Full transcript (2302 words)
Hello everyone, this is K. Today I'm sharing something special. A realtime live trade by my own Ichimoku strategy called KTS I took inside of my private community. Many YouTube viewers asked to see how I actually make decisions not just theory or back testings but also the real time uh process behind the entries or stop-loss and uh the risk management and how I manage my psychology while markets moving. And of course, this is not the financial advice, but I [music] hope by watching my thinking process. You can take away some insights to improve your own trade execution and mindset. Inside my communities, which are KTS master community, and global training school, mentorship program, I do more in-depth live analysis, trade planning, and weekly forecast sessions to help members develop consistent trading habits. If you enjoy this video and you want to learn more in real time, you're more than welcome to join. I'll share more information at the end of this video. All right, so let's jump in. So the only pair we can trade at the moment is the USD JPY. So let me double check the higher time frames situation again. So let me just put one time frame and I screen from the weekly time frame. [music] When weekly is trending, I place three positions and three stop losses and 3% risk per trade. Okay. So, seems like weekly is not trending because Kunen is within the Kumo and Kumo is not twisted bullish yet. So, if you remember US JPY has been resisted by the descending trend line and seems like now it's breaking bullish which is a good sign. So that the next target simply by looking at the previous high is 158.84 and now it's 15412. So we have more than 700 pips of room to trade 770 or so which is quite massive. So US JPY looks nice to trade and uh let me check the daily time frame. Daily is bullish and [music] now it's breaking the resistances. There are two touches uh previously and now it's breaking. [music] So that's nice. And let's check 4hour time frame. Okay, 4 hour is also bullish as kunen angle is up, senko span ab both up and chico span above the candlesticks. And let's see what confirmations we have. If you are on the PC or phone and watching this live stream um can you please mention what confirmations you are finding in this situation? You can type on the chat. Okay. So um yeah USD currency [music] strength is um now 16 and JPY is uh minus 76. So the difference is [music] much more than 40. So um this is the momentum is great versus the prices are going up. So yeah this is divergence. That's a great call. Yes. So this gold cross is trustable. So that's one of the entry confirmations. The price may go up this way [music] and you may feel formal but it's also okay. This is only start to share my analysis or the weekly forecast. on Sundays or Saturdays maybe but for now I just I want really wanted everyone to focus on the psychology part and that's why I wanted to um share those videos for now and with some Japanese sayings or Japanese proverbs in it. You don't look at the lower part when it's downtrend. It's vice versa. In five minute um when you happen to open the market and when you are here this wasn't squeezing yet because upper part still same direction towards the major direction. Now band squeezing is happening. Let's see. Yeah, now band squeeze is happening since upper band is now squeezing. Okay. Uh let's see. It's reversing now. Good entry point. Um if you high if you can find the three confirmations then [music] yes you can enter the market. I'm only focusing with the JPY to trade. Okay. Um [music] inside breakout. Yeah we have inside at the moment. So let's wait for the breakout. And that's one of the entry confirmations. [music] In this case, I see Nwave as here starting from here to here and retracement. This is the potential new Nwave. So in this case, I want to see if this bounce is trustable or not. I was about to enter now, but I want to discuss entry confirmation. So I won't yet. [music] So I take the Fibonacci from here to here like this way. And now, yep, you're right. This is 61.8% bounce because the invalidation of the token box is when the price gets into the token box then exit. So, so this is SL. If we enter by now, then this is invalidation. So, okay, the trend line bounce. Okay, the trend line bounce is also nice. I can see that there are there's a trend line like this way. We have more than three touches. One, two, three, four. This is like the fourth touch. So, this is also valid. Okay. Dogey breakout. We have like multiple do. But so far now, I don't see any dogey breakout. Let me see what else do we have. Stop support resistance uh breakout and retest. Yeah, that's exactly right. uh resistances are now becoming support. This is what I call reversal line. So I can see already that there is a strong support zone around this area. When the market breaks here, then you have three invalidations again. One is the invalidation of the trend line and second is the invalidation of the Fibonacci. So this is where you're going to exit a trade manually. This is going to be your 50% to your stop loss. 50% to your stop loss. So your stop loss will be here in this trade and this is your entry. Okay. Looks like as per the strength chart now JPY is becoming strong [music] and that's why 1 minute is slightly going down but USD is nice. USD is still bullish. So if JPY becomes weak again then this pair will be bullish and as per 1 minute uh looks like it's retracing. So let's see let's wait. So let's see if it breaks around 15 153.88. If it does then no entry. If if the market breaks here then I will stay away. I will come back maybe in few hours. So I wait for the five minute time frame closure now in 3 minutes and 50 seconds. [music] Okay. So if I'm already in the trade and 5 minute will be closed 153.8 if the market closes below that level and you have that those are invalidated. So that means once they expand and once the market start to bandwalk towards the major direction then it goes really faster. So band squeeze is actually one of my favorites. It's like you know so that once it breaks then it goes really fast. So actually that's one of my favorite patterns. I mean favorite uh confirmations. 1 minute is about to break the resistance again. Let's see. And this is perfect timing to um enter the market once it happens. Looks like 5 minute time frame is closing with a bullish bar. The bar becomes bigger because that's a breakout of W bottom and the range in 1 minute. Okay. Now I enter the market USD JPY place two positions [music] on 153.979 979 and my stop loss is going to be 36 pips below. Okay, I will share the screenshot later in discord with this video so that you can watch this over time. And the strength chart. [music] I think the strength chart already moved, but um yeah, let me just take the screenshot or maybe other currency strings as well. Okay, I will share [music] this one too. Okay, let's see. Um I entered and my heart beat go up so also. Okay. [laughter] Yeah, but at least you're trading with me together. So you should be feeling safer. [laughter] If you lose, we all lose. Okay, please mention a stop-loss point. Stop loss is 153.616. The previous low on the five minute time frame. I mean overtime over time not only one trade if you continue like this way with this discipline then um yeah in the long run you should be able to run profits. We have new end wave that means the market is going towards our direction on the five minute time frame. So you can move the stop losses higher. So let's see how this one goes. Again we have a big news coming up in almost 1 hour from now. We have news CPI in Germany and uh Europe. So um hopefully we can set break even before the big news. But if you cannot then I recommend to exit the trade manually and come back after news. Okay. Lucas says we exit how long after news we can look for entry. Um okay now stoastic gold cross is is about to happen. We didn't we didn't have to take the gold cross like uh additional confirmation after entry. I actually mentioned this in discord today but um there may be some you know uh gap between Friday Monday and uh there also may be um yeah there may be some you know the spread increase on Monday. So I think if you run 30 pips at least running profit on Friday. Okay, thank you very much. I hope you have a great day. I hope uh we all run some nice profits on this one US JPY. So, let's see how it goes. Best wishes. All right. Thank you so much. See you next time. Stay gold. So, let me show you what happened after I took the trade live uh the other day. Uh this is the private Discord group where members can only access [music] and I post my trade screenshots here. And so, that was US JPY. I took trade on the 30th of October. And um let me show you the screenshot when I entered the market again. I entered the market on 153.979 and I put the stop losses on 153.616. That was a 36 pips of stop-loss. And after I took the trade, the market went towards my direction. This is the screenshot from MetaTrader, the trading platform I'm using to execute the trades. So once the market goes towards my direction, I move the stop losses which were here originally manually to here the swing low on the five minute time frame so that the my risk becomes smaller in this case. uh originally I took the risk of 2% to the stop loss. So let's say the market if the market goes down all the way to my original stop-loss I lose 2%. That will be 2% draw down. But my by moving the stop loss manually to closer to the positions like this way [music] then this is even if the market goes down I won't lose 2%. I will lose around 1% or could be less than 1%. So this is part of the risk management that is very important with my strategy KTS. So this is a screenshot when I moved the stop losses higher as I monitor the market and after that um the market went towards my direction. So eventually the previous stop losses were moved above my positions like this way. So this is what I called break even line. after I set break even then I will never lose even if the market goes down all the way in case anything happens but I won't lose because stop loss will hit and um [music] I will exit with break even and if the market goes towards my direction continuously then I simply trial profits. So as soon as you move the stop losses to break even like this way on this screenshot, your trade will be secure and you will never lose. This is where you have break even or win game which is the most important part of my strategy. So after this I leave chart for a few hours and then the market went towards my direction continuously. So I moved one of the stop losses to here and second stop loss still on the break even and I keep trading profits. If the market goes this way again then I trail continuously until the market stops bullish trend. So this is the combination of Ichimoku time frame and multiple time frames and plus entry and trail and exit in the lower time frames. So that's how I developed my own strategy and I have been using the strategy for many years and actually you can see the trade performance every months on the on my on YouTube. So you can also refer to it and what kind of performances I had uh uh until this summer time. So um so that's how I took the trace. Thank you so much for watching. I hope this video gave you a valuable lesson in terms of how I approach the live trade from timing my entry [music] to placing my stop-loss to managing risk and emotions along the way. And this workflow is exactly what I teach inside of my KTS master community where I host live sessions and chat reviews. And at Global Trading School, I provide deeper private mentorship to help traders build discipline and consistency. If you want to study with me directly or take your trading beyond YouTube and into a structured learning environment, you'll find the links below. As always, please trade safe and stay discipline. And please remember, strategy gives direction, but mindset carries you to the goal. I'll see you in the next one. Stay gold. Matan.