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Your idea: First take nifty 50 chart market open after first 15 min candle showin…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 02:42 PM IST
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Intraday

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: an opening-range breakout on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 40% / target 40% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

1,945 trades on ₹1L: net -372.1% over 12 years (-31.0%/yr, loses money), win 46%, payoff 1.00 (avg win ₹2,439 / avg loss ₹-2,429), max drawdown -386%, worst trade ₹-13,854. 2015: ₹-14,229. 2016: ₹-33,678. 2017: ₹-31,088. 2018: ₹-8,845. 2019: ₹+3,436. 2020: ₹-40,234. 2021: ₹-41,018. 2022: ₹-13,768. 2023: ₹-42,023. 2024: ₹+19,034. 2025: ₹-97,507. 2026: ₹-72,204.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
20156746% ₹-14,229
201612641% ₹-33,678
201715341% ₹-31,088
201814646% ₹-8,845
201914850% ₹+3,436
202016445% ₹-40,234
202124746% ₹-41,018
202219454% ₹-13,768
202319045% ₹-42,023
202416048% ₹+19,034
202524443% ₹-97,507
202610644% ₹-72,204
Full transcript (66 words)
First take nifty 50 chart market open after first 15 min candle showing gree candle means take that candle lower value are if red candle show take its high value selected one price after take nearest atm ce and pe mark both pe and ce like average,call premium,put premium,first 15 min candle low ,high which break major break entry at 9.30 target 40 point sl 40

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Results are AI-generated from stored historical market data and are for educational purposes only — they cannot be treated as 100% accurate, nor as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Strategies from non-Indian markets are also backtested on Indian market data only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.