Your idea: "NIFTY, BANKNIFTY and SENSEX index options, intraday: between 09:20 an…
One-time — gone on refresh. Copy it and paste as a YouTube comment.
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Verdict
Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an EMA crossover on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 12% / target 60% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread. The video trades BANKNIFTY; NIFTY weeklies are the closest instrument we have real premiums for, so the same rules were run on NIFTY.
1,103 trades on ₹1L: net +36.4% over 12 years (+3.0%/yr, is modestly positive), win 27%, payoff 2.77 (avg win ₹2,664 / avg loss ₹-964), max drawdown -70%, worst trade ₹-3,791. 2015: ₹+3,234. 2016: ₹+8,669. 2017: ₹+2,227. 2018: ₹+13,890. 2019: ₹-7,254. 2020: ₹-20,165. 2021: ₹-25,142. 2022: ₹+3,517. 2023: ₹-4,355. 2024: ₹+42,163. 2025: ₹+55,089. 2026: ₹-35,433.
Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Net P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 51 | 37% | ₹+3,234 |
| 2016 | 66 | 39% | ₹+8,669 |
| 2017 | 85 | 39% | ₹+2,227 |
| 2018 | 78 | 37% | ₹+13,890 |
| 2019 | 91 | 22% | ₹-7,254 |
| 2020 | 101 | 19% | ₹-20,165 |
| 2021 | 146 | 21% | ₹-25,142 |
| 2022 | 102 | 29% | ₹+3,517 |
| 2023 | 99 | 23% | ₹-4,355 |
| 2024 | 91 | 24% | ₹+42,163 |
| 2025 | 129 | 33% | ₹+55,089 |
| 2026 | 64 | 14% | ₹-35,433 |
Full transcript (412 words)
💬 Trader reviews (traded this? tell others what really happened)
No reviews yet — be the first. Real experiences help other traders more than any backtest.
User opinions, not investment advice. Reviews are moderated before publishing.