Your idea: Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection Set up your trading platform… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection Set up your trading platform…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 05 Sep 2026, 11:41 AM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

EMASMA/MA

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an EMA crossover on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 3% / target 400% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

3,167 trades on ₹1L: net -160.5% over 12 years (-13.4%/yr, loses money), win 8%, payoff 9.02 (avg win ₹2,778 / avg loss ₹-308), max drawdown -210%, worst trade ₹-1,297. 2015: ₹+3,442. 2016: ₹-2,717. 2017: ₹+1,322. 2018: ₹+18,766. 2019: ₹-3,321. 2020: ₹+1,740. 2021: ₹-17,199. 2022: ₹+15,252. 2023: ₹-31,259. 2024: ₹-50,619. 2025: ₹-36,139. 2026: ₹-59,775.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
201513516% ₹+3,442
201620813% ₹-2,717
201725016% ₹+1,322
201824014% ₹+18,766
20192326% ₹-3,321
20202567% ₹+1,740
20213738% ₹-17,199
20223167% ₹+15,252
20233185% ₹-31,259
20242743% ₹-50,619
20253937% ₹-36,139
20261724% ₹-59,775
Full transcript (229 words)
Step 1: Setup and Strike Price Selection Set up your trading platform (such as TradingView, Dhan, or Angel One) with a multi-screen or split-screen view. After the market opens and settles past [02:50] 09:30 AM, check Nifty's opening price. Open the option charts for strikes that are 100 points In-The-Money (ITM) (both Call and Put options) on your screen. Step 2: Apply Indicators and Timeframe Set your chart timeframe strictly to 1 minute. Apply two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to the option chart: 9 EMA and 15 EMA. Step 3: Identify the Trend and Filter Condition Wait for a clear crossover and alignment where the EMAs are expanding (e.g., the 9 EMA is cleanly above the 15 EMA for a bullish setup). Note: Avoid taking trades when the EMAs are sideways or tangled, as clean directional alignment increases the setup's accuracy significantly. Step 4: Entry and Stop-Loss Rules Look for a specific bullish trigger candle pattern formation that aligns with the EMA trend. Entry: Initiate your trade at the breakout of the trigger candle. Stop Loss: Place a very tight stop-loss right at the opposite end (high/low) of that specific trigger candle, keeping the risk small (typically 3 to 8 points). Step 5: Target and Exit Target a high risk-to-reward ratio ranging from 1:4 to 1:6, aiming to capture a quick 50 to 60-point move in the option premium.

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