Your idea: Bullish entry — Buy Call / Go Long Enter a bullish trade only when al… — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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Your idea: Bullish entry — Buy Call / Go Long Enter a bullish trade only when al…

💡 Described strategy
Analysed 06 Sep 2026, 07:21 AM IST
★½☆☆☆ 1.5 / 5

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

Options (buying) SupertrendRSIBollingerPivot points

Verdict

Real option-buying backtest. Decoded entry: a Supertrend flip on NIFTY 10-min bars → buy the ATM weekly CE (long) / PE (short), stop 20% / target 60% of premium, square-off by 15:15. Priced on real 1-minute NIFTY option premiums (GFDL, 2015–2026 — every tick of theta, IV crush and gamma is inside these prices), real charges and spread. The video trades BANKNIFTY; NIFTY weeklies are the closest instrument we have real premiums for, so the same rules were run on NIFTY.

1,896 trades on ₹1L: net -23.1% over 12 years (-1.9%/yr, roughly breaks even), win 36%, payoff 1.73 (avg win ₹2,544 / avg loss ₹-1,471), max drawdown -179%, worst trade ₹-7,061. 2015: ₹-604. 2016: ₹+11,297. 2017: ₹+7,101. 2018: ₹+19,730. 2019: ₹+29,264. 2020: ₹-31,518. 2021: ₹-11,027. 2022: ₹+2,582. 2023: ₹-29,604. 2024: ₹-12,584. 2025: ₹-36,618. 2026: ₹+28,843.

Option buying is convex — low win-rates are normal; the question is whether winners outrun the premium bleed. Backtested on 12 years of minute-level premium data (2015–2026; monthly contracts before 2019 — weeklies didn't exist; constant 65-unit lot); entries tested intraday as taught. Flagged for human review.

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Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, on real NIFTY option premiums — 1 lot, ₹1L)

YearTradesWin %Net P&L
20158641% ₹-604
201610947% ₹+11,297
201715942% ₹+7,101
201813544% ₹+19,730
201913039% ₹+29,264
202016932% ₹-31,518
202123135% ₹-11,027
202221033% ₹+2,582
202318129% ₹-29,604
202415832% ₹-12,584
202523433% ₹-36,618
20269444% ₹+28,843
Full transcript (241 words)
Bullish entry — Buy Call / Go Long Enter a bullish trade only when all are true: Price closes above SuperTrend Price closes above Pivot R1 Price closes above the Upper Bollinger Band RSI is above 72 Current candle is bullish: Close > Open Previous candle is also bullish: Close > Open Entry is before the configured cutoff time It is not expiry day Then buy a Call option / take a long position Use the configured premium/strike selection Initial stop-loss: 20% Trailing stop-loss is enabled Bullish exit Exit when any one happens: Price crosses below SuperTrend Price crosses below the Lower Bollinger Band Stop-loss is hit Trailing stop-loss is hit Bearish entry — Buy Put / Go Short Enter a bearish trade only when all are true: Price closes below SuperTrend Price closes below Pivot S1 Price closes below the Lower Bollinger Band RSI is below 35 Current candle is bearish: Close < Open Previous candle is also bearish: Close < Open Entry is before the configured cutoff time It is not expiry day Then buy a Put option / take a short position Use the configured premium/strike selection Initial stop-loss: 20% Trailing stop-loss is enabled Bearish exit Exit when any one happens: Price crosses above SuperTrend Price reverses back above the Lower Bollinger Band (this is the logical version; your screenshot appears to show “crosses below,” which may be a configuration mistake) Stop-loss is hit Trailing stop-loss is hit

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Results are AI-generated from stored historical market data and are for educational purposes only — they cannot be treated as 100% accurate, nor as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Strategies from non-Indian markets are also backtested on Indian market data only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.