BTST Trading Strategy | Build a Buy Today Sell Tomorrow Screener Using AI and TradingView
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Why 4.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)
- ✓ Strong per-trade edge: +0.54R expectancy across 4,751 trades
- ✓ Convex payoff 3.6 — winners far bigger than losers
- ✕ Only 33% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
- ✕ 2 of 8 tested years were negative (2022, 2026) — the edge is regime-dependent
- ✕ Max drawdown -20% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way
Verdict
Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: BTST (Buy Today Sell Tomorrow) gap-up momentum screener: high volume (2-3x 5-day average), RSI>65, price above prior day, entry ~3:15pm, exit before 10am next day on 1%+ gap-up open. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 4,751 trades, win 33%, payoff 3.60, expectancy +0.54R/trade (avg +2.87%/trade).
This is a real edge. The payoff is convex (winners run well past the average loser). Reasonably consistent (75% of years positive).
Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.
🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)
Tracking since 2026-07-17 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +11% | +54% | +26% | -7% | +20% | +9% | -3% | +2% |
Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Expectancy | Avg return / trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 220 | 36% | +0.61R | +5.46% |
| 2020 | 512 | 36% | +0.83R | +6.11% |
| 2021 | 1050 | 35% | +0.57R | +3.54% |
| 2022 | 359 | 25% | -0.06R | -0.66% |
| 2023 | 928 | 43% | +1.46R | +6.51% |
| 2024 | 1093 | 27% | +0.08R | +0.10% |
| 2025 | 342 | 32% | +0.25R | +0.77% |
| 2026 | 247 | 21% | -0.47R | -2.33% |
Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)
| # | Stock | Trades | Win% | Avg/trade | Best | Total | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ████████ | 35 | 37% | +13.8% | +125% | +484% | +89% |
| 2 | ████████ | 37 | 57% | +37.4% | +181% | +1385% | +34% |
| 3 | ████████ | 36 | 31% | -1.4% | +21% | -52% | +23% |
| 4 | ████████ | 33 | 36% | +4.9% | +59% | +161% | +18% |
| 5 | ████████ | 41 | 29% | +1.1% | +42% | +45% | +17% |
| 6 | ████████ | 50 | 42% | +10.0% | +114% | +502% | +10% |
| 7 | ████████ | 39 | 36% | +4.2% | +52% | +166% | +10% |
| 8 | ADANIPORTS free peek | 35 | 49% | +11.3% | +65% | +397% | +9% |
| 9 | ████████ | 54 | 54% | +25.5% | +124% | +1375% | +8% |
| 10 | ████████ | 23 | 52% | +7.5% | +54% | +172% | +6% |
| 11 | ████████ | 19 | 37% | +1.4% | +25% | +27% | +5% |
| 12 | ████████ | 49 | 41% | +2.3% | +27% | +113% | +3% |
| 13 | ████████ | 41 | 44% | +3.9% | +54% | +162% | +1% |
| 14 | ████████ | 32 | 59% | +23.5% | +70% | +753% | +0% |
| 15 | ████████ | 59 | 54% | +10.8% | +75% | +639% | +0% |
| 16 | ████████ | 57 | 42% | +10.1% | +78% | +574% | +0% |
| 17 | ████████ | 55 | 42% | +9.0% | +51% | +495% | +0% |
| 18 | ████████ | 32 | 47% | +12.2% | +52% | +391% | +0% |
| 19 | ████████ | 27 | 56% | +12.3% | +51% | +332% | +0% |
| 20 | ████████ | 40 | 42% | +7.3% | +51% | +290% | +0% |
| 21 | ████████ | 35 | 23% | -1.2% | +19% | -42% | -35% |
| 22 | ████████ | 42 | 38% | +1.1% | +32% | +48% | -32% |
| 23 | ████████ | 30 | 27% | +0.4% | +55% | +12% | -29% |
| 24 | ████████ | 36 | 25% | -1.4% | +21% | -52% | -28% |
| 25 | ████████ | 48 | 40% | +5.9% | +46% | +286% | -28% |
| 26 | ████████ | 39 | 26% | -0.2% | +41% | -7% | -27% |
| 27 | ████████ | 33 | 30% | +3.7% | +49% | +123% | -27% |
| 28 | ████████ | 39 | 28% | +1.5% | +31% | +58% | -26% |
| 29 | ████████ | 43 | 35% | +7.3% | +59% | +315% | -26% |
| 30 | ████████ | 31 | 35% | +3.6% | +46% | +112% | -25% |
Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)
| Index | Trades | Win% | Expectancy (R/trade) | Avg return/trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY | 86 | 28% | +0.18R | +0.31% |
| BANKNIFTY | 63 | 16% | -0.48R | -1.54% |
Full transcript (2669 words)
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