How To: Create a Trading Plan that Prints Money — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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How To: Create a Trading Plan that Prints Money

Analysed 24 Aug 2026, 01:16 PM IST
★★★★☆ 4.0 / 5

Why 4.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • Strong per-trade edge: +0.36R expectancy across 13,425 trades
  • Convex payoff 3.3 — winners far bigger than losers
  • Only 32% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • 5 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2019, 2022, 2025) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • Max drawdown -32% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

IntradaySwing Demand/Supply zonesPrev-day H/L

Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)

  • “all right listen very closely because you will learn how to create a trading plan that prints money consistently so diving straight into it what are the Framewo”

Verdict

Auto-backtested. Detected: breakout of a recent high. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 13,425 trades, win 32%, payoff 3.25, expectancy +0.36R/trade (avg +1.84%/trade).

This is a real edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Regime-dependent — positive in only 44% of years.

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

See strategies that scored 4★+ →
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🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)

Tracking since 2026-08-24 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.

Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return+49.8%
CAGR+5.2%
Max drawdown-32.2%
Trades361 · 99 won
₹200,000 → ₹299,657  ·  2018-07-10 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
+1%+1%+33%+29%-9%+16%+3%-11%-11%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
201865716% -0.59R -3.78%
2019131427% -0.02R -0.01%
2020181744% +0.99R +7.31%
2021180135% +0.44R +2.56%
2022166426% -0.07R -0.74%
2023211944% +1.32R +5.57%
2024183527% +0.13R +0.34%
2025150429% -0.02R -0.39%
202671422% -0.36R -1.72%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 8251% +25.3% +181% +2077% +198%
2 ████████ 9951% +19.0% +124% +1880% +159%
3 ████████ 7633% +3.6% +52% +277% +143%
4 ████████ 7842% +6.4% +85% +500% +137%
5 ████████ 7541% +9.0% +125% +672% +75%
6 ████████ 6936% +3.6% +101% +246% +71%
7 ████████ 9534% +2.6% +68% +246% +64%
8 CUMMINSIND free peek 10643% +6.8% +61% +717% +51%
9 ████████ 9440% +4.1% +66% +383% +40%
10 ████████ 4838% +4.1% +55% +198% +29%
11 ████████ 10234% +4.0% +65% +406% +27%
12 ████████ 9846% +7.5% +59% +738% +23%
13 ████████ 11134% +0.8% +32% +86% +19%
14 ████████ 10337% +3.2% +61% +332% +3%
15 ████████ 8136% -0.6% +15% -46% +1%
16 ████████ 9331% +3.1% +61% +293% +0%
17 ████████ 9239% +2.1% +32% +194% +0%
18 ████████ 8333% +2.0% +46% +170% +0%
19 ████████ 10031% +1.7% +50% +170% +0%
20 ████████ 8034% +0.2% +36% +19% +0%
21 ████████ 7027% +2.1% +60% +150% -46%
22 ████████ 9731% +2.8% +106% +269% -45%
23 ████████ 8921% -1.1% +34% -96% -40%
24 ████████ 8528% -0.0% +32% -3% -40%
25 ████████ 10830% +1.4% +69% +151% -37%
26 ████████ 7023% +0.1% +107% +7% -36%
27 ████████ 9520% -1.6% +33% -149% -35%
28 ████████ 9339% +1.2% +29% +115% -34%
29 ████████ 9033% +2.3% +69% +205% -34%
30 ████████ 10431% +2.2% +81% +232% -34%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -149% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY17532% +0.03R -0.10%
BANKNIFTY16032% +0.21R +0.54%
Full transcript (5570 words)
all right listen very closely because you will learn how to create a trading plan that prints money consistently so diving straight into it what are the Frameworks of a trading plan the Frameworks of a trading plan and how every trading plan works is it's consistent boundaries so what does that mean consistent boundaries I'm going to give you a mentorship inside right here A moneymaking Team inside in the moneymaking team we use six foundations levels those six foundational levels create a trading plan the first foundational level is a bias then the second one is a narrative the third one is a boundary the fourth one is a target the fifth one is our entry pattern and the sixth one is our risk management those six again create that trading plan so what does that have to do with boundaries well it's a checklist it's sort of a filtering process you're consistently going going through a filtering process we first need to find that bias if we find that bias that creates a boundary to now go into the narrative if we can successfully find that narrative that now creates the boundary to go into the third foundational level the actual boundary this wouldn't be an Ario video if I didn't Define everything that I'm going to mention right here so if those foundational levels are not clear just yet don't worry we are going to dive into every single one of them so the First Foundation level was bias how can we Define bias if we Define bias it is simply the direction the direction leads to the draw on liquidity what is a draw on liquidity a draw on liquidity is the closest PD array that we are reaching for so what does that look like well if we go into the monthly time frame here on EUR US dollar then again we can see right now now that on the monthly time frame we have this monthly fori Gap that we are not respecting as in we are trading above it that already indicates to us like we mentioned hm that is a bit weird right we should ideally respect that to then continue lower so here we are potentially creating a bullish fair value Gap right there now very easily done is the direction right there is looking at what is the most recent candle doing is it showing bullish or bearish intention where the most recent monthly candle what has it been doing it's been showing bullish intention that's as easy as it gets for a bias simply understanding the monthly candle what is it doing then the next part of that bias because we also said a draw on liquidity so the closest PD rate that we see what is the closest premium array that we are likely heading towards it's potentially this higher right there now that high is currently quite far so at that moment in time let's dive into the weekly time frame to find a little bit of closer premium array then on the weekly time frame we are seeing this swing High which is just simply a premium array so that premium array right there is the closest PD array that we can reach for that leads us to our shortterm draw on liquidity right there with the long-term draw liquidity potentially being that monthly high that is sitting right here so what have we just done we have just gone over buys We Now understand that there's a high probability that price might want to trade higher this is exactly what you need in the first step of your trading plan which can also be quite difficult right but usually it's your own mind that likes to complicate it or it's other mentors and other gurus out there that try to throw a thousand Concepts at you to complicate it for you so you're getting help in complicating the most difficult job in the entire world great job you're doing the exact opposite of what we need to do so if you struggle with bias then all I want you to do right there is understanding the most recent candles and I just want you to follow what I do because I start on a monthly time frame and usually people come to me and they struggle with bias and the first thing I see them do is they go into the 1 hour time frame to start their bias yes I can understand why you are struggling with bias if you start on the 1 hour time frame don't get me wrong using the 1 hour as your bias can definitely work after years of experience after first following these steps right here that is when it can work if we go into the 1H hour time frame for example then right here we are having a lot of candles so here we need to take into account let's say about what is that 85 candles so on the 1 hour it might be very messy right here to actually get to potential buys because if we ignored this multi valap right there and we just had this price action then what would you do at this moment in time what are you doing here are you being bearish are you being bullish without knowing what's above you without knowing the time frames above you because yes with experience you can do this but even with experience why don't you make such a difficult task like trading a little bit easier for yourself by just going into the monthly time frame first and seeing all right what is the next monthly candle likely going to do is it going to expand higher or expand lower how many onehour candles do you need to predict in that monthly candle right there well if you just know the monthly candle where it's likely going to head towards then you already have a great indic ation of what the 1hour candles want to do so make it yourself a little bit easier right here and just simply look at what is the most recent monthly candle doing towards which side of the market are we potentially creating a fair value Gap are we creating a new fair value Gap here to the bearish side or to the bullish side well potentially right now towards the bullish side because after not continuing lower off of that bearish value Gap we are now potentially creating a bullish fair value Gap that already tells you hey I think we are bullish Perfect all you need to know next thing what are we likely heading towards if we are bullish that Prem perfect great job you have just passed the boundary of bias so right now we need a narrative a narrative is again let us Define it a narrative is how are we going to deliver into that draw on liquidity so the draw liquidity that we had established right here how are we going to deliver into that so which PD rate is going to be responsible for price to push into that draw on liquidity which again creates the beautiful sentence that I've been saying for a long time now if we are going higher where are we likely going higher from well on the weekly and on the monthly we could see that we didn't have a clear discount rate just yet right and in the form of a clear discount array let's define that a clear discount array right there is when we at least have a fair value Gap the fair value gaps validate the other PD Rays for me so in order for us to have an order block we also need a fair value Gap so the first thing is again yes we might create this order block right there but that is not an order block without a fair Val Gap so first we need to wait for a fair value Gap being created right there which we currently don't have so on the weekly monthly we don't have discount arrays to continue higher off of just yet perfect let's go down one time frame into the daily then on the daily time frame we can see that we do have that narrative that PD rate that could be responsible right there to push price higher into that draw on liquidity sitting right there so that leads us to The Narrative the bias is where are we heading towards the narrative is how are we actually getting there which if we have a bullish bias then it's simply The Narrative a discount array that's going to push us into the draw liquidity if we have a bearish bias it's simply a premium array that will push us into the draw on liquidity again with of course if you have a bullish bias you're aiming for premium array if you have a bearish bias you're aiming for a discount array so we have a bullish bias here we're aiming for a premium array that is the first step the second step is which discount array can be responsible for pushing into that premium array this daily fair value Gap sitting right there it's just simply said the first discount array that we encounter on any time frame so right here what I would also want you to do is we went from the monthly weekly into the daily and the daily is where I now found my discount array that I want to trade off of that is where you stop that daily discount array will be responsible for us now being able to go into the lower time frame which is again an example we will have later on in this video but this is where you now want to stop because this gives you a lot of context to work with meaning that that daily discount rate is what you can trade towards and trade off of which again I'll show you an example later on so right now that daily discount rate also creates the boundary with that third Foundation level the boundary I mean that that is the PD array that will push price higher in other words that is where we can go into our entry pattern time frame to Now look for our actual entry pattern to potentially get involved and this is also where you want to make use of your news days so which day do you want to trade right there the day that has news supporting the IDS basically what I'm doing right here is I'm going over videos and I'm combining all the videos into one video right now where the news video right there is part of our time and price video so on that next day that we had on that Thursday we had news supporting the ID of trading that day as in we had us doll red folder News so there's volatility so we know we can push higher perfect the boundary is set what is the Target because before we get into an entry pattern we need to First understand the overall Target the first Target is very simple when we are looking at the narrative and the boundary we are looking at a PD array to trade off of in this case it's the daily for Value Gap right there on the same exact time frame we are going to encounter a first premium array which is this High That Swing high right now can also be a previous day high for example or a previous day low so simply said the foundation level number four that Target is the first opposing PD array opposing meaning if you are trading off of a discount array then of course an opposing PD array is a premium array in that case so this right there is the first premium rate that we encounter perfect so that is our first Target and that is important to understand because that allows us to know where we want to look at for our 15minute entries we want to look at our 15minute entries from this discount array towards that premium array that is sitting right there that overall creates context so we have boundary set right there perfect we have the target set right there all right perfect then what is it time for it is time to wait for that discount rate the daily vup to be traded into to then potentially show us our entry pattern so if we now dive into the 15minute time frame and on the 15minute time frame we can see that we are slowly getting into that daily fair value Gap right there and now we can expect higher prices off of that now what do we use as our entry pattern an entry pattern is very funny actually because it's the same exact thing as you would like to see on the higher time frame the only thing you're doing is you're going into to the lower time frame most likely and you are now looking to actually execute on the trading ID this is also where we want to make use of kill zones again referring to the time and price video so right here we had our sharp turn and now I'm referring to the previous video that we had you don't need Mark structure shift you just need fair value gaps now whilst I'm going over this entry pattern right here you might have noticed that every single boundary we have used thus far basically consists of fair value gaps isn't it funny that you get thrown so many Concepts at you and the example I'm showing you here is where I made $113,000 in one single trading day just using for vs and that's the exact video I also made with this example right now I'm I'm just showing you the framework behind it so to dive into the framework a little bit deeper we also made the previous video on you just need fi gaps you don't need the mark structure shift where right here we had that first F Gap higher right there and then we had that second fair value Gap higher right there that second fair value Gap higher that is exactly where you are looking to get involved which this could have very well been the daily time frame it's exactly the daily time frame actually because on The Daily time frame we were also expecting that move higher from the pair value Gap where on the 15 minutes we're just doing the exact same right there targeting a nice one to2 overall perfect and then eventually we deliver there but there's one last boundary as well because the other boundary we had or the last foundational level was what risk management risk management is where you need to understand your risk percentage how much are you willing to risk on a certain setup ideally if you're just starting out try a 0 to 5% you can work your way up towards even a 2% eventually once you are profitable and consistently profitable you need to know whether you want to take partials I personally just to give you a quick Insight I don't take any partials I don't like partials I don't really see the benefit from them for myself of course that is a tune to my own trading plan because if you are targeting very far and you're targeting a high RR then I could definitely see if we target that context high right there in the form of That Swing High We determined on The Daily then I could definitely see why you want to take profits and why you would want to take a partial at 1 to two for example take 80% off right there and then Target the highs depending on your data if that's really worth it if it's not more worth it to just keep holding towards a one to three right there and then close the full position depending on your data then of course we also need to have a break even rule a break even rule is quite simple and again it's simply understanding where does price have no reason to come back to so at this moment in time right there let's say we didn't hit take profit yet would price now have a reason to come back to our entry level that is sitting right there well we do have this Fair Val Gap right there and that swing low that is right there is inside the fair Val Gap the first discount array that price Encounters in that specific lag so in that lag higher right there is this fair value Gap is it very logical for price to come all the way down there towards that low towards our entry right there before for example it hits our take profit around there no so so the fair value gaps right there also told us we can already go break even because there's no real reason to now come back towards our entry level right there but if we now zoom out and let's say this trade right there did already hit takeprofit what can we do well to make it ourselves easy again we can look to navigate all this price action on the 15 minute and try to take into account all those candles right there and try to predict exactly which is going to hold Etc why not just simply zoom out one time frame because if we look at the 1 hour time frame and this is purely why I'm so flabbergasted a lot of times when I open my social media is because people try to trade this on a five minute time frame whilst what I'm doing and what a lot of people are doing that are extremely profitable in the money-making team is just simply zooming out on the 1 hour time frame seeing this one hour for Val Gap right there and thinking ah okay if we want to go higher we are going higher off of that and then we cover this low right there perfect okay what was the original Target of foundational level number four that high ah okay well continue hire take profit make money perfect thumbs up it's like it doesn't need to be that complicated now for that entry pattern it is of course also important to understand that with the previous video you always want to focus on either the flot or the odd so focus on that first line of defense or that overlapping defense which one do you want to enter on and first only stick to that particular entry pattern so it's a constant repeatable process constantly over and over and over you can do the exact same thing the exact same entry pattern the same time frames in combination and the same process over over and over and over now you can also see that the concepts here they help you flow around the framework because the foundational levels right there they create again that framework of the trading plan the concepts help you reach the ideas of a bias of a narrative of a boundary of a target of an entry pattern of a risk management so you can probably also see right now where if you were to incorporate something else from another Mentor for example that that's not going to work because let's say here you now incorporate another concept then you will always have a reason to go to the next boundary you will always have a reason to go into the entry pattern because you have a th000 PD Rays on your chart if you have a th PDS on your chart then there's always a reason to go into the low lower time frame and there's always a reason to look at a new entry pattern and if there's always a reason to look at an entry pattern then is that high probability no because if we trade every single thing then that means that we are not trading any probabilities we need to be able to differentiate that high probability condition from that low probability condition and if we always have a trade ID then is that going to be high probability condition no it doesn't work like that there's no light without dark and there's no dark without light so then needs to be two Polar Opposites and that's the same in the market right there we need to have low prob conditions but also High probabilty conditions the only way we can recognize them if we stick to a certain trading plan it's very important all right now we have the next example here on Euro US dollar again where we currently reached this draw liquidity so what can we do well there's a few things that we can do because overall we understand that we still have this higher draw liquidity so we can continue towards that draw liquidity understanding that also means again we still have the same bias the direction is the same the draw liquidity changed the draw liquidity can now even be refined towards this swing high sitting right there so how are we going to deliver into that draw liquidity and into that draw liquidity sitting right there well we need a new discount array to push higher from into the premium arrays so what is the discount rate the discount rate that we are now creating is that Weekly fair value Gap sitting right there so that right there is the discount array that can be responsible to push price higher but what did we mention in the previous example if we have this weekly forap you work your way down from the monthly to the weekly once you find that narrative where are we going higher from and you find the PD rate that we are going higher from or you find the PD rate that we are going lower from of course then you do not go down any time frames as in you do not go down any time frames to look for a new discount array to push higher from because the higher time frame rules as in the higher the time frame the stronger the time frame so the monthly is the strongest then the weekly so here if we have a daily fair value Gap sitting in this area right there Then That daily fair value Gap is not going to be strong it's not going to be high probability because there's simply a weekly fa Val Gap hovering below it but we also mentioned those Fair Val gaps we don't necessarily need to always trade off of them we can also use them as a closer draw liquidity to trade towards them because at this moment in time if we look at the details we have two draw liquidity right here the first draw liquidity and overall the draw liquidity is that high yes but if we are continuing High higher then we are likely continuing higher off of that Weekly for Gap so if we get the right signs that we want to trade into that Weekly for Val Gap then that Weekly fair value Gap is also a draw on liquidity on its own so here if we dive into the daily time frame then on the daily time frame we can see that we have this high sitting right there that high is now potentially getting swept it's not really leaving behind a clear daily vup higher as well as absolutely perfect because right now it all starts clicking because if we don't have that daily F higher what are we likely going to do we are likely now indeed aiming for that Weekly fair value Gap right there so the weekly fair value Gap is our current draw on liquidity how are we going to deliver into that Weekly fa value Gap well on the daily we can wait for a daily for vable lower by the time we have a daily for valuable lower we we likely already traded into the weekly fi Gap so we want to go into a little bit of a lower time frame to find that new narrative because we're still busy with the direction here we have found the draw liquidity the weekly forap right there that is the draw liquidity now we need to find that narrative how are we going to deliver into that can we find a fair value Gap lower to continue lower off of that into the weekly for gap on the 4our we can see that we have those four hour V apps right there but before we created those four hour V apps we already did something on the 1 hour time frame where on the 1 hour time frame what are we seeing right there this was before the creation of the 4our Val Gap so right here we have this Fair Val Gap that we can continue lower from making use of a kill zone right there that 1 hour is now our narrative if we are going lower where are we going lower from that fair value gap which also creates again that third Foundation level of that boundary which also creates that Target because the Target right there is this right there that is where you want to look and that is where you are allowed to look right there for your one minute entries once we reach below that low take a step back to create overall new narrative because yes the draw liquidity is still this weekly F Gap that we have below right there but we also need to understand that we can't take one minute entries everywhere towards that Weekly fi Gap we first need to have those boundaries again we need to know where we are allowed to go into the lower time frame without getting burned which in this case is the 1hour premium rate so if we dive into the 1 minute time frame the then on the one minute time frame we are seeing this fair value Gap lower right there and after that we have this fair value Gap lower right there so that right there is based on your flot your OD your lot what we talked about in the previous video this right there is already an entry what do you cover on the one minut time frame here this High well yes that would be correct if you did not take into account the five minute because on the five minute what do we see on the 5 minute we have this 5 minute F Gap sitting right there so if we were to cover our stop- loss then where do we cover it we need to take into account that we can sting into that 5 minute fora even if we didn't do it we need to take that into account so covering the bodies right there to then Target lower with the first Target being right there overall let's take a nice one to two we don't need to aim for a lot just a nice one to two perfect perfectly fine and when this price have no reason to return back to right here well that is a little bit more difficult because we had this fair value Gap above we had this fair value Gap right there we also had that fair value Gap right there so it takes a little bit more waiting time a little bit more patience once we create this new swing high that is sitting right there and we create this new Fair Val Gap that is exactly when price is zero reason to come back so that is where if you were holding for longer as well would be break even by now and this is at the foundation of basically everything that I do so everything that I'm doing right here all the concepts that I'm teaching they belong in this framework again where other people try to throw a thousand Concepts at you maybe I'm also doing that but I will always tell you when and where and how to use that concept where where to apply it why do we use it if I stop doing that just know I'm likely a fraud and I likely have no IDE what I'm doing anymore these foundational levels lead you to a trade ID this is the basics of how we do everything now whether you like it or not the last piece to the puzzle is time submitting to Time same Mentor time consistent consistently listening to One Mentor again with that time I mean a minimum a year minimum bare minimum is a year if we can't submit to time with the same exact concept then we will never make it work and hopefully you can now see why if you use different concepts if you listen to another Mentor which again I need to say this as well I don't want to force you to do anything there's nothing wrong with that don't get me wrong but if we want you to succeed then we we need to have those rules right there and of course if you want to listen to a different Mentor then feel free I'm not forcing you to do anything but hopefully you can now see why incorporating those other Concepts and why strategy hopping also doesn't work because basically you're starting all over again consistently starting that shiny object syndrome over and over and over of course wouldn't be me if I didn't incorporate another live example right here where we have this bias we're coming into the discount array in the overlap our value Gap as well we can continue higher off of that so right here we have this high as a potential draw liquidity now right now how can we capitalize on that so we focus on now the narrative we have the draw liquidity that premium rate the narrative how are we going to deliver there we go into the weekly time frame and on the weekly time frame we are seeing that Weekly Fair Gap sitting right there that Weekly fa Gap can now be responsible to First push towards the previous week high and overall push towards new monthly highs there as well so here this is now the narrative then that is also the boundary because right now if we go into the 4our time frame and on the 4H hour time frame we have of course also established that Weekly High the previous week high was our Target right now what can we do we can now deliver higher towards these highs which also created our overall entry pattern right there off of that for Gap covering the lot right there if you want to use the OD then you would have potentially used the breaker right there to then Target higher overall only thing here is of course be careful because this is NFP at 8:30 a.m. on that Friday be careful with that other than that if we just look at price right there this is exactly what we mean with the foundational levels we have bias checked off next boundary narrative checked off next boundary the actual boundary in the form of that Weekly F Gap right there which also creates that Target the fourth Foundation level three and four checked off five entry pattern right there perfectly checked off either this one or even this one right there as long as we get involved to Target the overall highs sitting right there and potentially even higher because of course if we enter off the 4 Hour here it turns more so into a swing trade so off those 4our forag GS right there if we get a retracement potentially after NFP what could that do right there that could create of course a potential five minute entry again to continue higher off of that this is again how you would use the foundation levels and what we went over as well in the live streams so make sure you attend the live streams because we go over a lot of things like this now without further Ado I will send you on your way to making case studies now if you have any case studies then please feel free to upload it publicly to Twitter and tag me in the message and then I'll try my best to take a look at it and see what I think of it and of course if you have any questions on the mentorship or any inquiries about the moneymaking team then feel free to reach out to me at info@ r.o and then of course I'll see you on the Sunday weekly forecast tomorrow 8:30 a.m. New York local time perfect thank you

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