Nifty Option Buying Strategy | 70% Win Ratio | Theta Gainers — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Nifty Option Buying Strategy | 70% Win Ratio | Theta Gainers

Theta Gainers · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 02:56 PM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (selling)Options (buying)Intraday Volume

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “How long should you stay there? Probability of Profit You Need to Get If you want to remain psychologically sound What do you need to make a trade? Should money”

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: price crossing its EMA on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 5% / target 10% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

17,715 trades on ₹1L: net -1844.0% over 12 years (-153.7%/yr, loses money), win 30%, payoff 1.56 (avg win ₹718 / avg loss ₹-459), max drawdown -1853%, worst trade ₹-2,107. 2015: ₹-39,121. 2016: ₹-91,885. 2017: ₹-109,023. 2018: ₹-40,316. 2019: ₹-88,534. 2020: ₹-194,904. 2021: ₹-269,782. 2022: ₹-227,626. 2023: ₹-172,831. 2024: ₹-152,130. 2025: ₹-281,955. 2026: ₹-175,917.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
201565232% ₹-39,121
2016114632% ₹-91,885
2017143832% ₹-109,023
2018129036% ₹-40,316
2019138731% ₹-88,534
2020145028% ₹-194,904
2021216529% ₹-269,782
2022170329% ₹-227,626
2023174029% ₹-172,831
2024151630% ₹-152,130
2025227929% ₹-281,955
202694929% ₹-175,917
Full transcript (5160 words)
How long should you stay there? Probability of Profit You Need to Get If you want to remain psychologically sound What do you need to make a trade? Should money be kept for risk reward? Management should keep all this in one place I am going to tell you inside and how you can become a High POP setup can be found in buying which That is very rare but high POP and if If we talk about winning days then around 65% Win days means keeping win days 65 % in buying This is a very good thing on a psychological level. To maintain consistency I have added Have setup Momentum Delta Acel Buffer and money management [Appreciation] [music] Hello Everyone and Welcome Back Again and today I have a very interesting topic I am going to talk about and this video is very If it sounds technically sound then it will be a little bit Listen carefully, if you don't understand then come back. Listen and then work beyond that And if possible, you can also note down on pen and paper. You can do this and then chart wise. You may have to recheck again and again, so you Keeping things in mind this Watch video and complete video Have a look at dedicated option buying now. I am an option seller so I am option buyer I am going to tell you where sellers beat eats ok if i am delta neutral Should I do it or Strongloop and if I am a seller If so, where would the problem arise? Is it on its basis that we buy? If you can take advantage through then simply I over buying that way today I am going to make you understand that after buying What are the qualities and how long do you like it? Should I wait? Probability of Profit you need to get if you Any trade has to remain psychologically sound What risk reward do you want to keep? Should we keep money management? I am going to tell you everything inside. So let's start it one by one. First we will go directly to the chart and there Let us understand at which places If you get caught, where will you make what profit? what can be brought and how Things are fine, let's go to the chart first. Let's see we are on the charts now I am going to tell about Nifty in Nifty Because I did the whole setup in Nifty How have you created it and what can you do here? How else can you setup a high POP Can be found in buying which is very rare Has but high POP and that too day wise meaning I want day green if I'm a buyer I want day green not day loss We should work on that basis. Look, the first thing about buying is that you You have to catch momentum, you mean side wedge. Meaning of small candles in the market Can't be successful in buying in between Because without following through you will be booking it. If you can't do whatever you want, ok to understand momentum look like This is the chart. This is your one minute chart. I'll make it five minutes for Example: Now like this 5 minute chart It is completely fine now on this 5th If I tell you in simple terms in the chart So don't look if you want to buy this candle. If we say momentum candle then this is a candle. Did this follow through at all? If it comes here then it means that if your buying If you had run the setup of anything then you There is no profit booking in follow through. If you could then take a look at this buying candle Even after that there is no follow through. Can't earn similarly even here exactly like that two-three-four times Entries have come where you can enter if you want. Could've but someone here follow through If setup does not come then it means that If you had bought on this day, on the 5th So you don't get a chance to catch the momentum. Found and you book loss here you a If we talk about date 4 then we would have been buyers. Look at the momentum candle once in four dates. When his complete follow through came, I I would say that if these four candles Profit book with your trades inside If you haven't then you are doing it wrong here. If your buying setup is fine Similarly, if here, at this place, your The candle was triggered and after that you If you did not book profit in the area then here If you are doing wrong then momentum means this that you have to catch that strike Enter in which and you will see the within second candle. Or bookings have already arrived on the third candle. One big I am telling it in the fastest way but come on Will tell you this by connecting to Delta Am Look, many of you may not know. what is delta chart then delta This is how it works, see I am telling a rough one I am there, then I will show you myself right now. You will understand if you look at the chart of Delta like this Works does There is something like this. Now here you understand that This area some where is at the money ya delta is a chart of and delta gives us a lot Important if you are buying an option You have to stay with Delta. With Faster Delta So this means here But understand that if it is at the money The strike is at this place, it is at this place, its It means that a little bit out of the money Which are slightly out of the money meaning 100 points or 200 points are out of the money Their pricing would have caught up with Delta first. That's fine, those are near the money. Near the money hai zara se in the money means 100 In the money or 200 in the money that little bit Let's run again after 400 in the money or its Those above become flat similarly If you are very out of the money 600 700 If the point is out of the money in Nifty then its Even if you don't get any momentum at first Meaning of playing with the sensitivity of delta If you are buying options then or So you are at the money or just near the money or So you might be a little bit in the money If you can go there then it means this is the area. You choose strikes in this area when you If you want to catch the momentum, then keep it simple. Things were understood before catching the momentum. For this, we will have to face strikes as well. You are helping us through Delta. We have to hold the momentum candle and with You will have to place a small candle in that candle. And the one or two candles after that In that we also have to keep the booking as such. If our risk reward is better then the next one You understood the topic and the momentum is correct. The next topic is what we will talk about here. Are you going to do that if you like risk reward If needed then what can be kept here? According to me look if normal statically See we are at 6 4 around 67 The winning probability around is one If it is of seller then it means that at 33 around 33 at around bayer's This is probability, this is statistical edge, this is Meaning if you don't do anything here then Most probably you mean in 10 If you remain profitable three times, then I I would like to know what the risk reward is Maybe you can tackle this thing and If you overcome this then it means that If your risk reward is such that you If you are risking anything, assume that you are risking Rs. I feel like if you're doing 24 to ₹ 24 to Up to ₹2500000 or 30 points you can sometimes If you are able to book then it means that you have Risk is overcome with reward and I am talking about both calls and puts Now it's like I'm buying, I'm buying this I will say that friend, you enter in one or In a call or put because the momentum If you are trading then look at the momentum like this Both sides will come to you at once or So call spike will hit or put spike will hit I want to kill in spike only You will get this entry only in the next candle. Got points 20 to 24 and you are in the same Book it once your buying is over intraday. Age as a scalp will need to be worked on if you Want to act like an option buyer This is what I am holding in the anchor term. Can't say you are so into buying You will be successful even if you are a beginner Beginners should keep their psychology very strong. If it falls then see first we saw that I Nifty is selected here After selecting I saw that Can we place our bets on those candles? Those are the momentum candles okay now If momentum candle comes then which strike? I told you here that I had to say goodbye. that you can buy according to delta I have selected that also I am going to tell you further about the delta. You can select from and in that You have to enter when the momentum spike comes. After entering, if you see SL in it If you want to keep it then you have to keep it small SL. Strike means at the money. Market has bought Nifty's call to rise She went and made a good candle. After buying at the close of Have to keep a small aisle, say 58 five points. Even if the momentum on the next candle If carries out then 20 points if it Grow through delta and move through So if you want to book it then this is Risk management means that We will also have to see the momentum of the strike how are we going to gather it if If we select strike in it then We have to wait for it to gain momentum. Similarly we trade here like blind people We will not take trade, we will take it only when that There must have been a delta push in the strike If push comes then trade your SL and set a target and Inside Datchi you will obviously lose money. Now you will start applying this strategy if you If I talk about running then one of the nifty If you want to run the lot and assume put If you want to trade both calls and calls, then it is normal. In Basis, your one side trade will be one Bar and one side trade if at that time If you are working on Pay then normally your Pa or 000 If you start then you will need 000 butt to run. Buffer now because they can also do profit booking It means around 20 20 points 000 If you are going to book around Rs. 5000 000 are being booked so that is a 20 gain That's a huge gain, it's just a percentage. always judge anything according to But I will not say at all that 5000 Start option buying and do yours. Maths on how to trade Like even if this is happening in Rs 5000, First look at its risk. How much is the risk? Overall how much to run after that Capital is required, it is as important as the draw. If the back tested result is down then I am going to show here if draw down If it has happened then include that money also in it. And then set your budget, yes friend Like this strategy I like this strategy If I tell you at least ₹2500000 Should be in your demat account where This run is happening only then you can see it. You will be able to run sustainably only if you have a buffer ahead. Buffer between buying is very important This means that you need to test the trade again and again. If I have to give a buffer, then where I am here I am talking about risk, I want to run. I want my calls at least five times or I would like to run the leg of the putt five times If I could find a candle that big Basically, if I got that push from Delta, I I want to try five times but five With a gain of six points, this Understand from computer 20 to 22 or 25 If I ever get the points, I will give them to you immediately. Book and this thing in langar term If I keep running then basically I have created a buffer for Here there is a risk of Rs 8500 on any day average that you can run it because it To run you need even one momentum. If I don't want to leave then I have to do backtesting. I understood that at least call you during the day. Four or five chances should be given to the side and Four or five chances should be given on the put side Only then can you run it sustainably. So I kept a buffer of Rs 25500, now what? What happens is that if someone comes and says that I I will score with 5000 and your 2500 in that. When the day is gone the capital at 50 is gone So this is why I am saying that if you Will you try this thing by keeping 25000 00? Then you can run it sustainably. Because its draw down is low but I I wouldn't say that at all You are trading with a tight budget. You will not be able to sustain your money forever. You have to keep the management right so that you can understand. that yes I can earn this much in this or I can't earn, what am I doing? Money management to get things done It will have to be very good, okay then here On payment I am giving a buffer of Rs 2500 and in To run all three things we need approximately Will close things at 1000-1500 points And I'm here to tackle a few things. What has been done for closing basis? I have kept the handling on closing basis meaning What happens sometimes in spike? If your ass goes away, I want that. Spike Close Ho and Then I Want To Deliver My Execute My Order Simply So if I combine these things in one book Or what will happen if I mix it in a recipe I am going to show you that and in this The last thing left is money management. So money management I told you right now Told in shortcut but I still a I will add the bar up for you on the screen. Look carefully at this strategy Which is drawn down basically that is near to 9k ok let me explain to you how In buying you can setup look 9k Its draw down is okay approximately this If it's one day or two days, it's three days. That's a streak of four days, that's why there is a loss. Nine's Dr is down so I still tell you this I would say that about three days means 7500 people. Carry something that will help you draw down also If canceled then add up the draw down. After that record the loss for 3 consecutive days It is called emergency money to run it. For if both the players are getting runs together So basically do these three for ₹10 or ₹12 If things happen then this is the money with which you You can bear SL too, you can bear drawdown too And also run the trade regularly from one lot If you can then it will be around 30000. So I think 30000 is that money So that you will be able to run the strategy and You can tolerate it on a regular basis and I would say that as soon as you start from 0000 If you have 50000 you can try it. her withdrawal You can do the same work even with Rs 3 lakhs 30 You can make money by buying even lakhs. I will always tell you that you keep withdrawing slowly and withdrawing keep running it slowly like this Increase your things in four to six months with this What will happen is that you will get a consistent here Things are set in the mind at the psychological level. Yes the thing is working but if You have earned some profit of Rs 0000 and Directly from next month Started trading with Rs 2 lakh and you got the same amount When the draw down phase comes, you will feel Hey, I had earned 0000 here just now. 0000 Gone Buying is so casual If this happens then you try any one Try with money for a longer period of time Run from that and then start the next one. Do this and do this on a gradual basis. Keep it at 30 to 60 and take that too. After three-four months again 60 to 1 pay Take it for one, one and a half or two, take it for one. Do it like this and increase it gradually. Don't do this at all. Let's run from 5 lakhs to 10 lakhs. Okay, so this thing will help you A little confidence will also come that yes buying I can also make money, ok then let's go What is it for now that I have done this whole thing? Strategy set up in Nifty Now let's see how it was done Now the web of this strategy can be used If you go to Algo Rooms, see you there is nothing to be done for this normally webbed Have to go to lg.com ok now after going Look, the ID is already open here. After going to view all go to Go to view all of the strategy template And you will see a strategy here sniper option buying ok look into this Margin is written 25000 and around 99000 Drawdown is written around 9600 Ok now let me give you a clear run on this gonna show you how You can't run this thing because this back Only I can test it ok Because it is diploidy only There is a strategy because of its set up. Neither have they been hidden from behind because By changing them, if someone copy and change Given things to do, she's all over again Now look at the setup that will change things. It's 2 years old, it's fine and I If I consider it running around Rs 25000 This made ₹ 2500000 in 2 years, which means approximately 400 But it is according to 25000 and according to 25000 That's why I'm counting one lot Because that run has to be in 5000 but I I am carrying only Rs 25000 because that is the same. Capital I would suggest you to run for One lot if you want to run four lots If you have a net worth Rs. 1 lakh then it is fine but if one If you want to do lot then you will have to pay around Rs 255000. If you take NEET then it will be around Rs 400. But it doesn't have to be that one at all. Wow man, what a return! Its draw down is currently around 9600 Which if spoken streak wise then continuously Look at this streak of four losses Four more losses are visible here. Winning streak here with 10 losses Here is the loss end of the day on average Profit is also very good, loss is Rs 1400 Joy Book is the highest and has a profit of 960. Now he is main, look at his streaks. What I want to tell you is this Look, thousand, thousand, thousand booked for four consecutive days. Loss of 2500 then 1000 book then 1000 book again Then 1000 books will improve your psychology a lot. It gets better, now I will tell you a little I would like to explain that trades in How are the recent days? What have we got in the most recent days? are It's the third of April coming right now Look here on the third of April this three I have taken trades for you chart wise Let me explain so that you can understand We opened the chart of Nifty for 1 minute. Chart and third April now look at this These dates are not coming and four more recent ones are coming. Five these next means will come on Monday when you back test It's okay if you do it and you don't do such back tests. You will get it on 3rd date, ok look at it on 3rd date. The market took three trades on the 3rd Now see what is its main game? This trade lasts only till 12:45, meaning There will be no trading after 12:45 Meaning, it is a trade in the first hour of the morning. I am also testing this to see if If we run it in the last R, when can we run it? If anything like that happens then I will I will combine it later, but what I have right now is I am telling you that it is the 3rd date and it is the 3rd date. See its trade we see 925 He has taken a trade of put worth Rs 22400 It is 925, now see why only 22400 first? Let's see the market, it is trading at 925. Look, if he has taken 22400, it means that he Where did you pick up the put that is at the money? Picked at the money or just in the money or near Why did we raise The Money Put now? I thought Delta was from exactly the same place. So I have set it so that These strikes have lifted but this dynamic Isn't it set on out of the money in the Money is not on such basis premium wise is set means that premium if he gets it at that place If you get paid then lift that thing of that delta. It's set up as it is on the backend. So look at this he took trade at 925 but Did he get follow through? Did he get follow through? Got through here no pay no follow through If so, then the trade that took place must have happened because of this. Loss making will be done, ok now loss making Have done but what is the loss here 4457 loss This means look, he took a trade at 113. And cut it at 104 and went straight to 938. I mean, tried for a while but as soon as That price on closing basis is going down. Came he disconnected and took a loss of 457 Second time he tried again at 947 Now if we go back to the chart, it is 947. Look he's back down the market I came here, take a look, first I came down and then Try a little next time So the push hoke jo jo strike of Delta Must have got that push and momentum which We wanted now he took the trade next Look at the trade also, momentum is not there here. She got canceled out again simple in that Trade not made, now there are two put trades The putt is done, it is set in five, okay? He took the second put trade and also Look it was cut in under 3 minutes and 3332 Took a loss ok he has taken the next trade watch call call 22300 at 10:2 watch now Look at what would have happened 954 up here Look aside, momentum started building and This is on this candle 10:2 minutes on this candle Buy call of Rs 22300 and see its closing Where is he about 22400 at 100 in the 22300 has been bought around the money means Called this place by here and simply Look at how much I bought for 1113. It's around your 5000 5500 or ₹ It will take if you have to run that leg one time In this he bought 113 pay and got 10:4 In these 2 minutes he booked it for Rs 150 And booked ₹10 directly now see this For how much did he book the 10:2 trade? After that he put it at 103 and 104 means If the trade has been booked on the 30th candle That means you only needed two minutes. To cover up what he did before Trade taken in which his SL hit clear Cut, this is simply what I want to explain to you. I hope that if you get such momentum, you If you want to book profit then look at this thing. Showed you in the chart how to run this Now it's over, if you look at it one or two more now. Look like this, it's two dates, two dates. Look, he tried all the put side also. Call side also tried everything but 2nd date Could it have been successful? let's see look at this This is a chart of date 2, it is visible Now you know what happened in the chart of date 2 There was only one occasion where I booked Could have gone but delta wise whom this candle Didn't get pay support, booking means there Till he didn't reach 1:4 When he didn't The market reached the bottom and then look. What is there in the market? Anytime Momentum Ain't Looked Up Then there is no momentum, these are very small There are areas, momentum will not be found here. There is no follow through on this below. There was no momentum, meaning there was no momentum here either. Basically some such momentum throughout the day Couldn't find anyone he could book or You have reached profit that is why you are here What is being seen is the second date. It was okay on a date too, similar Look, something like this happened on March 28 and March 27. He got two chances, look at these chances too It was a 4 minute game and he won 926 in 9:30. I had booked the call side and look here also. Similar kind booked from 920 to 926 Off you will see phases here That your trade is going to last 5 to 8 minutes And you are booking here and main The game is completely hidden for your convenience. Look, consistency is the main game. What to do if 14 33 is the average and If we talk about winning days then around 65 Win days means buying in winz at 65 Have a very good psychological level It's okay, it's very good, you said it What can you say very well, Cater Kar If you can, you can go on for a very long time. You'll see this thing here 303 if I let me show you in the calculator also He has taken 303 trades directly Basically 303 is his win days and averaging Those are the winning days 962 303 * 962 So see this you have won around 291 Talking about days, 291 have been made and If you do negative minus 134 days then 134 days ab into kitna average n 14 33 then you would be left with around Rs 1 lakh This means that the ratio is 1400. You are giving and earning 900 but yours. The consistency is around 70. If you have done so then it is because of this that the money you invest in it is You are making that main game hidden there. So you just have to do this thing A little mind preparation and consistency There is a need and to maintain consistency For this I have setup momentum in it Delta SL Buffer and Money Management Five I tried the things that were needed Now how can you gather here? Run this if you are not on Algo Rooms So you can sign up here After signing up you will get the strategy Go to Template: Strategy Template If you click View All inside then you will see here Pay Sniper Nifty Option Buying Strategy You will not get anything directly here Want to deploy if you are an ad broker? If you have kept it here then you will see the butt. If you do not have an ad broker, it will not be visible. So if you click on Ad Broker here your broker will come to him Don't tease the diploid, only you. You can tease multiple such as you get five If you want to run in multiple then you can use five multiples. By setting it in live deployment You can enter Accept the Term and Deploy Done Now Deployed helps you on daily basis You have to come in the morning and you will get your broker After selecting terminal and trade Engine to be switched on between 9am and 9:1am And Then You Don't Need to Touch This Trade engine anything anything you Don't touch, everything else will happen You don't need to do anything, it's clear Ok so from my side I have done everything The explanation is given to you inside it. If you liked the video then like the video Must like and if you are still in Theta to the gunners if you do then you youtube1 day ago This is a volume profile Had posted a video on this is also a very good one Try watching the video once and You will understand how it works I tried to explain in great detail Obviously this topic was a little different do you have youtube0 no the thing doesn't work it's not About Everything Trendy So ​​You Once You understand this was also a very good video Will like it let's meet Tata Bye Bye and thank [music] [Appreciation] [music] You

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