This is my favorite and most simple trading strategy
Max Options Trading · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 11 Sep 2026, 03:00 PM IST
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Why 4.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)
- ✓ Strong per-trade edge: +0.36R expectancy across 13,425 trades
- ✓ Convex payoff 3.3 — winners far bigger than losers
- ✕ Only 32% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
- ✕ 5 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2019, 2022, 2025) — the edge is regime-dependent
- ✕ Max drawdown -32% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Verdict
Auto-backtested. Detected: breakout of a recent high. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 13,425 trades, win 32%, payoff 3.25, expectancy +0.36R/trade (avg +1.84%/trade).
This is a real edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Regime-dependent — positive in only 44% of years.
Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)
Return+49.8%
CAGR+5.2%
Max drawdown-32.2%
Trades361 · 99 won
₹200,000 → ₹299,657
· 2018-07-10 → 2026-06-08
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1% | +1% | +33% | +29% | -9% | +16% | +3% | -11% | -11% |
Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Expectancy | Avg return / trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 657 | 16% | -0.59R | -3.78% |
| 2019 | 1314 | 27% | -0.02R | -0.01% |
| 2020 | 1817 | 44% | +0.99R | +7.31% |
| 2021 | 1801 | 35% | +0.44R | +2.56% |
| 2022 | 1664 | 26% | -0.07R | -0.74% |
| 2023 | 2119 | 44% | +1.32R | +5.57% |
| 2024 | 1835 | 27% | +0.13R | +0.34% |
| 2025 | 1504 | 29% | -0.02R | -0.39% |
| 2026 | 714 | 22% | -0.36R | -1.72% |
Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)
| # | Stock | Trades | Win% | Avg/trade | Best | Total | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ████████ | 82 | 51% | +25.3% | +181% | +2077% | +198% |
| 2 | ████████ | 99 | 51% | +19.0% | +124% | +1880% | +159% |
| 3 | ████████ | 76 | 33% | +3.6% | +52% | +277% | +143% |
| 4 | ████████ | 78 | 42% | +6.4% | +85% | +500% | +137% |
| 5 | ████████ | 75 | 41% | +9.0% | +125% | +672% | +75% |
| 6 | ████████ | 69 | 36% | +3.6% | +101% | +246% | +71% |
| 7 | ████████ | 95 | 34% | +2.6% | +68% | +246% | +64% |
| 8 | CUMMINSIND free peek | 106 | 43% | +6.8% | +61% | +717% | +51% |
| 9 | ████████ | 94 | 40% | +4.1% | +66% | +383% | +40% |
| 10 | ████████ | 48 | 38% | +4.1% | +55% | +198% | +29% |
| 11 | ████████ | 102 | 34% | +4.0% | +65% | +406% | +27% |
| 12 | ████████ | 98 | 46% | +7.5% | +59% | +738% | +23% |
| 13 | ████████ | 111 | 34% | +0.8% | +32% | +86% | +19% |
| 14 | ████████ | 103 | 37% | +3.2% | +61% | +332% | +3% |
| 15 | ████████ | 81 | 36% | -0.6% | +15% | -46% | +1% |
| 16 | ████████ | 93 | 31% | +3.1% | +61% | +293% | +0% |
| 17 | ████████ | 92 | 39% | +2.1% | +32% | +194% | +0% |
| 18 | ████████ | 83 | 33% | +2.0% | +46% | +170% | +0% |
| 19 | ████████ | 100 | 31% | +1.7% | +50% | +170% | +0% |
| 20 | ████████ | 80 | 34% | +0.2% | +36% | +19% | +0% |
| 21 | ████████ | 70 | 27% | +2.1% | +60% | +150% | -46% |
| 22 | ████████ | 97 | 31% | +2.8% | +106% | +269% | -45% |
| 23 | ████████ | 89 | 21% | -1.1% | +34% | -96% | -40% |
| 24 | ████████ | 85 | 28% | -0.0% | +32% | -3% | -40% |
| 25 | ████████ | 108 | 30% | +1.4% | +69% | +151% | -37% |
| 26 | ████████ | 70 | 23% | +0.1% | +107% | +7% | -36% |
| 27 | ████████ | 95 | 20% | -1.6% | +33% | -149% | -35% |
| 28 | ████████ | 93 | 39% | +1.2% | +29% | +115% | -34% |
| 29 | ████████ | 90 | 33% | +2.3% | +69% | +205% | -34% |
| 30 | ████████ | 104 | 31% | +2.2% | +81% | +232% | -34% |
You can see the numbers — see the names.
Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel.
The worst stock in this table returned -149% under these
exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.
Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)
| Index | Trades | Win% | Expectancy (R/trade) | Avg return/trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY | 175 | 32% | +0.03R | -0.10% |
| BANKNIFTY | 160 | 32% | +0.20R | +0.53% |
Full transcript (323 words)
I'm going to show you guys the exact strategy that I use to make $20,000 a month in less than 60 seconds let's get right into it all right first things first you guys want to be on the 30 minute time frame and once Market opens at 9:30 you guys are going to wait for the first 30 minute candle to fully form so boom right here is the first 30 minute candle as you can see the 930 candle now once this 930 candle fully forms you're going to draw the high and you're going to draw the low of that candle once you have the high and the low you're going to swap to the 5 minute time frame now all you're going to do on the 5minute time frame is you're going to wait for a break in a close outside of this range I'm going to let this play Let's see what way it wants to break right here it broke the range but the candle didn't close so we wouldn't take that right here we have a break and a close outside of the range PA is telling me that this wants to continue down so I'm going to enter short right here and I'm going to Target a 1 to three RR let's see how this trade plays out boom just like that beautiful that was very basic you know Mark out the highs of a 30-minute orb Mark out the lows of a 30-minute orb go to the 5 minute uh some some different time frame analysis orb is King I will always say orb is King uh if you want to learn more about orb you should really be checking out Big Daddy Max's YouTube where I just re-released all of my free orb webinars 100% On YouTube if you want to master that strategy that big daddy Max has brought back to life
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