Your idea: Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection • Set up your trading platfor… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection • Set up your trading platfor…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 05 Sep 2026, 11:58 AM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

EMASMA/MA

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an EMA crossover on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 3% / target 9% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

3,167 trades on ₹1L: net -343.9% over 12 years (-28.7%/yr, loses money), win 21%, payoff 2.07 (avg win ₹642 / avg loss ₹-310), max drawdown -344%, worst trade ₹-1,297. 2015: ₹-11,171. 2016: ₹-8,866. 2017: ₹-13,682. 2018: ₹-8,537. 2019: ₹-18,027. 2020: ₹-34,212. 2021: ₹-43,940. 2022: ₹-31,392. 2023: ₹-41,529. 2024: ₹-42,107. 2025: ₹-55,016. 2026: ₹-35,445.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
201513525% ₹-11,171
201620827% ₹-8,866
201725026% ₹-13,682
201824027% ₹-8,537
201923223% ₹-18,027
202025622% ₹-34,212
202137319% ₹-43,940
202231622% ₹-31,392
202331815% ₹-41,529
202427418% ₹-42,107
202539319% ₹-55,016
202617216% ₹-35,445
Full transcript (195 words)
Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection • Set up your trading platform (such as TradingView, Dhan, or Angel One) with a multi-screen or split-screen view. • After the market opens and settles past [02:50] 09:30 AM, check Nifty's opening price. • Open the option charts for strikes that are 100 points In-The-Money (ITM) (both Call and Put options) on your screen. Step 2: Apply Indicators and Timeframe • Set your chart timeframe strictly to 1 minute. • Apply two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to the option chart: 9 EMA and 15 EMA. Step 3: Identify the Trend and Filter Condition • Wait for a clear crossover and alignment where the EMAs are expanding (e.g., the 9 EMA is cleanly above the 15 EMA for a bullish setup). • Note: Avoid taking trades when the EMAs are sideways or tangled, as clean directional alignment increases the setup's accuracy significantly. Step 4: Entry and Stop-Loss Rules • Entry: Initiate your trade when the 9 EMA crosses 15 EMA and moves up. • Stop Loss: Place a very tight stop-loss (typically 3 points). Step 5: Target and Exit • Target a high risk-to-reward ratio ranging from 1:3.

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