Your idea: Buy Example Market is in a downtrend. Price breaks the last Lower Hi…
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Why 3.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)
- ✓ A real but modest per-trade edge: +0.22R across 240 trades
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Verdict
Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: Supply & demand zone trading: identify consolidation/base (marked by last Lower High / Higher Low break), wait for retest into zone with bullish/bearish candle, enter with 1:3 RR target and zone-based Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 240 trades, win 47%, payoff 1.52, expectancy +0.22R/trade (avg +0.29%/trade).
This is a real edge. Reasonably consistent (88% of years positive).
Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.
🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)
Tracking since 2026-07-10 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1% | +5% | +4% | +2% | +3% | +1% | +1% | +1% |
Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Expectancy | Avg return / trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | 53% | +0.45R | +0.51% |
| 2020 | 44 | 48% | +0.31R | +0.66% |
| 2021 | 41 | 46% | +0.25R | +0.35% |
| 2022 | 35 | 46% | -0.06R | +0.11% |
| 2023 | 30 | 57% | +0.53R | +0.40% |
| 2024 | 31 | 39% | +0.02R | -0.01% |
| 2025 | 25 | 44% | +0.14R | +0.02% |
| 2026 | 15 | 40% | +0.09R | +0.08% |
Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 117 stocks, incl. 2026)
| # | Stock | Trades | Win% | Avg/trade | Best | Total | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ████████ | 4 | 25% | +0.0% | +6% | +0% | +6% |
| 2 | ████████ | 4 | 50% | +1.2% | +6% | +5% | +5% |
| 3 | ████████ | 1 | 100% | +2.6% | +3% | +3% | +3% |
| 4 | ████████ | 1 | 100% | +3.0% | +3% | +3% | +3% |
| 5 | ████████ | 4 | 75% | +0.9% | +2% | +3% | +2% |
| 6 | ████████ | 4 | 25% | -0.7% | +2% | -3% | +1% |
| 7 | ████████ | 3 | 100% | +4.5% | +5% | +13% | +0% |
| 8 | JINDALSTEL free peek | 4 | 75% | +1.9% | +5% | +8% | +0% |
| 9 | ████████ | 2 | 100% | +3.8% | +4% | +8% | +0% |
| 10 | ████████ | 2 | 100% | +3.9% | +4% | +8% | +0% |
| 11 | ████████ | 2 | 100% | +3.7% | +4% | +7% | +0% |
| 12 | ████████ | 2 | 100% | +3.0% | +3% | +6% | +0% |
| 13 | ████████ | 2 | 100% | +2.9% | +3% | +6% | +0% |
| 14 | ████████ | 1 | 100% | +6.2% | +6% | +6% | +0% |
| 15 | ████████ | 4 | 50% | +1.2% | +7% | +5% | +0% |
| 16 | ████████ | 5 | 60% | +1.0% | +3% | +5% | +0% |
| 17 | ████████ | 2 | 50% | +2.3% | +6% | +5% | +0% |
| 18 | ████████ | 5 | 60% | +1.0% | +3% | +5% | +0% |
| 19 | ████████ | 4 | 50% | +1.1% | +7% | +5% | +0% |
| 20 | ████████ | 2 | 50% | +2.7% | +8% | +5% | +0% |
| 21 | ████████ | 2 | 0% | -3.0% | +-3% | -6% | -3% |
| 22 | ████████ | 5 | 20% | -1.0% | +3% | -5% | -2% |
| 23 | ████████ | 1 | 0% | -2.1% | +-2% | -2% | -2% |
| 24 | ████████ | 4 | 25% | +0.0% | +5% | +0% | -2% |
| 25 | ████████ | 2 | 50% | -0.1% | +2% | +0% | -2% |
| 26 | ████████ | 2 | 50% | +0.4% | +3% | +1% | -2% |
| 27 | ████████ | 2 | 50% | +2.0% | +6% | +4% | -2% |
| 28 | ████████ | 5 | 40% | +0.3% | +5% | +1% | -1% |
| 29 | ████████ | 3 | 0% | -2.9% | +-3% | -9% | +0% |
| 30 | ████████ | 1 | 0% | -5.6% | +-6% | -6% | +0% |
Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Full transcript (76 words)
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