13% +0%
8 JINDALSTEL free peek 475% +1.9% +5% +8% +0%
9 ████████ 2100% +3.8% +4% +8% +0%
10 ████████ 2100% +3.9% +4% +8% +0%
11 ████████ 2100% +3.7% +4% +7% +0%
12 ████████ 2100% +3.0% +3% +6% +0%
13 ████████ 2100% +2.9% +3% +6% +0%
14 ████████ 1100% +6.2% +6% +6% +0%
15 ████████ 450% +1.2% +7% +5% +0%
16 ████████ 560% +1.0% +3% +5% +0%
17 ████████ 250% +2.3% +6% +5% +0%
18 ████████ 560% +1.0% +3% +5% +0%
19 ████████ 450% +1.1% +7% +5% +0%
20 ████████ 250% +2.7% +8% +5% +0%
21 ████████ 20% -3.0% +-3% -6% -3%
22 ████████ 520% -1.0% +3% -5% -2%
23 ████████ 10% -2.1% +-2% -2% -2%
24 ████████ 425% +0.0% +5% +0% -2%
25 ████████ 250% -0.1% +2% +0% -2%
26 ████████ 250% +0.4% +3% +1% -2%
27 ████████ 250% +2.0% +6% +4% -2%
28 ████████ 540% +0.3% +5% +1% -1%
29 ████████ 30% -2.9% +-3% -9% +0%
30 ████████ 10% -5.6% +-6% -6% +0%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -9% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Full transcript (1720 words)
I have a 3 step formula that I  ve backtested 1000 s of times   And every single month that I tested  it, it was profitable in the long term.   No indicators, no patterns,  just pure price action baby.   And by the end of this video,  you too will know this strategy.   And will be able to take calculated trades just  like this one and make insane amounts of money.   To jump right into it, the first  step involves market structure.   Now, this is arguably one of  the most important steps.   Because if you even slightly just slightly fk  this part up. It will ruin the whole strategy.   *meme* One of the very first things you   learn as a trader is uptrends and downtrends. Its almost the sippy cup of trading.   A chart that makes higher highs  and higher lows is an uptrend.   A chart that makes lower lows  and lower highs is a downtrend.   Simple enough. Everybody know this. Now you may be thinking.   Why are we even going over this?  I already know all of this.   Well, what if I told you, you re probably  doing all of this completely wrong?   Let me explain. So going back to our example.   The chart does this, making  higher highs and higher lows.   And as we already stated, its an uptrend. Okay.. But then something interesting happens.   The chart starts heading downwards. Which in the process, price makes   this low, and breaks right through it. And this exact point, is where I see the   majority of traders make the mistake. Since price broke this low,   a lot of traders think we are now in a  reversal and price is in a downtrend.   So they start looking for short trades because  they now think price is going to head lower.   But what if I told you this chart is  actually still fundamentally bullish.   *crowd gasp* You see, sure price made this low.   But this low is actually not a low  at all, or at least a valid one.   Why? Because price never broke   the valid low which is right here. *switch up*   You see, the only way you can get a valid  low is by breaking the previous high.   If price did something like this, where  price didn t break the previous high.   This would not be a valid low. I want to make this clear   In order for a low to be validated.  It needs to break the previous high.   If you do not understand this part of the  strategy. The strategy will not work.,   So say if price does breaks this high, we  now know this is the valid low. Okay good.   So now price is in an uptrend. Which means,  we should only look for bullish trades.   The only time we should start looking for  short trades is if price breaks this low.   It can do anything right here. It can go up, down, sideways.   Literally anything as long as it doesn  t break this low. We are in an uptrend.   So if price did this. What are we in?   Well a lot of people would say downtrend,  because we broke this low right here.   But like I said before, a low is only  validated if it breaks the previous high.   Which this low did not break the  previous high. So its not validated.   So we are still looking at our  previous low. Which price hasn t broke,   so we are still in an uptrend. Now say if instead of doing this,   price did end up breaking upwards. Since price did break our previous high.   Our new low will be transferred  from this point, to this one.   I know it can be slightly confusing But the main thing you have to remember   is the only way a low is validated  is if it breaks the previous high.   If you remember that one simple rule,  you will easily be able to identify   if we are bullish trend or a bearish one. So that s the first step. Identifying if we   are in an uptrend or a downtrend. So whats next?   That would be step 2 in the formula. Step 2 is identifying supply   and demand in the markets. Demand zones take place in uptrends.   Supply zones take place in downtrends. A good style of thinking is you want to buy from   demand zones and sell from supply zones. The reason why you want to   buy from demand zones is this. Here if we look closely. The market is going up.   Since we saw a large push from  the beginning of this move.   It simply shows us that a lot people  wanted to buy from this point onwards.   So we can assume, if price  comes back down to this area.   Traders will have the same style of thinking  and want to buy in this same area again.   A supply zone is the exact opposite.   Since we saw a large downwards  move from this point on.   It shows us that a lot people  want to sell at this area.   So if price ever retests this zone we can assume  price will again move downwards from this point.   This supply and demand theory  is the core of our strategy   But We still have one more  step in our 3 step formula   But lets put all that we learned so far  to the test on a real life chart example.   So looking at a real chart. We see price moved upwards   Came down, and then broke this previous high. Which means we have higher highs and higher lows.   Meaning we are in a . uptrend. Since we are in an uptrend.   We only look for long trades. WE DO NOT look for any sell positions   As shorting in a uptrend is just silly. *meme*   Since this low broke the previous high,  this is our valid low and price will only   be in a downtrend if it breaks this point. So now that we know we are in an uptrend,   we want to look for demand zone opportunities. We can find our demand zones by finding an area   of consolidation or a point where price moved  sideways before having a sharp move upwards.   As you can see from this chart  we had some consolidation right   here. The price shot straight upwards. How I like to mark my demand zones is marking   the candle right before the impulse move. So grab your rectangle tool on the side.   Find the area of consolidation  before the big move.   Then mark from the low to the high of  the previous candle before the big move.   This is our area of demand. Again, we are not even considering areas   of supply because we are in an uptrend. So we don t need to worry about that.   We wait for price to re-enter into this  zone and this is where we would enter.   Set your stop loss right below the demand zone  and set your take profit at the recent highs.   Boom we got an easy trade. So that s an example of one winning trade.   But I want to show you just how  accurate this strategy really is.   So lets break it down with a real chart example. Here we get an uptrend, because price is making   higher highs and higher lows. As we can this low is what   broke the previous high. So, this is where price need to   break in order to be in a downtrend. Which is exactly what happens.   So now we are in a downtrend and we only  look for areas of supply or short trades.   So we mark our areas of supply. Price comes back up this area of supply. We   enter. Set our stop loss above the area of supply.  And set our take profit at the recent lows.   Boom easy winning trade But wait! we re not done   Price created another area of supply up  here and we re still in a downtrend.   So we wait for price to come up to this supply Enter   Set our stop loss above the area  of supply and target recent lows.   Another winning trade. But again, we re still not done.   Price created another area of supply. Wait for price to come up to it.   Set stop loss above the area of supply. Set take profit at recent lows.   And again we got another winning trade But wait theres more   We got ANOTHER area of supply Wait for price to come up here again   Set you stop loss and take profit. And we got another winning trade.   That s the power of this strategy. Its extremely accurate for one.   And two, you are only trading  in the direction of the trend   Which raises the probability of  you winning a trade by a lot.   So now that you know just how  powerful this strategy really is.   Lets go to the third and final step on  how to improve this strategy even more.   Our last step involves risk to reward. Sometimes while using this strategy,   you ll get a trade that checks all of the boxes. But when you setup your stop loss and   take profit. Its has a low   risk to reward like in this example. We only want to take trades if the   risk to reward is above 2.5:1 Mean for every $250 we re   getting back we re only risking $100. So even if the chart follows both step 1 and 2.   But the risk to reward is under 2.5. We do not take this trade.   This one rule increases the profit  rate of the strategy by a ton.   So for our final example we have price  making higher highs and higher lows.   Meaning we are in an uptrend so  we only mark our areas of demand.   Price consolidated right here before  shooting upwars. So we mark this area.   We wait for to come to this area again. Enter.   Set our stop loss below the demand zone. Set our take profit at the recent high.   Last step is to check our risk to  reward and make sure its over 2.5.   Which in this example its 3.  So we re good to go there.   If its anything under 2.5,  we do not take the trade.   Wait for price to play out and we  get a beautiful winning trade.   Then we just repeat the process Forever ..

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