T
The 3:30 / 5-EMA Touch (Dr Devendra)
Dr Devendra
Analysed 01 Jul 2026, 11:31 PM IST
Detected components (auto-read from transcript)
Claims it makes (quotes pulled from the transcript)
- “On the 30-minute chart with a 5-EMA, price 'always reverts to touch the 5-EMA intraday.' So when price opens far from the EMA, fade the gap and trade back toward it (target = the EMA touch, entry off the first candle's 50% Fib).”
Verdict
The central claim is actually TRUE, and we verified it: price touched the 5-EMA on 99.9% of stock-days. The video isn't lying about that part.
How we tested it
Mechanized on 48 Nifty-50 stocks, 5-min resampled to 30-min, 2 years, with the real Zerodha intraday cost model. We verified the 'always touches' claim directly AND tested whether fading the gap is profitable — 15,518 trades.
But it's true for a useless reason — a 5-period EMA on 30-min bars hugs price so closely that the EMA moves to meet the price; the 'touch' isn't price reverting to you, so you can't monetise it. Trading it is one of the worst results in our whole study: −0.53R per trade, −₹4.1 million over 15,518 trades, negative every year including 2026. The gap-fade is stopped out 68% of the time before the touch ever helps. A perfectly true claim worth absolutely nothing.
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