Your idea: Nifty weekly options, 2 to 4 days before expiry, after 10:00: only whe… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: Nifty weekly options, 2 to 4 days before expiry, after 10:00: only whe…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 23 Oct 2026, 08:23 PM IST
★½☆☆☆ 1.5 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (selling) EMAADX

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “20 delta, buy wings 100 points further out, and only enter if the credit is at least 25% of the wing width.”
  • “Exit at 60% of max profit, or if either short option's delta goes above 0.”

Verdict

Real minute-level backtest. Scored as the nearest tested variant: strangle sold at 10:00 with NO stop-loss, square-off 15:15, on 2,126 real trading days 2015–2026 (1-minute NIFTY option premiums — every crash, election and expiry day included), real charges and spread, 1 lot.

Net ₹-47,998 (≈ ₹-3,999/yr, -2.7%/yr on ~₹1.5L margin — roughly breakeven after costs), 62% green days, avg ₹-22/day, max drawdown ₹-166,128. Yearly: 2015: ₹-5,839. 2016: ₹-26,890. 2017: ₹-11,815. 2018: ₹-27,723. 2019: ₹-34,417. 2020: ₹-20,494. 2021: ₹+12,392. 2022: ₹-43,160. 2023: ₹+26,523. 2024: ₹+845. 2025: ₹+68,362. 2026: ₹+14,218.

Worst days: 04-Jun-24 ₹-33,838 | 20-Sep-19 ₹-24,638 | 16-Jun-22 ₹-23,220 | 17-Apr-25 ₹-23,149 | 23-Jan-24 ₹-19,796. The per-leg stop caps normal disasters, but it fills at market on the breach — a violent single minute can blow through it (see the worst-day figure). Without a stop-loss this family is a time bomb — the same grid's no-SL cells give back years of gains on single event days (elections, crashes).

Intraday premium-selling verdicts are scored against our precomputed 12-year variant grid; the nearest variant to this video's described rules is shown. Flagged for human review.

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Full transcript (92 words)
Nifty weekly options, 2 to 4 days before expiry, after 10:00: only when ADX(14) is below 20, Nifty is within 1% of its 20 EMA, India VIX is between 11 and 20, and the opening gap is under 0.7%. Sell a call and a put at about 0.15 to 0.20 delta, buy wings 100 points further out, and only enter if the credit is at least 25% of the wing width. Exit at 60% of max profit, or if either short option's delta goes above 0.35, or by 14:30 on expiry day.

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Results are AI-generated from stored historical market data and are for educational purposes only — they cannot be treated as 100% accurate, nor as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Strategies from non-Indian markets are also backtested on Indian market data only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.