The BEST Indicator On TradingView: Squeeze Momentum Indicator Strategy (Lazybear)
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Why 4.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)
- ✓ Strong per-trade edge: +0.44R expectancy across 8,820 trades
- ✓ Convex payoff 3.5 — winners far bigger than losers
- ✕ Only 32% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
- ✕ Max drawdown -25% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)
- “com and you go up to three indicators at the top here and you'll be able to find the ttms indicator just here or there depending on whether you want to call it ”
- “5 multiplier just like that okay so we're going to be setting our stop loss to the ATR bands which would be around here and we're looking for a risk reward of t”
- “67% win rate which is absolutely amazing right let's have a look at some of these stats this trading strategy performed a very very well and had a net profit of”
- “3 5% back testing all the way to 2019 a profit factor of 2.”
Verdict
Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: TTM Squeeze breakout strategy with Alma trend baseline and Stiffness confirmation on BTC 30-min, treating the squeeze-breakout (Bollinger bands breaking Keltner channel) as a volatility-driven breakou Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 8,820 trades, win 32%, payoff 3.48, expectancy +0.44R/trade (avg +2.29%/trade).
This is a real edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Reasonably consistent (78% of years positive).
Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.
🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)
Tracking since 2026-10-19 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0% | +8% | +29% | +39% | -1% | +10% | +0% | -11% | +0% |
Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Expectancy | Avg return / trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 201 | 8% | -0.83R | -5.17% |
| 2019 | 811 | 28% | +0.07R | +0.69% |
| 2020 | 1275 | 39% | +0.93R | +6.51% |
| 2021 | 1357 | 33% | +0.47R | +2.89% |
| 2022 | 962 | 25% | +0.00R | -0.32% |
| 2023 | 1508 | 43% | +1.32R | +5.67% |
| 2024 | 1364 | 28% | +0.20R | +0.73% |
| 2025 | 953 | 29% | +0.03R | -0.24% |
| 2026 | 389 | 22% | -0.34R | -1.46% |
Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)
| # | Stock | Trades | Win% | Avg/trade | Best | Total | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ████████ | 57 | 51% | +28.5% | +181% | +1624% | +146% |
| 2 | ████████ | 40 | 45% | +8.6% | +52% | +344% | +106% |
| 3 | ████████ | 46 | 46% | +6.8% | +72% | +315% | +97% |
| 4 | ████████ | 74 | 53% | +23.0% | +124% | +1704% | +93% |
| 5 | ████████ | 53 | 34% | +8.7% | +125% | +461% | +89% |
| 6 | ████████ | 72 | 40% | +3.5% | +54% | +249% | +84% |
| 7 | ████████ | 64 | 34% | +3.0% | +52% | +191% | +48% |
| 8 | OFSS free peek | 49 | 37% | +3.9% | +101% | +190% | +29% |
| 9 | ████████ | 66 | 35% | +0.2% | +32% | +16% | +23% |
| 10 | ████████ | 55 | 35% | +3.7% | +59% | +204% | +18% |
| 11 | ████████ | 64 | 31% | +3.5% | +52% | +227% | +17% |
| 12 | ████████ | 62 | 35% | +5.9% | +65% | +368% | +9% |
| 13 | ████████ | 28 | 29% | -1.6% | +35% | -44% | +9% |
| 14 | ████████ | 63 | 41% | +10.8% | +176% | +682% | +4% |
| 15 | ████████ | 78 | 36% | +2.6% | +39% | +204% | +3% |
| 16 | ████████ | 81 | 49% | +11.3% | +95% | +918% | +0% |
| 17 | ████████ | 58 | 40% | +11.5% | +70% | +669% | +0% |
| 18 | ████████ | 46 | 50% | +9.4% | +51% | +432% | +0% |
| 19 | ████████ | 66 | 36% | +6.4% | +68% | +424% | +0% |
| 20 | ████████ | 54 | 46% | +3.9% | +38% | +209% | +0% |
| 21 | ████████ | 65 | 31% | +3.6% | +69% | +232% | -42% |
| 22 | ████████ | 50 | 16% | -3.4% | +22% | -170% | -36% |
| 23 | ████████ | 74 | 27% | +2.1% | +69% | +155% | -35% |
| 24 | ████████ | 62 | 23% | -1.2% | +41% | -73% | -32% |
| 25 | ████████ | 61 | 39% | +4.6% | +106% | +281% | -32% |
| 26 | ████████ | 14 | 14% | -4.9% | +10% | -68% | -30% |
| 27 | ████████ | 62 | 21% | -0.3% | +56% | -18% | -29% |
| 28 | ████████ | 35 | 23% | +2.5% | +100% | +88% | -29% |
| 29 | ████████ | 34 | 41% | +4.3% | +40% | +146% | -29% |
| 30 | ████████ | 54 | 31% | +0.2% | +26% | +12% | -28% |
Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)
| Index | Trades | Win% | Expectancy (R/trade) | Avg return/trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY | 150 | 33% | +0.29R | +0.54% |
| BANKNIFTY | 115 | 28% | +0.08R | +0.08% |
Full transcript (2718 words)
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