Your idea: On nifty put and call options , enter trade when on 3 min chart, sma 3… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: On nifty put and call options , enter trade when on 3 min chart, sma 3…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 22 Oct 2026, 04:22 PM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

EMASMA/MA

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an EMA crossover on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 30% / target 60% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread. The video trades BANKNIFTY; NIFTY weeklies are the closest instrument we have real premiums for, so the same rules were run on NIFTY.

7,520 trades on ₹1L: net -524.5% over 12 years (-43.7%/yr, loses money), win 40%, payoff 1.38 (avg win ₹2,236 / avg loss ₹-1,623), max drawdown -575%, worst trade ₹-11,047. 2015: ₹-48,120. 2016: ₹-53,977. 2017: ₹-42,006. 2018: ₹+4,948. 2019: ₹-60,729. 2020: ₹-19,388. 2021: ₹-27,087. 2022: ₹-95,219. 2023: ₹-55,206. 2024: ₹-68,737. 2025: ₹-90,709. 2026: ₹+31,708.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
201529740% ₹-48,120
201649542% ₹-53,977
201760841% ₹-42,006
201851644% ₹+4,948
201957838% ₹-60,729
202061141% ₹-19,388
202194241% ₹-27,087
202274039% ₹-95,219
202369438% ₹-55,206
202465939% ₹-68,737
202598939% ₹-90,709
202639143% ₹+31,708
Full transcript (53 words)
On nifty put and call options , enter trade when on 3 min chart, sma 3 crosses ema 9 and when choppiness index for period of 11 bars is less than 50 threshold. Exit when the momentum breaks meaning that the candle formed is red one and is bigger than the previous candle.

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