BEST Market Structure SMC Trading Strategy (Become Profitable in 2026) — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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BEST Market Structure SMC Trading Strategy (Become Profitable in 2026)

Lewis Kelly · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 29 Aug 2026, 07:34 PM IST
★★★★☆ 4.0 / 5

Why 4.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • Strong per-trade edge: +0.36R expectancy across 13,425 trades
  • Convex payoff 3.3 — winners far bigger than losers
  • Only 32% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • 5 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2019, 2022, 2025) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • Max drawdown -32% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

FuturesIntradaySwing FibonacciDemand/Supply zonesLiquidity/ICT

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “in this video I'm going to share with you my very own Market structure strategy this strategy is the entire reason that I am profitable and it's also the exact ”
  • “5 and a lot of the times we got this golden region right here right which is called the 618 and 786 a lot of times if you want to add more Confluence when price”
  • “1 which is a bonus Confluence which is an inducement right if we look again at the reality of Market structure like we did recently you will see that the actual”
  • “1 where you get some kind of area of price before your interest area where you have you know equal highs or old high or some sort of liquidity right because wha”

Verdict

Auto-backtested. Detected: breakout of a recent high. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 13,425 trades, win 32%, payoff 3.25, expectancy +0.36R/trade (avg +1.84%/trade).

This is a real edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Regime-dependent — positive in only 44% of years.

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

See strategies that scored 4★+ →
Know someone trading this?

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return+49.8%
CAGR+5.2%
Max drawdown-32.2%
Trades361 · 99 won
₹200,000 → ₹299,657  ·  2018-07-10 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
+1%+1%+33%+29%-9%+16%+3%-11%-11%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
201865716% -0.59R -3.78%
2019131427% -0.02R -0.01%
2020181744% +0.99R +7.31%
2021180135% +0.44R +2.56%
2022166426% -0.07R -0.74%
2023211944% +1.32R +5.57%
2024183527% +0.13R +0.34%
2025150429% -0.02R -0.39%
202671422% -0.36R -1.72%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 8251% +25.3% +181% +2077% +198%
2 ████████ 9951% +19.0% +124% +1880% +159%
3 ████████ 7633% +3.6% +52% +277% +143%
4 ████████ 7842% +6.4% +85% +500% +137%
5 ████████ 7541% +9.0% +125% +672% +75%
6 ████████ 6936% +3.6% +101% +246% +71%
7 ████████ 9534% +2.6% +68% +246% +64%
8 CUMMINSIND free peek 10643% +6.8% +61% +717% +51%
9 ████████ 9440% +4.1% +66% +383% +40%
10 ████████ 4838% +4.1% +55% +198% +29%
11 ████████ 10234% +4.0% +65% +406% +27%
12 ████████ 9846% +7.5% +59% +738% +23%
13 ████████ 11134% +0.8% +32% +86% +19%
14 ████████ 10337% +3.2% +61% +332% +3%
15 ████████ 8136% -0.6% +15% -46% +1%
16 ████████ 9331% +3.1% +61% +293% +0%
17 ████████ 9239% +2.1% +32% +194% +0%
18 ████████ 8333% +2.0% +46% +170% +0%
19 ████████ 10031% +1.7% +50% +170% +0%
20 ████████ 8034% +0.2% +36% +19% +0%
21 ████████ 7027% +2.1% +60% +150% -46%
22 ████████ 9731% +2.8% +106% +269% -45%
23 ████████ 8921% -1.1% +34% -96% -40%
24 ████████ 8528% -0.0% +32% -3% -40%
25 ████████ 10830% +1.4% +69% +151% -37%
26 ████████ 7023% +0.1% +107% +7% -36%
27 ████████ 9520% -1.6% +33% -149% -35%
28 ████████ 9339% +1.2% +29% +115% -34%
29 ████████ 9033% +2.3% +69% +205% -34%
30 ████████ 10431% +2.2% +81% +232% -34%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -149% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY17532% +0.03R -0.10%
BANKNIFTY16032% +0.20R +0.54%
Full transcript (12878 words)
in this video I'm going to share with you my very own Market structure strategy this strategy is the entire reason that I am profitable and it's also the exact system that all of my inner circle students use to get results like these this is going to be a full stepbystep course with eight key lessons I'm going to start simple so it doesn't matter if you're a complete beginner or you're Advanced because it will get more and more advanced as we go and I can guarantee you you will walk away from this video video with a bunch of value stick around to the end because I'm going to be revealing my step-by-step trading plan along with a stepbystep breakdown of a trade following that trading plan so you know exactly how to do it just before we get into lesson number one if you're new here subscribe to the channel for no BS trading knowledge that will actually make you profitable and if you're already a member of the family then like the video and comment down below the biggest takeaway that you take from this video let's dive in so here we go with lesson number one which is again very simple something you've all seen before but it's really important that we set the foundations so lesson one basic identification of smart money in other words understanding the actual intended direction of Price Right very simple concept so essentially at all points in time price is ranging from making higher highs and higher lows or lower lows and lower highs it's either bullish or bearish if price is bullish we're looking only for buys if if price is bearish we're looking only for sales it's really that simple how do we identify whether price is bullish or bearish well we use these external swing points right so if you look at any price like this you will see that price has these swings on it and essentially you just want to map out all of these swing points and you'll notice whether or not they're trending upwards or downwards it's very simple so we start off with a low then we have a high then we have a higher low this low is higher than the previous low therefore it is a higher low that already of itself is indicative of higher prices right so we have low we have a high we have a higher low and then a higher high this is a break of structure if you're getting a break of structure a bullish break of structure that is bullish you are expecting to buy you're anticipating price to trade higher then you have another higher high and then you have a pullback then you have a higher low then you again expecting higher prices at this point so another break of structure gives you another higher high and now at some point like in every Market the trend will shift at some point you will be trading bullish like this and then eventually you'll have what we call a change of character the change of character is essentially the shift from bullish to bearish or it could also be bearish to bullish essentially change of character if you think about the market as two characters a bull and a bare we shift from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish that is a change of character it's very simple the change of character is the first phase of a market reversal so when you get a change of character like this then essentially you can see that we've now gone from we had a higher high and now we have a lower low so from there it's likely that we might get a pullback and then get a lower high meaning that this high right here is lower than the previous high right indicative of lower prices then you get a lower low so then you have a break of structure once you have a change of character follow Lo by a break of structure that is absolute confirmation that the trend has shifted and is now bearish in a bearish market it's very simple what we wait to do is we wait for price to come back up into these levels and then we expect price to trade lower again and our job is to identify how we get involved in these levels and that's what I'm going to share with you in the next few lessons Okay moving into lesson number two which is a little bit more advanced but is actually really simple it's the reality of smart money price delivery you see what we just previously covered in the first lesson was something that is extremely basic and the reality is is that's not how price delivers itself if it was that easy everybody would always be on the right side of the market so let me share something with you this right here is how price most likely looks in reality but really you can just apply the same principle let's take a little look at this right so we just want to identify the external swing points so we go external swing point one in here external swing point two in here price pulls back external swing point three external swing point four okay great we are bullish we've had a break of structure up we are bullish that is confirmed right so now what well what you can do is essentially you can draw a box from the low up until the structural high and you can just drag this box across like this and essentially you can wait for a break out this box right the box method you can wait for price to break out of this box now the reality is is the highest probability is that the price will break the high right that is what you're expecting so when price does you can see price breaks out of the box there is obviously your break of structure right break of structure here so we're still continuing bullish but now you have all of this price action inside of here this is where most Traders go wrong in fact I would argue that 95% of Traders lose money because they always get CAU on the wrong side of the market here's an example of that what a lot of you guys will do or traders in general is when we see that we are bullish externally so our swing structure is bullish but then we start getting this order flow which is what we call it its internal structure when we get this price pushes in lower like this when we get something like this right you guys are so quick to jump on the bandwagon and expect that now price is bearish right for some reason you think that price is bearish because it's putting in these lower lows when actually this is just a pullback with which happens after every break of structure but the problem is is most people think that the pullback is actual structure and they get confused and so what happens is they see this type of break in here and they're like okay I think we're bearish and then they see another break and now they want to try to short and so what did they try to do they tried to shorten these levels in here and then what happens they just get stopped out most of the time because they're on the wrong side of the market we was always expecting price to trade higher we was just waiting for the confirmation we were just waiting for the pullback to be complete and in later lessons I'm going to show you how we will understand this pullback but it's also very simple you can see that price is bearish on the way down great and then when it realigns like this now what you've had is an internal realignment with the external that is your gold right you've had a little internal break of structure a little internal change of character now you have confirmed that you are ready to go and Target what the old high and so then you want to be getting in areas like this in here stop loss below here and taking your profits up in here now I'll explain obviously as we go on in more detail how we're going to be executing that but that's the premise it's really simple and so what happens well we break out and we put in a higher high now we need to identify the swing low right because in every scenario we always have a a low and a high now we've got our high we know this is our new high where's our low again a lot of people make the mistake in thinking that this is the low in here right this is the low when actually it's not and how how we identify that is you look inside the previous price range which is this low to this high or you can use the box method which is the same thing it's essentially encapsulating the previous Price's range inside of an area so that you can just see it for what it is and so what then you want to do is you want to identify the lowest point in price that we pulled back before we broke so we break here where's the lowest point inside of this box it's right here right so that becomes our new low so we have low down here and we have high here right that becomes your structural range a lot of people make the mistake of using this low in here right and then what happens genuinely what happens a lot of the time is the reality is this down here is our low and then what happens price puts in a high and then you get price that comes like this and it breaks this internal low not the external swing point the internal low and then what do people try to do people then try to short the market not realizing that it's fine that price has manipulated this low the real structural strong low is in here as long as this stays respected we are still bullish still expecting higher prices that's again something that we're going to dive deeper into a later episode so don't worry if you don't understand it right now you will it will make sense so we have our swing low our swing High great we are bullish obviously we have a pullback and then we have a new higher high so again bullish break of structure and then as always at some point in time the trend will fail and we will shift from being bullish to being bearish right that that is what we call our change of character we get our change of character now what are we anticipating now we're likely anticipating lower prices so again in this scenario you can see that we have higher high lower low what we would want to be waiting for is for price to reach back up into an area of Interest which is something I'll explain later inside of this bearish price leg in the premium area which I'll explain and then we want to be looking at shorting from this level and targeting the weak low simple like this and then what happens we have a break of structure and now we're bearish so you tell me what do you think is going to happen next we are going to have some kind of pullback like this one and then a shift and then guess what we want to be shorting in these moves right we are just trading the order flow it's just the trend but we are actually trading it accurately and not trading it like a lot of other people look at it and they get caught inside of the price ranges and that's why they go from thinking okay price is bullish I'm going to buy oh no stopped out okay I'm going to sell oh wait stopped out again now I'm going to buy and over and over and over again you find yourself putting on trades and your stop loss just gets hit and then you think okay now I'll put another trade on and then your stop loss gets hit again because you're trading internal structure inside of price ranges that you're not supposed to be trading inside of you need to wait for the right moments Market structure is incredible but it has to be paired with timing you have to understand when is the right time to act when are we in the important areas which gets me on to lesson number three lesson number three is all about increasing the odds with the concept of premium and discount again it's a very very simple lesson so stick with me it shouldn't be difficult so what we can see right here is we have bullish price action right we have a low we have a high we have a higher low and then we have a higher high so we've had a break of structure like this like this right here break of structure great a lot of Traders make the mistake of trying to buy the Breakout or something like that right when price breaks structure they trying to buy or they're trying to buy up in here as price breaks out not realizing that after every break of structure at some point in time there's going to be a pullback and the best Traders you want to hit highrisk reward trades you want to be consistently profitable then you need patience and you need patience to wait for price to have its pullback once it's completed its pullback then you can initiate the problem is is everybody wants to jump in the market too quickly and they try to get involved when price is already in the premium so what you can do is you can take the low like this and the high like this and just like I have you can take the Fibonacci tool which is your little tool that's literally right here FIB retracement look and you can pull it out yours if you know you haven't used the FIB before yours will look a right mess so if you just go into your settings really quickly you just want to make sure that you have one 0.786 0.5 0.618 you can change the colors to make them more attractive you can edit you know I don't like to have all the prices on there and all of that sort of stuff I like to keep M really clean cuz I really I think that having a clean chart is very important for your psychology and for a just a bunch of other things but what you want to do is you want to take your FIB once it's set up take it from the high down to the low in this case I need to reverse it and then what you'll see is you'll have 50% which literally resembles 50% of the price leg it is right in the middle between the high and the low right we know that with a statistical probability more times than not when price breaks structure it will pull back into at least the 50% and then trade higher again we know that with statistical probability the data is there go and test it for yourself if you want to but price after a break of structure we'll pull back at least into the 0.5 and a lot of the times we got this golden region right here right which is called the 618 and 786 a lot of times if you want to add more Confluence when price gets into this level right here this is also a very optimal area to look at entering into the market you are essentially at 618 78.6% retracement you are primed to go higher so what we have then is in a bullish scenario you just split the price leg in half on the top half you have premium on the bottom half you have discount right it's actually a very simple concept if you think about it this Market is just people buying and selling so let's ask the question if you were to buy would do you want to buy if you were smart money right the ones who really move the market not the ones who lose the money the ones who make the money the ones who move the markets the ones who have the power if you wanted to buy would you want to buy at a premium or would do you want to buy at a discount very simple right you would want to buy at a discount so you would wait for price to take from trade from this level into a more reasonable level to then go higher that is essentially how you're going to make your money now here's another thing if price is here right now price is in the premium we've already just broken an old high so we're in the premium so think about it do you think that smart money or any Market participant wants to buy the premium no it's all the dumb money that are buying premium what do you think smart money and other members of the market are doing the ones who are profitable the ones who move the market they are selling premium if you want to sell something you have whatever it is in your house think of an object if you wanted to sell that object would you want to sell it at a discount or would you want to sell it at a premium if you had a choice obviously you want to sell it at a premium you want to get as much for what you have that you can and when you want to buy something you want to buy it for as little as you possibly can so when price is in premium there are more sellers obviously because sellers like to sell at premium and when price comes into discount there are more buyers because buyers like to buy at discounts that is why price a lot of the time comes into this 50% into this disc counted area of the price leg buyers come into the market along with us and we buy in with everybody else who's moving the market who is buying in at a discount and we let everybody else who's trying to buy the breakouts the price too high up in the price leg we let them guys buy in the premium because they are liquidity for the sellers so very very simple concept now a bonus point for this one is 3.1 which is a bonus Confluence which is an inducement right if we look again at the reality of Market structure like we did recently you will see that the actual pricing will look like this right you'll have a low a high a lower low a higher high a lower low a higher high very clearly bullish break of structure break of structure this is the low that's in control when that low gets broken it has shifted from being bullish to bearish now we have change of character so now we're bearish right again very very simple concept we're bearish price does what price pulls back into the premium and then it sells off gives a break of structure so we had lower low and then we break structure again the highest point that price pulled back before breaking it was this right here so we have our swing High here and our swing low is down here well again same thing what you can do is you can take your fib and you can go from you know your swing low up to your swing high like this and that's going to give you all of your FIB settings right so we have zero here we have the 50% so that's what separates premium and discount so up here is a premium down here is a discount right price is lower it's discounted price up here would be premium so we broken structure so we're bearish we want to sell we never want to buy in a downtrend because we don't know when price is going to reverse we want to be wait patiently for price to come into our levels and then we want to sell that's how we win the game of trading with higher probabilities higher risk to reward and more consistency so we have it separated discount down here premium up here buyers are likely going to step into the market at some point they do step into the market right and what we see is you see these little internal highs like this and anytime that you get you know a high like this or maybe sometimes you get equal highs or ranges or support resistance you know all of these kind of traditional retail type of strategies anytime that you have those inside below the the premium it's a bonus it increases your confluences it inre Ines the conviction of the trade because now there is liquidity to take before price runs into a point of Interest so what we do is we want to position ourselves and we want to identify areas of interest that are inside of the premium and ideally bonus points if you have liquidity to take on the way up an old high some equal highs anything like that that is sitting inside of the discount why because again unfortunately what happens is a lot of Traders Traders don't use the structure that we're showing you right here they often look at these little internal spikes like this and they think that okay price is bearish right now and great it is but they're going to try and sell from these levels they're going to see equal highs or resistance in these levels or whatever it is or a breakout or breaks and retests you know all of these different ideologies of how the market Works which is going to do what that is going to leave a lot of stop losses up in this level so that's a good thing because we need that liquidity so that smart money can get better averages in prices right when the liquidity is present it is not accidental so when price comes into these levels you know gives you even sometimes it will give you some reaction with created liquidity right sellers are trying to get into the market when you manipulate that now what happens not only have you just taken out all of this liquidity in here you have also now in the eyes of many broken out right so now you're bullish so what are people trying to do people are now trying to buy right people are now trying to to buy which is perfect because now we have the opposite side of the market so we are looking at price then coming into these areas and then essentially get the shift down here because what that creates is when everybody's trying to buy it creates the liquidity to Target in here the liquidity to Target in Old lows again something I'll dive a little bit more into detail on when we get into the actual trade breakdown I don't want to kind of confuse a lot of you guys but a lot of you guys who are already you know familiar with the channel already know that I go deep into liquidity Concepts so no problem let's go into lesson number four okay lesson number four something that many of you guys probably haven't heard me speak about before I don't think I've really spoken about weak and strong structure on the channel that much because it's a very very important concept so let me kind of share it with you so again as always we need to obviously identify our structure right are we bullish are we bearish okay great we are bullish right so by definition the job of a high is to take out a low the job of a low is to take out the high that's it if a low succeeds in taking a high that low becomes strong for example if we see that this low here has managed to break this High here this is strong it becomes protected why well let's think about it logically for a second let's say you know there are sellers in here and buyers in here very obvious there's a buy side intention buy side intention and sell-side intention well let's say you have you know one person called Jack who is the seller here and then you have Jill who is the buyer well if Jack started selling here and Jill started buying here if price breaks the high of where Jack was selling from who do you think is the stronger participant in the market it's obviously Jill because Jill has more money that can move past Jack's pain Price Right pain price being the point where if it takes this high he is now running in a loss very simply put he is weaker because he has less Deployable Capital very very simple why is that important it's important because if you know that buyers have control of the market well guess what they too need to protect this low it's very simple they need to protect it because at any point in time if price was to go past this low well guess what they lost money or they're in draw down because this low is the final point the lowest possible point they could have got their position in so the moment price runs that low they're going to be running at losses so what happens a lot of the time is these lows are protected so that when price comes into these lows guess what if they still agree with their initiative they will use more buying power to continue making price higher this becomes a strong low it's strong because it's protected same thing again if you're bullish the role of this low this high right here now is the role of sellers is to break past this low the role of this high is to break past this low that's its job so the moment that you see price come down and then begin to start reversing like this it's already being confirmed that this is a weak High why because it wasn't able to take out this low the moment that it starts reversing it tells us buyers have step back into the market this is not going to hold it's targeted right that's why structure moves low break of structure High shift weak low price starts coming back okay the role of this high is to break this low that's it sellers want to gain control of the market they have to take out the buyers the buyers are positioned all the way in this price leg and it's confirmed the buyers have taken out once this low is taken and guess what happens price comes down can't get past even this part of the price leg and then begins to reverse when price begins to reverse it's confirmed this is weak it gets taken out and then what happens price shifts up and then we get a change of character which again at some point in time Trends become exhausted because think about it if the entities were buying back here right and they they were the ones that are pushing price well at some point in time their initiative gets complete they get out of the market or they no longer want to deploy Capital at those same prices if they have average buy orders in here they don't want to keep buying price up in here so Trends become exhausted the higher a trend goes the more the probability increases on every new swing point that we could get a reversal why because the buyers have already initiated their positions obviously there are exceptions but typically speaking the higher the price goes the increased probability of a reversal so let's say for example you know you have Market structure every time we put in new highs the probability begins increasing that the next time that price goes to try to put in a high it will fail that is the probability again go and test it for yourself it's just the data low higher high higher low higher high lower low change of character so now we've shifted right so now this is the Strong high because sellers have overwhelmed buyers right very simple so now if they want to stay in control of the market they will protect this High buyers come in the job of this low right here is to do what is to take out this high so when it comes up and then starts reversing well it's failed to do its job so it's weak but then there are going to be times where price may get back into this level and sell and buyers sorry in this scenario they try again and so then what you'll then see is if you get a scenario where this low fails to take out this high and then it comes back but then this High fails to take out this low well now this high is weak and so now this high can be targeted as liquidity and there you go again then it takes it okay now tell me what the responsibility of this High when it starts coming back down is to do what is to take out this low right it's still this low and so great when price begins pushing down like this it looks like it's going to but the moment that it shifts like this the moment you get this this is confirmation that this is targeted right it's not going to happen this high is now going to be taken it becomes weak structure again price takes the high begins to reverse the role of this high is still to take out this low and so it goes to it goes to the moment that it starts reversing and you get an internal shift in here this becomes weak right and then eventually most times especially if you are already Pro Trend we're already bearish so this is most likely strong this is most likely weak when it gets run becomes a different matter and eventually at some point in time it will most likely be run right based off of probabilities there's a higher chance that this change of character results in a continual break of structure afterwards so that is kind of understanding strong and weak structure strong structure break structure if if a structure point breaks something important if a low breaks a high it's strong if a high fails to break a low and then we start reversing it's weak it becomes targeted if we are prot Trend right so we have U higher high lower low immediately this is strong there can't be two strongs so this is already considered weak it's like that that saying you know innocent until proven guilty well this is weak until proven strong right this low right here would have to break this High to regain its status of being strong so whilst it's Weak by definition it becomes our Target that is why we trade premium areas of structure if we look this is around about 50% it's beish what would we be trying to do we would be trying to identify an area of interest in here and we would try to sell from this area and we would try to Target this low down here because this is strong so we want to be selling with the strong structure and this is weak we want to be targeting the weak structure it's actually very very simple and you will see if you look closely at this pie piece of price action this is the exact delivery of price that we got on the Euro USD shorts that we'll walk through step by step at the end on the actual charts okay let's dive into lesson five lesson number five my favorite concept it's an advanced concept and arguably the most important of everything but you can't have this without the others that's why we had to build off of each other so lesson five is Advanced it's fractal Market structure and it's the key to high risk to reward trades let me break down what I mean by that so let's kind of pull this image apart just for a second let's move you down here let's move you down here let's strip it back to the basics so just for definition you can see that you know the bold black arrows are the 15minute time frame that's what that represents the 15-minute time frame these in here right as you can see these kind of little candle sticks represent the one minute time frame right what you have to understand is that every time you have a a move like this on one time frame a very clean run like this on a lower time frame that will be you know let's say on the - minute that's five candles right well on the one minute time frame it's going to be a lot more candles and they're going to be a lot more erratic they're going to be up down up down up down up down up down right it's going to be very very much like this which we'll get into in just a moment so step number one identify you know where are we structurally okay low high higher low higher high break of structure bullish at that point in time lower low change of character so we're bearish okay awesome now that is the 15 minute swing points so don't forget that as of right now the 15 minute is bearish and those are our swing points this is possible to be our swing Point okay so now let's kind of bring in the one minute and you can already probably see where I'm going with this let's apply this on here now we know where the M15 swings are right so let's just make them clear there's the swing there's the swing there's the swing there's the swing higher high we were bullish then we get a new swing that's lower than the previous swing which is lower low and then potentially this swing so in red right there you can see that that is our M15 structure and now if we change to Blue what we want to do is we want to look at the one minute structure cuz what happens is as the 15 minute is building itself guess what the one minute time frame is printing the price action for the 15-minute candle so the 15-minute trend is first delivered on the 1 minute time frame right you get to see the delivery of the trend you get to see the buildup of the trend and what happens is it will give you fra signs for example if we look at the market structure of the 1 minute time frame we will see that we have a low a high a higher low and a higher high so the one minute is bullish right cool that is the kind of you know extension phase of the 50- minute that is when the 15 you're watching the 15 minute go and put in bullish price action right and then we get a lower low and a higher high again this one minute bullish structure that you see is the 15 minute on the 15 minute you just see this now what happens is at some point in time the 15 minute gets ready for a pullback right it's pullback uh period and that becomes evident in the one minute first before you even see it on the 15 minute because you get this little shift in here right if we look objectively we had a one minute break of structure like this a one minute break of structure and now we've had a one minute change of character while this change of character and break of structure model in here this reversal we see it under one minute and that tells us that the 15 minute is now pulling back so we get lower low lower high lower low right and when the 1 minute is bearish what's the 15 minute doing it's pulling back right this price leing here and then at some point in time you'll get the shift you'll get the the bearish break of structure on the 1 minute time frame right because the 15 minutes pulling back and then before the swing high is even taken out on the 15 minute you'll get a one minute change of character like this and this change of character tells you that now the 50 15 minute is reversing so the higher high we know now that the 15 minute is going to put in the swing high again we go higher low higher high break of structure on the 1 minute change of character on the 1 minute this change of character tells us what we've just broken structure on the 15 minute right there's our 15 minute break of structure and we've just had this confirmation well guess what now it's time for the pullback of the 15 minute that's why we get lower low lower high lower low lower high lower low on the one minute and then we shift right we have our change of character on the 15 minute so we shift bearish on the 15 minute time frame um change of character and then guess what happens then we shift to bullish on the one minute why because now the 15 minute is pulling back so the one minute goes bullish we get a break of structure a change of character we get low higher high higher low higher high so the one minute is bullish right here right but the 15 minute is bearish so what we do is we wait for the 1 minute to align itself with the 15 minute inside of a key area so if we strip this apart right now and we look at everything objectively and we start applying everything that we've just learned you'll see the outlining of exactly what it is that we do for this strategy so step number one 15minute structure we're going to mark it in red we have low high higher low higher high lower low okay so we're bearish so we are only expecting price to short right we only want to look at shorts let's take our Fib from the low to the high of price we have the 50% perfect so price is already inside of the premium okay great so we want to our goal is to sell the 15-minute Trend in the direction of the trend and above the premium when we're selling so instead of just using this structure cuz what you could do and by the way this is a profitable strategy I've already tested it if you look at the 15-minute structure and you literally just use the FIB and you do you do the 618 and you have your stop loss at the high and your take profit at the low that is a profitable strategy right it it has um a fairly High win rate you could also use the 786 if you want if you want to get a one to three risk reward um but even this right here right 1 to six risk reward even with a 50% win rate you will be profitable and Market structure has over a 50% chance of continuing in its Trend right given the rules that I apply for Market structure so it's profitable like that but that's just one to six risk of reward right I'm not waiting and trading for these one to six risk rewards that's why I say that fractals are the key to high risk to rewards because what we do is instead of just trying to trade this in here we go to the lower time frames we only go to the lower time frames when we get into an area of Interest so once we start approach in these levels in here and once we have our areas of Interest right our areas of Supply our points of interest once we get into those levels what we do is we go and look at the one minute time frame and so what we see is okay cool price was the one minute time frame was bearish okay awesome makes sense cuz that's when the 15 minute was bearish and then it shifts bullish which means it's the pull back and then when price starts getting into the areas of interest for you well you want to you already expect that the 15 minute is going to take out this low cuz this is a weak structure so that's our Target but we want to get in before it gets there obviously and we don't want to just take the trade from here because it's not high enough risk reward so we use the one minute time frame to confirm and get in early because when we see that when price pulls back the one minute is bullish the moment that price shifts from bullish to bearish like this on the one minute time frame that is our sign that's our trigger that this High uh sorry that this low right here has failed to break this high right that is the sign of reversal that's where price starts respecting the high and trading away from it into the direction that we're already expecting price to trade into right you get where I'm going here so that confirms our already firmly established bias but not only does it confirm it which increases the probabilities of being correct it also allows us to enter on the lower time frame so once you get that one minute change of character you can be on a lower time frame looking for a point of interest and you can look at executing that after we get a break after we get the change of character you look at getting involved in here and then you want to be looking at taking out the weak low down here and the one minute time frame right is going to continue on its Trend change of character pull back break of structure pullback break of structure pullback break of structure as the 15minute expands into the new low giving you the already inevitable break of structure for the 15 minute so very simple we were 15 minute bearish the 1 minute was bullish because the 15 minute was in the pullback phase the 15 minute confirmed that it was reversing when the one minute shifted and we got in on the 1 minute allowing us what it allowed us to number one confirm our level which increases the probability of success number two we have reduced the size of the of the stop loss right the stop loss before was from this from this level the entry was here the stop loss was here now we have an entry here and a stop loss here right so the entry and stop loss is based off the one minute time frame which you know usually as you'll see in the trade will will give you a higher risk to reward and then we're going to Target the 15 minute low because that's where pric is go to anyway and it will always give you a higher risk to reward along with the confirmation and all you're doing is just trading the $50 minute directional bias so that's lesson five lesson six lesson six is my entry model we've already just covered it but I wanted to use this example because it's a lot cleaner and easier to understand if you were a little bit lost towards the end of lesson 5 this will just make it very simple again in Black that's the 15 minute in kind of red and red and green is the 1 minute so what do we have we have the low we have the 15- minute low 15in High 15 minute pulls back 15 minute higher high 15- minute break of structure 15 minute change of character lower low so as of right now the 15minute time frame is bearish Right we've broken structure down here a change character sorry we have our swing high up here which is strong why is it strong because it broke this low so already we expect that this high is going to be respected we already assume that this remember weak until proven strong this we already assuming is weak the probability indicates that this low is likely to be ran great after the change of character what we want to do is we want to apply our FIB at the low to the high and we want to wait for price to reach into above the 50% it will always be matched with an area of Supply or demand which is an area of order block for those of you who aren't aware of that I will reference you a different video to understand it or you can just wait until the trade break down and you'll see what I mean for those of you who are familiar with it then you know exactly what I want about which is most of you guys if you are at my channel you will know these Concepts so you will see that the the one minute time frame is what low high low higher high higher low higher high the 1 minute time frame is bullish because the 15minute time frame is pulling back obviously so the confirmation 1 minute is bullish and then 1 minute turns B beish what does that do in that moment you've just had so much confirmation you have just confirmed that this is strong you have just confirmed that this point specifically that you've used is reliable you've confirmed that this is targeted to go the probabilities of your trade setup are high The Edge is in your favor there is the lower low that's the confirmation you get in again on an area of Interest which I'll show you you wait for the natural pullback of the one minute time frame it does right every time it breaks it pulls back that's what structure does it breaks down it pulls back you get tagged in and then it continues lower into your 15minute target the model is literally that simple we are bearish 15 minute we wait for a pullback 1 minute time frame shift pullback continuation very very simple now there are some more important things like context and that's what we're going to get into in level seven in lesson seven with my trading plan okay lesson seven the last theoretical lesson before we go and take this into the live charts and show you a real example of the strategy playing out it is going to be incredible you're not going to want to miss it so let's dive into my trading plan now very important the times of my system the execution hours right so I will always trade this system every single day between the hours of 2: to 5:00 a.m. EST which is my London window and 7 to 10:00 a.m. EST which is my New York window I don't trade before I don't trade during I don't trade after it's that simple Market I trade this system on Euro USD and I trade this system on GBP USD I get so many comments on my YouTube channel does this work on gold does this work on Futures does this work on this does this work on crypto blah blah blah blah blah I trade it and I have years of proven profitable data on euro dollar and pound dollar so trade them why do you need to trade gold if I have years and years and years of data on these specific pairs already I know that this Edge works on these systems if you want to take the edge and go and test it for yourself on different pairs different assets fine be my guest but my market and I will always stick to is euro dollar and pound dollar unless it's one of my other strategies so to clear that up that's the times that's the market that's simple step one pro Trend I'm always making sure that I'm trading Pro Trend obviously so if we look at the pro if we identify the trend right now you will see that we have low High higher low higher high lower low change of character swing High strong swing low weak the structure is bearish so prot Trend M15 means I am only looking for short positions on this specific day that's step number one great we are looking for shorts we are bearish pro Trend done identify internal range liquidity so before my trade has occurred I like to see it adds an additional layer of confirmation to my trade if I see internal range liquidity what's that you may ask very simply put what we just talked about in lesson 3.1 where you get some kind of area of price before your interest area where you have you know equal highs or old high or some sort of liquidity right because what that does again is it puts so many many stop losses in here and then when it gets triggered what happens is those stop losses then become new Ord for new people and then those stop losses go in here so it just makes sure and this is how the market operates this is how what literally what smart money is all about is that there will be liquidity buy side liquidity sells side and the whole idea and if you've been in trades where you've been manipulated and then price goes into your direction this is why what we want to do is we want to wait for everybody else to get manipulated and then get in because that's when it's safe to get in so the reason I wait for this in internal range liquidity is because there are are so many sellers in here so many buyers in here and then when price breaks the high all the sellers get taken out and then buyers step into the market and then they get they step into the market and then their stop losses are here ready for me to take so liquidity to take liquidity to Target I need liquidity to take on the way to my area and then I need liquidity to Target from my area is that simple that is literally it that is what identifying internal range liquidity is and you'll find out more about that in my next lesson okay identify a POI to trade from a point of interest is always um some kind of order block so an order Block in essence what you can look for is some kind of range before you have a manipulation of one side of the market and then an aggressive move right the the key emphasis is on where does the momentum come into the market when you get very aggressive price action that shows you that a big institution a big player has stepped into the market initiated their intention and what will they do they will protect their intention by all costs right so there's a decent probability that that level will stay intact so you want to look for some kind of range a manipulation sometimes sometimes it doesn't have to manipulate but we're looking for a range and then the main characteristic is aggressive move from that level and then you can map it out like that like that like that and then that will be your point of interest and that is your point of Interest so that would be identifying your point of interest for theoretical standpoint we're going to say that that's this we're going to wait for liquidation of key high low or a premium a discount point of Interest so what we're going to wait for is we're going to wait for these highs to be taken right before we try to initiate any position we want to make sure that the liquidity is taken out before we try to trade or you can wait for price to get into a premium or discount point of Interest so if the 50% is here this is Discount this is premium sometimes you won't get this internal range liquidity sometimes you will sometimes you won't it's higher probability when you do have it but you can still trade it when you don't in the case where you don't you just need to make sure that you are in the area of Premium absolutely non-negotiable so yeah that is that one identify POI to trade from wait for liquidation once you have got into your premium area or or discount area if you're buying but premium area for us right now once you get into this one then you're going to wait for a lower time frame change of character on the one minute time frame which is this right we are bullish on the 1 minute time frame as we've already covered we are bullish low high low high then price begins to range cool higher high higher low higher high when you get in here you wait for us to go from high high to lower low okay lower time frame change of character that has now happened tick identify three 3 to 5 minute order block which is what I already just explained it's kind of that last you know buy to sell before the aggression that is going to be your order block you're going to identify that area that is going to be your entry right so we're going to assume that the order block is let's just say you know this right here that's going to be your entry okay there is my entry right let's make this a little bit smaller there is my entry okay stops above logical High well the logical swing High based off of all the rules is this is strong because it broke this low this is weak until proven strong so the logical place for my stop- loss would be above this High because your stop loss should always be in a place that invalidates the trade that's it stop loss placement is an area if price comes to this level my trade idea is no longer valid therefore I should get out and accept my losses that is the point of a stop loss so that's where my stop loss would be my target I always partial my profits at five risk reward right so five RR I will take off 50% of my profits that is because it is a mitigation of risk in the event that I am wrong you can still believe it or not you can be wrong that price will continue lower and you can still make money so you can be wrong and still make money yes you don't have to be right to make money that is a belief that a lot of Traders have to break at some point in time if you really want to become profitable you don't being being right and making money they two completely different things sometimes when you are right you can make money sometimes when you are right you can not make money sometimes when you are right you can lose money because it's not about being right it's about where did you get into the market that's what it probably happened to you so many times you've anticipated lower prices and then you tried to get into the market you got stopped out and then price went to where you wanted it to go to you was right and you lost money so the reason I have a partial profit system is because when I gathered all of the years of data to prove my Edge which most people don't do I realized one thing I was getting huge risk to reward trades but my win rate was very low low considering what I wanted it to be again a lot of people identify low win rate with bad strategy at the end of the day it's a numbers game what is your percentage return on average each month that is what indicates profitability not how big your risk reward trades are not how many trades you win or how many trades you lose not your win streak nothing else period so the win rate wasn't where I wanted it to be from a comp perspective I didn't like to go on losing streaks so I Incorporated and I seen in my data oh price reaches this level quite a lot hm let me take off half of my position at that level and then let the rest run because if I if I take off half here and it runs to the full take profit I will take half here and half here I'm fine with that if I put it in here and then it comes into this level and continues higher I would have still made money and then had my stops a break even right so it just really mitigated the risk and it it made a lot more money right I was a lot more profitable and made more money on more trading days it was a win-win that's what I was trying to do for my system that is how I did that for my system that's how the game works that is my trading plan now let's take this plan over to the markets and show you a live example of real price action on how this step-by-step system works let's go okay so lesson number eight we're going to be breaking down this trade in the live market euro dollar on the day of uh the execution is the 31th of September as a recording this it is the 4th of October so it was around 4 days ago as of recording this I always record actual trades that were part of the plan you'll see that it's in the exact hours that I've already set in my trading plan you'll see that everything fits the trading plan you can take the trading plan go test it for yourself inevitably you will run into some issues because that's just how it works you'll probably want some sort of support all of that good stuff so before we dive into this just really quickly if you've made it this far you've already shown me that you are obviously a serious Trader you've spent the time on you know content that's not Lamborghinis and lifestyle and Yachts and buy my course and you can have this lifestyle no I want to give real information because I want to actually create profitable Traders so if you've made it this far you've proven to me that you are serious and you potentially have what it takes if you want to work close close to me alongside of me private mentorship then below this video there's an application I will be accepting five new traders to join my inner circle program inside of my inner circle program we have had Traders go from you know having no idea about the markets to becoming consistently profitable getting funding getting payouts completely changing their life everyone we've done you know hundreds and hundreds of students have become funded Traders taken payouts become actually profitable Traders there's more to trading than just the strategy I can promise you that but without further Ado if it's interesting to you and you are serious about becoming a consistently profitable Trader then below this video there is a link that you can apply to work with me directly to get the help that you need to become that profitable Trader let's get into the actual trade breakdown what you're really here for let's go okay so I'm going to replay it and I will replay it from Monday morning Monday morning London uh heading into London open this is where I take my live session every single morning uh every single Monday morning with my inner circle members and give them my outlook for the week what exactly it is that I am looking at we kind of look at the markets we identify opportunities all that good stuff so you know um I've already documented this before it even happened but let's go ahead and get into it what I always do is I I actually use this indicator this I'm not a fan of indicators this indicator literally just shows you time in the blue box you will see Asia session in the green box London session in the yellow box newk New York session if you remember my trading plan you will know that London is 2:00 a.m. till 5:00 a.m. we are utc-4 which is New York so it's 2: a.m. to 5 a.m. that's my London window my New York window is 7 till 10:00 a.m. that's literally all this does it just shows me the times of the sessions which is very very important something that I won't go into today but understanding sessions and timings and liquidity around sessions is so so important but let's go ahead and get into this now step number one what do we want to be doing if we get rid of all of this we want to first and foremost identify our Market structure so if you're looking at this you need to understand where have we come from right so in order to do that essentially in a nutshell what you can do is you can see that this right here is an external high right this is an external high this is an external low this High gets broken that is a break of structure price comes up like this price comes up higher high lower low higher high break of structure right we are bullish break of structure and then what happens we get a change of character so we go from bullish to bearish right change of character so at that point in time we have a swing high up in here which is a strong high and we have a low down here which is weak until proven strong you notice that there's no pullback inside of here it's this High to this low and then all of this is internal price and if you remember when we were speaking about you know weak highs and strong highs this is kind of how you can understand that as well here's our low down here and this applies for every High really price comes back up okay cool and then price goes for the low right sellers try to take the low price starts reversing it fails so this becomes targeted and it runs it I'm going to change the pen they try to take it it starts reversing this becomes weak it runs it it tries again sellers come in they try to take the market price starts reversing that makes this High weak so it takes the high again in New York session we try to take the low again we fail to take the low price starts reversing this becomes weak we go to the next day what happens London session once again tries to take the low starts reversing fails which means what this high is weak but also this high is weak because this is the high that tried to take the low this High comes down goes to the low what happens price starts reversing so guess what this High has a decent probability of being weak that's something you can identify already immediately so when I come into London session which you can see here in the green box is London session what I am looking for is I want to sell the market it's very important for me if you've been here for a long time you've watched my videos you know how important this Asia session is so I want to see this Asia session get manipulated now there are two different areas here I had this mapped out so you know you could look at potentially shorten from this level you could also look at this as potentially liquidity because of the concept I just explained of weak highs and weak lows the point of interest in question here is this order block again remember when I said you want to look for an aggressive buy before an aggressive sell right that buy before the sell is the order block that's the area of Supply uh we have mitigated it we had a reaction we haven't mitigated the 50% of it it's a rare occurrence to be honest where price mitigates it comes out and then goes back to test it again but in this scenario we do go to test it again so London opens and I'm expecting for sure we're going to get a manipulation of this low uh this high and we can look at shorten from there or we can get a manipulation of this high and we can short from there right again we are also inside of the premium if you look at the high you look at the low and you know the 50% is somewhere around here so anything here is premium anything here is Discount right it's quite simple so we're inside of the premium already so London opens that is what we're waiting for by this point we've already kind of set the expectations price comes into this level um aggressively trades and continues trading there is no sign of a pullback so even if you were to go to the one minute time frame you wouldn't have gotten a trade which is why it's very important to have the one minute time frame for the confirmation so what happens while price eventually breaches on this high I'll be honest with you at this point in time I thought you know what price is probably going to take this High out and and that's why it doesn't matter what we think only what our Edge says because sometimes your own thinking can lead you to try to guess we're not here to guess I'm here to trade a system that is already proven so I just need to follow my rules so in my head I'm thinking uh probably not going to get a trade probably going to run the highs up in here uh because that's what it looks like it's going to do that's just speculation which is what most people do and that's why they lose money but we have a plan so when we get into here and we go to the one minute time frame I'm not really expecting much of it but as you can very clearly see it's we're obviously bullish which is what you would expect because the 15- minute is trading higher but what you want to identify is high low higher high that meets our pullback criteria it's at least three candles right sometimes you'll see me use two candles that's um and sometimes you guys question me for that uh there's there's a reasoning behind that that I won't go into too much detail to here today but there is obviously a reason behind it it's not just changing the rules or something like that there's a reason um but yeah to confirm that the 15 minutes is going to go lower you would need to see this break I'm not trying to sure until that happens we're still inside of our level right so as long as we stay inside this box and we break this low you can sure if not then nothing and you won't make money or lose money no trades and that's also the good thing about having the confirmation um on this specific day we get the shift of the lows so my setup has already occurred in my London window right um so now I I can essentially look at trading that setup so we can go what am I looking for I'm looking for the buy to sell that breaks this level right that is essentially it it also coincides with a different trading strategy that I have as well uh but yeah pretty much that is the model so there's the confirmation break of structure change of character uh I always like I said go to the 3 minute or the 5 minute and look for the order block here I am on the 3 minute time frame this is my order block right this is where the aggressive momentum comes in the buy to sell that is what I'm interested in that is where I want to set my uh thingy where's The Logical High the swing High I want to set my stop loss on that high where do I want to Target for this trade I want to Target number one five risk to reward as I already told you that is my partial take profit right partial profit uh one 125 risk reward and then where's the rest just the swing low right structurally it's expected probability would indicate that the lows down here are going to be taken we're just following the edge so that's what the setup would look like and again we'll go into it because uh you'll see that Something's Happened and this isn't the actual trade that I ended up making money on so what you'll notice is I've now been tagged into the trade the moment that this low gets broken that is my Q to go to break even it's also the end of the session right it's end of of my London window and break even a lot of times you may see some sort of manipulation between the sessions so it's something to watch out for but is my session's finished I'm a break even once I get a break of structure like this right so I get tagged into my position and then I get a break of structure that's when I go to break even uh so I'm at break even right now my stop loss is right here if it gets tagged I don't lose I don't win and then again if we just play price cuz I don't want to spend too much of your time um we play price and price everything's going great uh new New York session opens everything was going great and then I get tagged out at break even right so there's the break even uh for the SMC model but we are back in the same level and if we go to the one minute time frame guess what you will notice that if we look at the market structure right lower low lower high lower low lower high lower low equal highs I guess lower low and then higher high so now we've had a bullish change of character so we can look at getting back into the market if we get a shift again so what do we have we have lower low lower high lower low higher high and then you get a change of character so we have a bullish break of structure bullish break of structure followed by a bearish change of character right the bearish change of character inside of here bearish change of character we've confirmed again that the one minute time frame is now shifting bearish we're also already where we are on the 50-minute time frame so you can look at getting back involved again we go to the 5 minute we have a look we look for an order block we go to the 3 minute we have a look we look for an order block okay there's a couple variations I use we also do incorporate things like fair value gaps and breaker blocks but for the purpose of this video you can see that you know we have the buy we have aggressive sell so we can use this right here but again I don't want to just you know use that I'm not greedy I'm not um I'm not type of person who just wants to use this right here like 1.5 Pips no way I want to put my stop in a logical place so the logical place is the swing high so I can put my stop on there 4.5 Pips that is a good stop placement for this trade so there would be your entry there would be your stop placement and even better than the last trade Now 1 to five is actually a lot closer right so that's also something that can genuinely happen is the first trade that I got the the total potential um risk reward was six right 50% at 5 and 50% at 7.5 or something like that it it equals around six but now if I take 50% at 5 there and the next 50% following the system all the way down here at 17 right that's going to give me 8.5 plus 2.5 so 11 so this could have yielded 11 this only would have yielded six so it's double the actual risk reward which is is crazy when you think about it um but yeah that is that becomes the new setup right there's a 3 minute you come onto the one minute time frame it's in the window of uh New York right 7:00 a.m. uh is about to hit 8:00 a.m. uh we do have a news event in here which is inflation rate but it's Euro inflation rate typically Euro News doesn't really move the market uh it's dollar news that that moves euro dollar so not too important uh but yeah we come in uh we trade out uh that is my sign to go break even so I can move my stop loss to break even now and yeah pretty much risk-free on the trade and if we go to a higher time frame to let this thing play out you will see the take profit number one is right here so that's where 50% of the position gets taken off and then you just leave the rest running right Break Even already secured profit for the day it is what it is obviously we want that swing low to get hit it's probably to get here but it is what it is we'll play it on the 50-minute time frame and then yeah pretty much we got the aggression into the take profit after the session so pretty solid understanding if we just literally quickly recap it's very simple it's what we just taught in our seven steps it is the break of structure change of character we are prot Trend M15 we're bearish M15 high low price comes back up to retest the high lower time frame confirmation entry as planned partials as planned the weak structure taken out as planned that pretty much sums up the system um if you want more support more advice more like these deeper knowledge than this then as I already told you you can apply to work with me below fill the form uh if not you just want to enjoy the YouTube great let me know in the comments down below what video would you like to see next what would you like to see

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