Your idea: The Clean-Execution Nifty Scalping Framework 1. The One-Direction Rule… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: The Clean-Execution Nifty Scalping Framework 1. The One-Direction Rule…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 05 Sep 2026, 11:26 AM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (selling)Intraday SMA/MAVWAPOpening range

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an opening-range breakout on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 30% / target 60% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread. The video trades BANKNIFTY; NIFTY weeklies are the closest instrument we have real premiums for, so the same rules were run on NIFTY.

1,884 trades on ₹1L: net -120.2% over 12 years (-10.0%/yr, loses money), win 39%, payoff 1.46 (avg win ₹2,826 / avg loss ₹-1,941), max drawdown -188%, worst trade ₹-8,876. 2015: ₹+3,115. 2016: ₹-15,771. 2017: ₹-29,096. 2018: ₹+5,666. 2019: ₹+19,286. 2020: ₹+7,433. 2021: ₹+66,552. 2022: ₹-75,593. 2023: ₹-78,053. 2024: ₹+56,514. 2025: ₹-56,367. 2026: ₹-23,924.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
20156745% ₹+3,115
201611841% ₹-15,771
201714540% ₹-29,096
201813942% ₹+5,666
201914544% ₹+19,286
202015837% ₹+7,433
202124442% ₹+66,552
202219235% ₹-75,593
202318731% ₹-78,053
202415440% ₹+56,514
202523239% ₹-56,367
202610341% ₹-23,924
Full transcript (265 words)
The Clean-Execution Nifty Scalping Framework 1. The One-Direction Rule (No Mixing Sides): Stop taking calls and puts in the same session. Pick your macro direction based on the first 15 minutes of the Nifty spot chart (Opening Range Breakout) and only take trades in that direction. If the market breaks that range later, wait for a confirmed structure shift—do not bounce back and forth between calls and puts. 2. ATM / ITM Strike Selection Only: Trade At-The-Money (ATM) or one strike In-The-Money (ITM) options exclusively. Avoid cheap OTM options where theta decay and sluggish delta movement hurt your fills. ATM/ITM contracts give you a higher delta (~0.50 to 0.65), meaning the premium responds immediately when the index moves. 3. The Entry Trigger (VWAP Pullback + 1-Min Momentum): Plot VWAP on your 1-minute option premium chart. Wait for price to pull back to VWAP during an established trend. Enter only when a strong expansion candle breaks the high or low of that pullback structure. 4. Hard Cap of 3 Trades Per Day: Yesterday’s P&L showed 10 executions that generated nearly ₹480 in statutory charges and brokerage. Cap yourself at a strict maximum of 2 to 3 trades per session. If your first couple of setups fail, log off. Overtrading is what turns a small directional error into a heavy fee-driven loss. 5. Risk-Reward Parameters: Stop-Loss: Fixed 6 to 8 points on the option premium. Exit instantly if it hits—do not wait or hope for a recovery. Target: 15 to 20 points, or trail your stop-loss using a fast moving average once you're safely in the green.

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