Your idea: Bullish entry — Buy NIFTY Call (CE) Enter a bullish CALL trade only w… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
FakeTrades.in
← all strategies
Y

Your idea: Bullish entry — Buy NIFTY Call (CE) Enter a bullish CALL trade only w…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 06 Sep 2026, 07:10 AM IST
★½☆☆☆ 1.5 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

SupertrendRSIBollingerPivot points

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: a Supertrend flip on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 20% / target 60% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread.

1,896 trades on ₹1L: net -23.1% over 12 years (-1.9%/yr, roughly breaks even), win 36%, payoff 1.73 (avg win ₹2,544 / avg loss ₹-1,471), max drawdown -179%, worst trade ₹-7,061. 2015: ₹-604. 2016: ₹+11,297. 2017: ₹+7,101. 2018: ₹+19,730. 2019: ₹+29,264. 2020: ₹-31,518. 2021: ₹-11,027. 2022: ₹+2,582. 2023: ₹-29,604. 2024: ₹-12,584. 2025: ₹-36,618. 2026: ₹+28,843.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

See strategies that scored 4★+ →
Know someone trading this?

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
20158641% ₹-604
201610947% ₹+11,297
201715942% ₹+7,101
201813544% ₹+19,730
201913039% ₹+29,264
202016932% ₹-31,518
202123135% ₹-11,027
202221033% ₹+2,582
202318129% ₹-29,604
202415832% ₹-12,584
202523433% ₹-36,618
20269444% ₹+28,843
Full transcript (254 words)
Bullish entry — Buy NIFTY Call (CE) Enter a bullish CALL trade only when all of these are true: NIFTY closes above SuperTrend NIFTY closes above Pivot R1 NIFTY closes above the Upper Bollinger Band RSI is above 72 → strong bullish momentum Current 3-minute candle is green: Close > Open Previous 3-minute candle was also green: Close > Open Time is before 2:30 PM It is not expiry day: Days to Expiry > 0 Then buy 5 lots of current-week NIFTY CE Select an option whose premium is around ₹200 Option has a 20% stop-loss Bullish exit: Exit if NIFTY crosses below SuperTrend, OR NIFTY crosses below the Lower Bollinger Band Also exit if the option's 20% stop-loss is hit Trailing stop-loss is also enabled Bearish entry — Buy NIFTY Put (PE) Enter a bearish PUT trade only when all of these are true: NIFTY closes below SuperTrend NIFTY closes below Pivot S1 NIFTY closes below the Lower Bollinger Band RSI is below 35 → strong bearish momentum Current 3-minute candle is red: Close < Open Previous 3-minute candle was also red: Close < Open Time is before 2:30 PM It is not expiry day: Days to Expiry > 0 Then buy 5 lots of current-week NIFTY PE Select an option whose premium is around ₹200 Option has a 20% stop-loss Bearish exit as currently configured: Exit if NIFTY crosses above SuperTrend, OR NIFTY crosses below the Lower Bollinger Band Also exit if the option's 20% stop-loss is hit Trailing stop-loss is enabled

💬 Trader reviews (traded this? tell others what really happened)

No reviews yet — be the first. Real experiences help other traders more than any backtest.

User opinions, not investment advice. Reviews are moderated before publishing.

Results are AI-generated from stored historical market data and are for educational purposes only — they cannot be treated as 100% accurate, nor as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Strategies from non-Indian markets are also backtested on Indian market data only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.