Break & Retest Trading SECRETS they don't want you to know
The Trading Geek · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 01 Aug 2026, 02:40 PM IST
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Why 1.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)
- ✕ Negative expectancy: -0.24R per trade across 28,458 trades
- ✕ Payoff 0.60 — the average winner is SMALLER than the average loser
- ✕ 9 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021) — the edge is regime-dependent
Verdict
Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: Break-and-retest price-action strategy: wait for price to break a structural high/low, then re-test that level with confirmation patterns (doji + large candle or multiple wick rejections) before enter We isolated the one mechanical claim — a day-of-week bias where a prior session's level is expected to be 'revisited'/swept — and traded it short across 159 large/mid-caps with real costs: 28,458 trades, win 49%, expectancy -0.24R/trade (avg -0.24%/trade).
The result is a high win-rate that still loses money after costs — a negative-skew mirage: small targets, larger adverse moves. A directional lean can be statistically real yet still fail to pay once you attach a target, a stop and costs.
Mechanically decoded and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review.
🔴 Live forward test (no hindsight — only trades the rules fired AFTER we published this verdict)
Tracking since 2026-07-31 — no qualifying signals have fired yet. The engine re-checks every night on fresh data; results appear here the day the rules trigger.
Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)
Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)
| Year | Trades | Win % | Expectancy | Avg return / trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 1715 | 47% | -0.21R | -0.26% |
| 2019 | 3467 | 50% | -0.22R | -0.21% |
| 2020 | 3227 | 48% | -0.05R | -0.11% |
| 2021 | 3380 | 49% | -0.30R | -0.33% |
| 2022 | 3842 | 58% | -0.06R | -0.10% |
| 2023 | 3642 | 41% | -0.41R | -0.34% |
| 2024 | 3521 | 42% | -0.37R | -0.34% |
| 2025 | 4033 | 49% | -0.30R | -0.26% |
| 2026 | 1631 | 56% | -0.15R | -0.17% |
Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)
| # | Stock | Trades | Win% | Avg/trade | Best | Total | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ████████ | 188 | 52% | -0.1% | +6% | -16% | +6% |
| 2 | ████████ | 179 | 49% | -0.3% | +7% | -47% | +5% |
| 3 | ████████ | 192 | 53% | -0.1% | +6% | -13% | +4% |
| 4 | ████████ | 56 | 57% | -0.3% | +2% | -15% | +4% |
| 5 | ████████ | 189 | 48% | -0.2% | +10% | -46% | +4% |
| 6 | ████████ | 192 | 42% | -0.3% | +9% | -59% | +4% |
| 7 | ████████ | 150 | 43% | -0.5% | +4% | -76% | +4% |
| 8 | IDFCFIRSTB free peek | 179 | 53% | -0.0% | +11% | -8% | +3% |
| 9 | ████████ | 182 | 52% | -0.1% | +9% | -10% | +3% |
| 10 | ████████ | 178 | 54% | -0.1% | +3% | -9% | +2% |
| 11 | ████████ | 192 | 51% | -0.1% | +7% | -14% | +2% |
| 12 | ████████ | 105 | 51% | -0.2% | +5% | -22% | +2% |
| 13 | ████████ | 187 | 50% | -0.2% | +3% | -39% | +2% |
| 14 | ████████ | 175 | 49% | -0.2% | +3% | -40% | +2% |
| 15 | ████████ | 188 | 49% | -0.2% | +4% | -44% | +2% |
| 16 | ████████ | 170 | 50% | -0.3% | +3% | -46% | +2% |
| 17 | ████████ | 179 | 51% | -0.3% | +5% | -46% | +2% |
| 18 | ████████ | 183 | 50% | -0.3% | +6% | -47% | +2% |
| 19 | ████████ | 165 | 45% | -0.3% | +2% | -49% | +2% |
| 20 | ████████ | 188 | 49% | -0.3% | +3% | -51% | +2% |
| 21 | ████████ | 190 | 50% | -0.4% | +3% | -70% | -13% |
| 22 | ████████ | 186 | 42% | -0.3% | +10% | -60% | -9% |
| 23 | ████████ | 188 | 47% | -0.3% | +3% | -56% | -9% |
| 24 | ████████ | 186 | 53% | -0.1% | +13% | -25% | -9% |
| 25 | ████████ | 188 | 43% | -0.3% | +8% | -48% | -8% |
| 26 | ████████ | 183 | 50% | -0.2% | +11% | -37% | -8% |
| 27 | ████████ | 180 | 48% | -0.2% | +7% | -32% | -8% |
| 28 | ████████ | 185 | 43% | -0.4% | +3% | -73% | -7% |
| 29 | ████████ | 151 | 48% | -0.3% | +3% | -48% | -7% |
| 30 | ████████ | 206 | 44% | -0.2% | +6% | -43% | -7% |
You can see the numbers — see the names.
Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel.
The worst stock in this table returned -76% under these
exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.
Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)
| Index | Trades | Win% | Expectancy (R/trade) | Avg return/trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY | 242 | 35% | -0.55R | -0.19% |
| BANKNIFTY | 254 | 45% | -0.41R | -0.18% |
Full transcript (2882 words)
so the first thing you must understand about this brick and retest strategy is that the market can only go in three ways it can either go up down or go sideways those are the only three ways the market can move in and I want you to know that the market will never ever move up or down in a straight line like this no because what price will do is that in an uptrend price will push up retrace a little bit push up retrace a little bit and push up creating your higher highs and higher lows but the thing is it does not look so perfect and nice all the time sometimes it will look more like this price will push up retrace push up again retrace back to this same level and then push up Go Down Bam like that so you must understand that these are two different patterns so for this break and retest strategy we are only gonna be focusing on clean price action which is this one right here okay that looks kind of ugly which is this this one right here so the first thing is that you want to observe price breaking structure so in this example you can see price push up retrace a little bit so right here at this level this is your structural High because price went up here before it starts retracing this is what we call the structural height but you do not want to enter for a buy here yet you want to wait for a price to break Above This structural high and then come back down to re-test AIDS and then continue going up then that is when you can enter for the trade because this confirmed to you that this is a valid uptrend so today I'm gonna teach you how to identify taking threads around this brick and re-test levels so in a downtrend you want to see price pushing down and break the previous structural low and then you're gonna wait for price to pull back to this key level for a re-test and then enter for a cell when price continue to go down so when price read test to a key level there are some patterns that you must look out for before entering for the trade which I'm gonna show you later because you just got to be patient all right if you do not have the patience to watch till the end of this video how do you have the patience to become a successful Trader yup so basically price will push and then retrace a little bit and then you will push against and break the previous structural low and you do not want to enter for a cell here yet because you want to wait for price to come back up to retest this same structural low and then continue to go down to confirm to you that this is a downtrend then that is when you can enter for the cell so this is your structural law right here and this is what we call the break real test and continuation here's a very very important point you only want to be trading when price is either in an uptrend or a downtrend if the market is going sideways and there is no clear Trend do not trade trust me you will lose a lot of money if you are trading when the market is going sideways just like this especially if you are a beginner and I have learned this lesson the hard way because in my first year I will trade when price is going sideways like this and I will lose a lot of money oh don't worry about it I just lost 10 000 trading sideways markets yup you heard the man so if you want to trade sideways Market go ahead and trade it at your own risk but for me I'm staying out baby the next thing you must understand is the different phases of the markets so when the market is pushing up like this this is what we call a continuation and then when price retraces or pull back this is your exhaustion so we are going to be focusing on taking trades around this area because you want to enter when the exhaustion is over so once you identify the patterns that you're gonna learn later at this area here you will trade and continue the direction of the trend so in a downtrend this is your phase retrace is your exhaustion and then push back down like this this is your push phase exhaustion and push face so the whole concept of this strategy is that you want to find the exhaustion phase so that you can continue trading with the trend when it continue the push phase or the continuation phase now let me show you the patterns that you must look out for before entering for a trade I'm gonna show you two patterns for our uptrend and two patterns for a downtrend I want you to look at what the candlesticks are doing you have to understand that price cannot go up straight Forever at some point of time the market will get tired and pulled back so you can see that price is pushing down here because this is the pullback in the overall uptrend so this right here is your exhaustion phase now what you are looking for is the market to create indecision so this doji Candlestick right here show us indecision which means that this pullback is ending so so price might continue with the overall uptrend now now look at the next Green candle it is a big fat juicy candle which show us that the buyers are back in the market and that is a very strong buying pressure now this means that the market is done retracing and it's going to continue to go up now this is your second pattern you can see that previously price has just been pushing down because this is your retracement remember in the overall uptrend this is a retracement because price can never ever go up straight so that is why we see big red Candlestick big red Candlestick right here because price is retracing back down to this area here and then right here this is when we start to see long week candles you can see that it's multiple long week candles multiple Candlestick rejections so this is what we call multiple rig rejections so what this tells us is that price is just rejecting this level because price went down to this area and then the buyers come in to push the price back up so the sellers failed to push the price back down so now the buyers are just pushing the price up so over here three times that is three multiple week rejection this tells us that this is a very strong area and price is going to continue to go up with the overall uptrend now those two patterns are for your uptrend what about your downtrend so in the downtrend the patterns are pretty much the same but just in like the opposite right so right here the first button for your downtrend is that you can see that price has just been retracing right that's why it gave us these two green candles right here but then right here it gave us indecision which tell us that you know what this retracement might be done the market might continue to go down so you can see like the next Candlestick it gave us a big fat red Candlestick which shows us that there is a lot of selling pressure pushing the price down so this means that the retracement is done and we're gonna head back down in the downtrend so the next pattern is basically your multiple week rejections in a downtrend this time you can see that price has just been retracing and then web prices around this area is like giving us multiple long weak genders long week rejections whatever you like to call it but basically the psychology behind this pattern is that price got pushed all the way up to this area here multiple times but the sellers always come back in to push the price back down showing us that this is a very like strong area right there is a lot of sellers at this table and then look at the next Candlestick it gave us a big fat weight Candlestick which tell us that there is a lot of soldering pressure right now this retracement is done and we're gonna go back down baby so those are the four patterns that you must look out for before entering into your trade now let me show you how this entire break and re-test strategy works so this is clearly an uptrend because price is making your higher highs and higher lows so right here price has just broken the previous structural height which is right here this is the last structural height this is the last higher height and price has just broke through it and right now we're gonna wait for price come back down to re-test it right so this is the structural high right here and right now we are waiting for the market to come back down to re-test this structural high so it still Waits so you can see like and right here somewhere right around here we see a doji Candlestick guys this Doge Candlestick right here show us that that is indecision in this market which tells us that maybe this exhaustion phase this little retracement this pullback might be ending and the market might go up now and then look at the next candle the next candle is literally a big fat juicy green Candlestick which show us that there is a lot of buying pressure at this market and it's gonna push the price back up so I'll enter for a buy position right here and I'll base my stop loss below this key level that we have drawn right here place my take profit at three times my stop loss three times so three times will be all the way up here and look at how this trip out price went up and smashed our take profit now I believe that you all have one question in mind why didn't I enter right here instead the first time that price come back down to retest this area I want you to remember do not enter for the trade when you first identify the pattern right here you want to wait for price to come back down to this level to show you that this is the solid level and it is holding and for those of you who have been trading for a while now you will know that this is actually your double bottom pattern right here which show us that price is failing to break past this level not once but twice which means that this is a very strong level and price is gonna go up now yup so basically once you see any one of those patterns and then you see price has officially come back to retest this level your structural high that is when you enter for the trade if you still do not get it let me show you another example so this time round price is in the downtrend and you can see price has just broken under structural law which is right here this is your structural law because this was the lowest point before price starts retracing and now price is just broke through the structural low remember you do not want to enter or sell here yet because you want to wait for price to come back up to re-test this structure were low and then that is when you can enter for the trade so we still wait and see what happens okay you can see like price has come back down to re-test this structural low and it has given us your multiple weak rejections which is one of the patterns that we just discussed so yeah you can basically see that price is just rejecting this area right here this just shows us that buyers try to push the price all the way up here but failed miserably multiple times which gave us this multiple rig rejections so we still wait and you can see right here price gave us a big fat red Candlestick with a long upper week right here restarts that you know what price is stop breaking past this level this retracement this mini retracement is done and we're gonna continue to go back down so this is when I will enter for a cell so sell right here place my stop loss above this key level that we have drawn and then place my take profit at three times my stop loss three times guys all the way down here and let's look at how this trade play out right there baby we have just smashed our take profits so for the next example I'm just gonna do this unfiltered you can see that price has just been in a downtrend because price is making your lower highs and lower low so price has just broke past the structural low jump so the structural low is like somewhere right around here this is the lowest point the price went to so around this entire area is your structural low so we are waiting for price to come back up to re-test disable so we still wait and you can see right here this is when price came back up all the way up here and it gave us a super long red candle which show us that buyers push the price all the way up here but Phil the sellers just come in and say hell no and push the price back down so at this point of time you could enter for ourselves right here somewhere right around here enter for sale here place your stop loss above this key area that we have drawn right here place or take profit at three times your stop-loss which could be all the way down here and let's look at what price does next so you can see price actually come back up to retest this same aerial and gave us multiple weak rejections once again so at this point of time you could have entered for another cell position right here you can enter for another cell position when he gave you some sort of confirmation like right here big bearish engulfing Candlestick after multiple weak rejections enter for sale now we have two cell version running till take profit once again based on take profit same right here and look at how this trade play out price absolutely collapse and smash your take profit you can see right your price actually came back up here to re-test this new structural load that is being formed and it gave us multiple weak rejections again so you could have entered for another cell position right here somewhere right around here and just take it down so just repeat rinse and repeat this strategy but but this strategy is not live you are just bar replaying it I'm gonna be 100 honest with you and tell you that this strategy does not work all the time sometimes it does not work like example when the market is going crazy this strategy will not work no strategy works all the time for this break and retest strategy to work you need to be patient and wait for this perfect trade setups and the market will reward you but if you are just like anyhow trading and you just see price we tested that level and there's no confirmation and you just enter for the trade guess what you're gonna lose because you are not patient enough to wait for information literally no trading Guru will be dishonest with you they will all just tell you that oh my God just use my strategy it works all the time you will make millions you know what I will get so much more views if I tell you that this strategy works all the time but I'm not I'm choosing to be my authentic self because that's the point of this YouTube channel is so that I can be 100 transparent and honest with you boys review brothers and sisters so make sure that you practice proper risk management and you will be profitable even if you lose half of the time so if you want to learn more about price action strategy you can check out this video right here where I literally revealed to you my trendline break strategy check out this video right here and smash on the like button if you enjoyed this video and click on that subscribe button welcome to the tribe and remember you're just one trade away
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