Full transcript (4204 words)
Okay, here's the deal. Today, I'm going to show you a trading strategy that I would use right now in this market if I wanted to make a,000 bucks every single day. This is a strategy that I would go to even if I was starting from zero, even if I had blown a few accounts and was starting from scratch. This right here is where I would start. Now, I get that a lot of you are probably thinking that a strategy that makes a,000 bucks a day with that type of performance, it has to be complicated or that it takes years to master. But it really doesn't because this strategy is stupidly simple and it has helped me and traders from all over the world that I have taught it to to make consistent profits in their trading. People who started with zero experience, people who had been chewed up and spit out by the market and a lot of them turned it around using this strategy. My name is Carl and I've been trading for 20 years. The strategy that I want to walk you through today is called walking with the whales. And it's based on one thing and one thing only, whales. A whale is a large institutional trader that make large scale trades. Typically a thousand to 10,000 times bigger than the average trader in the market. So what we do in this strategy is to join these big institutions to join the same team as these big institutions and then we are just um simply going to copy their trades. So um the concept is very simple. Why try to identify good entry levels by ourselves when we have huge institutions with a lot of resources that does it for us? What we do is just simply to uh follow them. I can testify that this strategy, even though it's stupidly simple, it's one of the most effective strategies that I have. And since I started teaching it, it has become one of the most popular ones. The only problem that I see with this strategy is that it's so simple and it's so brain dead that you might get bored executing it. But I promise you that you will not find it boring when you see those capital gains on your account. It's so simple, it's so stupid, but it's so effective. But don't just take my word for it. When you have watched this video, you will be able to just pick any stock, go back in time, and count how many times we win and how many times we lose using this strategy. And I'm sure that you will want to trade it live. So today, I will show you everything that I have learned about how to walk with the whales over my two decade trading career, including one thing that I have never shared before. And later today, by the end of the video, I will trade this strategy on camera so that you can put the final pieces together yourself. So that way when the video is over, you can honestly look at it and go, "This is stupidly simple." And why will you think that? Well, because this strategy only requires taking two steps and following three rules. First step is to identify these whale levels correctly. Otherwise, we're going to be slightly off, which are going to make our trades slightly off. But don't worry, doing this is simple. And uh we do that by drawing a box from yesterday's low up to yesterday's high and then we extend it 2 days into the future. Let me show you how. So open a chart of whatever stock you want to trade. For today I will use Nvidia. I don't care what's up here. It could be anything. So all you need to do from here is to grab a drawing tool. Pro real time that I'm using has this box tool built in. So I will draw the box from the lowest price point that I see week included and I will connect it to the highest price point that I see just like that and then I extend it two days into the future like this. So these are your two whale levels. So the high of the day, the low of the day we extend it and that's it. So I did this on the five minute time frame but you can switch down to whatever time frame that you like. The 1 minute, the 5 minute, the 30 minute and whatever you want. The step doesn't change. Now, if this was your first day trading this stock, you will only have this one box here that you just drew. But if you're continuously trading this stock, you will have the high and low boxes for previous days as well. And that's actually exactly what we want. In fact, for this strategy, we want to use the high and low levels for two days. So, yesterday and the day before that, which will give us a total of four different levels. So, let me go ahead and draw a second box quickly from the high to the low and extend it to days. So this is all for step one. You just box in yesterday's high to low and you extend it two days. And if this is the first time you're trading this stock, you also have to do it for the day before that. And that's it. So let me give you another example. This is the morning of June 29th and you're about to trade Apple. You haven't traded it before. So you need to box in not only yesterday's range, but the day range before that, too. So I take the box drawing tool. I draw a box from the high of yesterday. that was about 286 bucks down to the low of yesterday that was around 273 bucks. And then I extend the box so that it covers the whole of June 29th and the whole of June 30th. I then do the same with the day before that which was Friday, June 25th. So from up here at 294 bucks down to the low here at 274 bucks. And then I extended two trading days. So June 26th and June 29th. So if we zoom out a bit, you can now see that we have two boxes and we have a total of 1 2 3 four different whale levels. And this is what we want. These are the whale levels and this is what we will work with in this strategy. We need no other levels. We need no other indicators. We need no other setups. So now when the boxes are drawn, let me talk to you about what these levels actually mean. Here I have two trading days. This cluster of candlesticks is one day of price movements. And this cluster of candlesticks is the next day. So both of these boxes have three parts. We have the top, we have the bottom, and we have the middle. Starting with the top. The top of that box is the strongest sellside force, which is the reason that the price bounced on that level and sold off. In plain terms, the biggest, strongest, most wellfunded whale is sitting up there near the top of the box. The bottom of the box is uh the opposite here. The most wellunded, strongest buyside force is sitting i.e. the strongest buyer whale. Right? So top of the box strongest seller, bottom of the box, strongest buyer. and the center of the box. Yeah, that's just noise, confusion, indecision, and you will not find any waves getting in in the center of the box. So, real quick, top strongest buyer, bottom strongest seller, and center nothing. By the way, I have coded an indicator that draws these boxes automatically in per real time. It's also available for Trading View and for Ninja Trader. There's a link to indicator in the description of the video. Now with that, let's get into how you actually make a strong trade based on this. This is the part that I love and uh it's also the part that uh the people that I teach you to love because this step, which is also the second and the last step, is so simple and you only need to follow three rules to get the trade right. Rule number one, if the asset that you're trading is close to at or above one of these two boxes, then you don't buy it. Don't buy at the top because again these high levels are where the strongest best funded seller whales has shown their intentions. So ask yourself why would you buy into this area that the whole market can see right next to a known big seller. You're walking into the lion's den and you will get run over. Rule number two. If the asset that you're trading is close to at or below the bottom of one of these two boxes, don't sell it. Simple, right? just don't sell it. Same reasoning, but just flip because the biggest, most wellfunded buyer whale is sitting down here. And why would you short right at the strongest buyer? You will get run over there, too. Rule number three is the center. And we call this do not ddle in the middle. And it's about as self-explanatory as it gets. Just don't trade here. And here's why. Because up at the top, in my experience, the odds are that the seller whale is coming back. maybe let's say 80% of the time. Down at the bottom, the odds are that the buyer is coming back again, let's say around 80% of the time. Those are known market levels. And in the middle, you simply don't have that information. So, you might have a 70 to 80% win rate at the top, uh 70 to 80% win rate at the bottom, but it's basically just a coin flip here in the middle. It's noise, it's confusion, and you simply don't have any edge going in at this level. Now, these numbers are my experience and how I often see it play out. Again, not all of the time, but most of the time, but honestly, don't just take my word for it. Pull up your own charts, draw your own boxes, and count your own trades. That's the only way that you will believe it. Now, I know that some of you will go, Carl, I've seen stock prices just shooting straight up through the box or straight down through the bottom of the box or just hanging around the middle. Yeah, you are right. It happens. But what you do is that you count how many times that happens and you compare it to how many times it doesn't happen and that's your win rate. The point being that trading is not about perfection. It's about probabilities. And over time, if you go with the most likely outcome, selling with the big seller up top, buying with the big buyer down low, and skipping those little garbage breadcrumb scalps in the middle, I'm sure you will go a long way as a trader. Nothing is ever perfect, but you will win more than you lose. And that's the whole game of trading. Talk is cheap. Let's uh put these levels to the test so that you can start trusting this strategy yourself. This is not a master class in entries. I'm just simply showing you how important these whale levels are. So for these examples, we're simply just going to enter our trades at these levels trade on. And we can of course improve the strategy. And I will show you one way to do that later, which is a way that I have never shared with anyone before. But for now, we will keep it simple. Back to our Apple chart. So, this is how we actually would have traded this day, the 29th of June. Again, this is Apple, so you can go back to this day yourself and verify what I'm about to show you. So, here are the two boxes. Here are our levels. So, this is 5 minutes before the open. We already have a bunch of candles here from the pre-market. But aside from not only diddling in the middle, I prefer to not ddle around in the low volume pre-market where the spreads are high and the volume is low. So we are at the opening here and we are already at this level which is the high of yesterday's range. Quick quiz. This one should be a layup. Your hands are tied behind your back. You have to take a decision based on what you have learned in this video so far. Do you buy? Do you sell? Or do you do nothing? Hopefully you said sell because the price is at the top of the box. This area here is where the strongest seller has shown his intentions. So, we are going to enter the short trade here at the close of this candle. I will set a $1 stop loss and I will set a $6 target profit. So, this is a riskreward ratio of 1 to6. Of course, I know that this is going to be a win for the sake of the demonstration. So, we reached our target profit here 3 hours later. This is the end of the day and we had no more trade opportunities. We stayed within this box for the rest of the day. So, what do we do now? Well, we wake up the next morning and the first thing we want to do is to box in yesterday's range. So, from the high here to the low here and then we extend it 2 days into the future. If you want to have the short clean, we can also remove this old box. Now, again, I don't want to ddle around in this pre-market. So, let's go to the opening. So, this is 5 minutes before the market open and we are exactly at this level, which is the low level of yesterday. So quiz number two, this one should also be a layup. Your hands are tied behind your back. You have to take a decision based on what you have learned so far. Do you buy? Do you sell or do you do nothing? Now you might have hesitated because this is a big red candle here and the market looks pretty weak. That's the trap. It looks like it would break out of the box. What kind of fool goes long here when the candle looks like this? Well, you do because the strongest, most wellfunded known buyer whale from yesterday is sitting right here. So we enter a long trade here and see what happens. We get a reversal here. We shoot straight up. You will get run over walking into a short position here almost every time. And most of you have experienced exactly this. And so have I. And if we play the day even further, we can see that we reached the top of yesterday's box here, which is where I would have taken the profit. So look at these two trades again. This is the edge of the strategy. You simply lean on the strongest seller here and you lean on the strongest buyer here and it will keep you out of trouble. Now, a lot of you are thinking, Carl, you are cherry-picking charts here. This only works on this stock or in this market or on this time frame or I mean this week or whatever. I mean, of course, this strategy works better in certain periods on certain stocks in certain market conditions just like all strategies. But let me show you how this strategy has performed on Apple on this whole month. So this is the full month of June 2026. We have a total of 19 trades with a 63% win rate with a gain and loss ratio of 3.17. And this is simply by entering long trades at the low levels and entering short trades at the high levels and not diddling in the middle. Okay. So as you understand looking at a single trade or a single stock or a single month bears no statistical significance. So we want to try it on more stocks. What I've shown you is the most simple version of this strategy where we enter a long trade whenever the price reaches the bottom and we enter a short trade whenever the price reaches the top. Of course, we can make better trades than this. But again, this video is not a master class on entries or exits. This video is about showing you how significant these whale levels are and how strong the edge is. But of course, we can improve it further. But whatever you do, please don't wait for reversal patterns or confirmations before you enter your trades. If you do, I've found that you usually get into the trade way too late. And this is the experience of Dr. David Paul 2. >> Institutional traders are taught from their first day that they buy good levels or they don't buy at all. Unfortunately, most retail traders will wait for some confirmation before they get in. That could be a candle pattern, could be a moving average cross or whatever. One of the ways that you can improve the strategy which I haven't shared to anyone before and which I have found improves the results of the strategy on all stocks and all commodities that I've tested it on is to use a simple time filter that says that you're only allowed to enter a trade if it happens within a certain time interval. There's no time interval that fits all stocks. So, you need to do your own research on the asset that you want to trade. It could be whatever. It could be the first hour of the day. It could be the last 3 hours of the day. It could be the lunch hour or whatever. But all stocks and all assets has certain time intervals where this strategy performs better. If we go back to Apple for example, allowing trades only through the ordinary market hours is better. For Tesla, the afternoon is better. For currency, often the morning is better. So, make sure you do your own back test of whatever asset that you want to trade, but you don't have to. It also works without this time filter. Okay. So, before I dive into some live trading using this strategy, one question that I get a lot and that you also might ask yourself is, what do I do if the price breaks out of the box? And the answer is as simple as the question, you don't trade for the rest of the day. The levels are now invalid, which means that you either need to trade another stock or wait for the next day. Okay, guys. I want to trade this together live with you. It's already after lunch and I have some other stuff to do now. So, I will be back in a few hours to trade this at the market open. Okay, so I was planning to trade Nvidia yesterday, but uh we didn't get any trading opportunities and I ended up doing other stuff. So this is actually the day after which is July 2nd and it's about 10 minutes until the opening. For the purpose of demonstration, I have removed all boxes here. So what I want to start with is to draw a box of yesterday's range. So I will draw it from the low here at 193.52 bucks to the high around here at 200.01 bucks. And then I extend it into today and the next day. So total of two days. And I then do another box for the day before yesterday. So from the low here at 195.15 to the high here at 200.6 bucks and then I extended two days. Okay. So let's see what happens. We are now a few minutes until the market open. We are about to open here in a few seconds. Okay. So, we open up in the middle of these two boxes. We get a strong bullish candle here. And I must say that I really like how these two boxes align today. Both the high levels and the low levels are close together, which gives these levels even more significance. So, what we're going to do here is to enter a long trade if the price reaches one of those two levels down here. Or we enter a short trade if the price goes up here to one of the two high levels. Let's fast forward to see if we get any trade opportunities today. Okay, here we are getting close to the first high level. It's about 30 minutes after the open. So, what I want to do is simply to enter a short trade if the price actually reaches this level because this is where the strongest most wellunded seller has shown his intentions and I simply just want to lean on that whale. Okay, here we go. Price is at the level I enter a short trade. I will place the stop loss above this other high level here. So, that's about 0.6 bucks in stop- loss. Let's set the target profit to the low of the box here, which is at 193.52 bucks. So, that's a 0.6 bucks stop- loss with a 7 bucks target profit, which is a riskreward ratio of even more than 1 to 10. Let's see how it plays out, guys. This looks good. We are now 1 hour after the open and uh around 30 minutes since we opened the trade. You know what? I'm going to uh move the stop loss now to the middle of the box here to secure that gain. So, this means that we already have a win, but from here, I'm just going to let it run. So, we already reached like half of our initial target profit. Okay, so we actually reached the target profit here at the bottom of the box. It's now around 11:00 a.m. So, this was a great trade. Trade was around 2 hours. And that's it. We made another win simply by just walking with the whales and copying the trade. Actually, I want to see if it goes even further. Let's see. Okay, guys. It's now 1:00 p.m. and we are actually even down below the other box here, which means we could have set an even bigger target profit. But let's not get greedy. Let's be happy what we what we actually got. But please notice the pattern over and over. We are testing the biggest seller. We are testing the biggest buyer. The price bounces back. And this is happening again and again. We use no other candlesticks. We use no other theories. Nothing that takes 19 million hours to figure out. and we still make pretty solid trades. And I'm sure that you will be consistent too with your capital gains when you use this strategy after you have made your own back test on the asset that you want to trade simply by just following the two steps, drawing the two boxes, and following the three rules. But please make sure that you actually back test the asset that you want to trade. Count the number of wins, count the number of losses, and make sure that the strategy is historically profitable on the asset that you want to trade. By the way, I've actually coded this strategy in per real time, which means that you can run this strategy in automated mode. You will find a link to that trading algorithm in the description of the video. It's free, but in return, perhaps you could subscribe to the channel and like this video. It's really helpful and um I appreciate it. Thank you. So, I will wrap it up here. It's been a pleasure again to walk you through my favorite simple trading strategies. I hope you see why I call it stupidly simple. You are a seller at the top, you are a buyer at the bottom, and in the middle, you do nothing. That's the three rules. One last note before I go. This is an edge. It's not a guarantee, and historic results are no guarantee for future results. Don't just trust my words for it. You need to do your own due diligence before running this strategy. Okay, guys. Take care. Trade well. I just realized that if you want to start trading this strategy quickly, go pick a chart tonight, draw the box, and uh just watch the open tomorrow. Don't trade it. Just watch it and you will see what happens.