$1 to $8.494 | Binary Options Trading Strategy — backtested on Indian market data | FakeTrades
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$1 to $8.494 | Binary Options Trading Strategy

Katie Tutorials · watch on YouTube ↗
Analysed 31 Oct 2026, 01:34 PM IST
★★☆☆☆ 2.0 / 5
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Heads up: this strategy was originally created for the forex market. We applied the exact same logic to Indian stocks & indices and the backtest completed successfully — every result below is on Indian market data.

Why 2.0/5? (stars grade the EDGE — per-trade expectancy, consistency, drawdown — not the headline return)

  • ✕ Roughly ZERO per-trade edge (+0.02R) — real costs eat whatever is there
  • ✕ Only 31% of trades win — the rare big winners must keep showing up
  • ✕ 5 of 9 tested years were negative (2018, 2019, 2022, 2025) — the edge is regime-dependent
  • ✕ Max drawdown -74% on the ₹2L portfolio — the compounded return came with deep pain along the way

Detected components (auto-read from transcript)

SMA/MARSI

Verdict

Auto-backtested. AI-decoded: 2/5 moving average crossover on 2-min forex bars, confirmed by RSI midline stability and fractal signals. Ran on 159 large/mid-caps, real costs. 27,900 trades, win 31%, payoff 2.43, expectancy +0.02R/trade (avg -0.06%/trade).

This is essentially breakeven. Regime-dependent — positive in only 44% of years.

Mechanically decoded from the transcript and scored from the metrics. Flagged for human review; a hand-vetted verdict can override it.

See strategies that scored 4★+ →
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Is it profitable? (green above the line = made money, red below = lost it)

₹2,00,000 portfolio (max 5 positions, across the stock universe — real delivery costs)

Return-72.7%
CAGR-15.1%
Max drawdown-73.8%
Trades1428 · 296 won
₹200,000 → ₹54,523  ·  2018-07-09 → 2026-06-08
201820192020202120222023202420252026
-19%-35%-11%+26%-30%+6%-19%-15%-10%

Simulated on the 159 large/mid-cap universe. Capital-constrained, daily mark-to-market.

Year by year (every trade the rules fired, across the tested stocks)

YearTradesWin %ExpectancyAvg return / trade
2018164627% -0.06R -0.67%
2019343628% -0.04R -0.44%
2020336036% +0.17R +1.06%
2021350533% +0.10R +0.38%
2022344330% -0.01R -0.34%
2023355234% +0.13R +0.33%
2024363431% +0.00R -0.23%
2025385028% -0.07R -0.63%
2026147426% -0.09R -0.56%

Where this strategy made & lost money (the full stock-by-stock breakdown — 158 stocks, incl. 2026)

#StockTradesWin%Avg/tradeBestTotal2026
1 ████████ 16832% +4.2% +209% +699% +39%
2 ████████ 15936% +1.0% +37% +159% +39%
3 ████████ 6219% -1.2% +31% -72% +34%
4 ████████ 16937% +3.0% +158% +506% +33%
5 ████████ 16632% +0.8% +55% +135% +28%
6 ████████ 16333% +0.5% +42% +82% +26%
7 ████████ 18927% +1.5% +83% +292% +25%
8 OFSS free peek 18727% -0.0% +43% -6% +25%
9 ████████ 16735% +0.8% +46% +140% +24%
10 ████████ 16532% +1.4% +68% +226% +23%
11 ████████ 18426% -0.7% +20% -123% +23%
12 ████████ 16931% +2.0% +94% +346% +21%
13 ████████ 18733% +0.4% +34% +66% +21%
14 ████████ 18528% +0.3% +27% +47% +21%
15 ████████ 16925% +0.0% +29% +3% +21%
16 ████████ 17129% +0.1% +26% +9% +15%
17 ████████ 17131% +0.7% +39% +120% +13%
18 ████████ 19825% -0.9% +24% -182% +13%
19 ████████ 17930% +0.1% +30% +15% +12%
20 ████████ 17931% +0.5% +60% +92% +11%
21 ████████ 17433% +0.2% +24% +36% -39%
22 ████████ 17734% -0.1% +40% -23% -35%
23 ████████ 17928% -0.4% +22% -66% -33%
24 ████████ 18728% -0.4% +29% -69% -30%
25 ████████ 17428% -0.4% +30% -68% -30%
26 ████████ 18832% -0.1% +22% -18% -30%
27 ████████ 18525% -0.4% +30% -79% -29%
28 ████████ 18027% -0.3% +37% -57% -27%
29 ████████ 20325% -0.4% +70% -90% -26%
30 ████████ 18830% -0.3% +22% -62% -26%
You can see the numbers — see the names. Unlock every stock in this breakdown and download it as Excel. The worst stock in this table returned -182% under these exact rules — one wrong pick costs many times the unlock.

Educational backtest output only — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. AI-generated from stored historical data; not 100% accurate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

On the index (same rules applied to NIFTY & BANKNIFTY)

IndexTradesWin%Expectancy (R/trade)Avg return/trade
NIFTY24832% -0.05R -0.38%
BANKNIFTY24833% -0.01R -0.25%
Full transcript (2227 words)
Hello friends and welcome back to my  channel. in today's video i want to show you   a high profitability strategy that i use often.   uh this method is not difficult to do and has  amazing results. so i will explain in detail   all the entry moments and hope you will  like it. so, now i have to withdraw 10 804$ and leave only one dollar on the  balance. i will start trading from one dollar   and if i win the money whatever i earn  at the end of the video i will show you   the withdrawal of the winning money. so uh watch  the video to the end. don't miss it because i think   good moments are waiting for you. now,  switch to the real account. I set four   indicators and they are fractal,  moving average double and RSI. i set the fractal period to 4. then i set the moving average period to two,  leave the SMA below and change the color to   white for example and thicken lines. that's all. i change the period of the second moving average and   set it to 5. below i'll leave  SMA, change color to blue,   thicken it and that's all. as for the RSI  period it also changes and i set it to   13. um because i want the middle line to  be less moving. i leave the colors the same anD thicken all lines for more visibility. so let's  move on to uh one of the highlights of the   strategy. i put the candles on for two minutes as  it's essential to run the method correctly.   while trading at one minute intervals and set the time  at one minute. now let's look at a good moment and   here it is also a wonderful moment to  enter. as all the indicators point to.   i want to tell you that at this point i can  make a few entries if i like the stability of   the market and if the indicators don't change  the signals. now i want to uh slowly expand   this strategy and explain the importance  of each indicators. first of all guys   you should know that the fractal indicator has  the function of an auxiliary indicator and it's   not used as the main indicator. the RSI used  as a determinant of currency stability and   its midline if it's neither overbuying nor  overselling position it will be an ideal signal to   enter and should be monitored. great i won and  as i said i will continue trading here again as   the indicators um point to this. observe the  fractal indicator gives a signal from the   bottom up. also the blue and white lines  of the moving average intersect and go   in an upward direction and as i told you  to look at the main stability indicator RSI   whose midline intersects neither the upper  line nor the lower line, goes steadily in the   middle. this is an indication that no extra  activity is taking place on the currency pair. and it ended in a profit again and i still  want to continue trading in this currency.   the platform made the faint red candle and the most  likely the candles we start moving upwards again.   i think so. the second factor why i decided to  enter uh the trade here again is that the trend   has not changed and the indicators are giving the  same signal again. based on these factors i think   the candles will go up again and it's happening  because it was the right analysis at the moment.   great! we won again. well it's time to move i think  on the other currency pairs and see other good   moments that will further expand this strategy  and i want to show you other details that i will   focus on. definitely a very good moment when you  enter the trade earlier for example when the lines   of the Moving Average have a new intersection with  each other but it doesn't depend on us.   for example, guys i consider this moment to  be one of the best in this strategy because   it does the mountain. the RSI middle line moves  steadily in the middle uh and the Moving Average   white and blue lines intersect and they go down.  uh these factors give me a signal here that the   chances of going up are much smaller than and the  candles will most likely go down. so during such   signals even a green candle which obviously  has no power strengthens my belief that there is   high probability of a downward trend. so it can be  said that RSI is also the main signal function in   this method. this feature will help you a lot in  trading different currency pairs to understand   if you are dealing with an excess buying or selling  or if there is a stable market. and great i won.   all right. let's move on to another  currency pair and hopefully we meet   um a relatively different moment. this moment  is completely different from the previous ones   because the RSI is in an upward situation here  and i advise beginners not to trade with this   method in such moments. in short, at the moment i  could not call it the best in the strategy but   i have noticed the market stabilized  here with the last six candles and   at the same time the lines of Moving Average  intersect each other. so this gives me a reason   to enter into the trade. so i won here  too. it's wonderful. as you can see the   method is perfect if you use it correctly. uh  so guys i think it's the same moment as before   but here the fractal signal is added and further  enhances the chances of a downward situation   starting. i would like to pay attention to another  factor when the market is in an upward situation   uh and the candle start to stabilize and move in  one line. note that there is a high probability of   changing the trend. of course if all this is  accompanied by signals from specific indicators.   i call such actions market reversals. so i will try  to explain a lot more in the following moments and   expand on this topic. so great job. the next win  again and again and it's wonderful. so it's time to   see better moment and show you another different  moments if i meet of course. i like this moment. uh the yellow line in the middle  of the RSI has stabilized and   the lines of the moving average intersect.  if you still don't understand how to do the analysis uh take my advice. always try to  analyze the different timelines of the diagram.   so when analyzing the market you can  focus on different timelines of the   graph. sometimes the odds can  be less obvious on a small   chart but more obvious if you zoom in and  look at the bigger picture or vice versa.   great. a hundred percent profit. it's wonderful.  so let's um switch to other currency pairs and look what will happen. this is the good moment  that mostly in this strategy if we enter the um   trade correctly here are a few things to keep  in mind: first, look at how perfectly and steadily   the RSI middle line goes. second, look at the  mountain was done perfectly if you look at   the candles from previous period this is a good  signal and the third, moving average white and   blue lines are at the point of intersection. um,  so, we enter the trade on time. we are not late   and i think this is wonderful. and i think it  must end in wining. as i said i entered the   trade on time. i was not late and the result  ended with an obvious victory. in many cases   the correct analysis ends with such results.  so what was the previous moment it's almost   the same moment with just one difference. the faint  red candle is made here, guys and it which has   no power. it's very important to enter the trade  in such moments. it's a great chance of winning.   as for the asset terms that you were told it  can help you confirm the trend and make a better   informed decisions. also i told you almost the  same function is performed by RSI in this method. oh my god. great. i have already risen to   290 dollars and i hope i win more and more.  so i think guys i caught a wonderful moment   and enter the trade on time here as well. this  is also very important. in short-term trading   there is not much time to make a decision.  sometimes everything has to be resolved    in seconds and thinking too long can be harmful  for your trading. it's important to be able to   analyze the risk quickly as well. so preparing  your trading plan in advance and uh refraining   from rushing decisions are crucial components  of better short-term trending techniques .  so you have a lot to learn and refine  in trading. also watch my other videos.   you will learn a lot and understand different  methods that you did not know before and then   you will combine different strategies uh  together. so i'm going to be here as well.   so i won and i'm slowly moving towards bigger  amounts and i need more attention to place the   right deals. of course there are more psychological  moments as well. uh it's really difficult. so guys,   i like this moment and i will trade for uh 534  dollars. if i had entered earlier it would   have been much better and i would have won. but  it's not too late now. as the faint green candle   did uh in the previous moments. this is one  of the signs that the trend will go down even   more and the candles will continue to  move down. so let's see what will happen so i think, i think i won here too. 940 dollars.  excellent. i'm moving forward well and   i want to continue like this to the end. so here  i'll be trading with all my money uh right now   because uh that is where fractal sign comes in.  uh watch out for the perfectly done mountain   and the fractal sign that points down the  trend. also the lines of moving average below   and the fractal mark intersect and have a  downward direction. and that gave me a reason   to enter that trade. i won, it's  wonderful. i love this method, guys.   arrived for the perfect moment on time. here i am  going to trade first with um a thousand dollars   and then i will add 700 as well. guys i think  that good trading decisions cannot be uh based on intuition. they must be based on  a good assessment of the terms.   so any entry points must be confirmed by  technical and fundamental analysis. improving   your trading psychology means that you are  ready to spend time analyzing and putting   your conclusions into practice. so guys, working  on your trading psychology is very important   if you are to become a better trader and  if you want to improve your trading results. and i think i am going to win. the right analysis  and then excellent profits. i already have three   thousand and two hundred dollars. so let's trade  here with three thousand and what i wanted to   say um to you again this strategy has a special  function. here we are not focused on the transition   to specific candles. uh the key here is to get  the right entry points, the right signals and   the right analysis. i personally prefer market  stability in this method and then other factors   but that does not mean that market stability  is the key in this method. this is not the case.   so here as well the candle is going up. this trade ended with the wonderful and  convincing profit. i love such moments. so wonderful moment. in this case we see a strong  buying candle. with all the indicators pointing   to the continuation of this trend and i will  enter the trade this time for half the amount   with three thousand dollars. because in case  of loss the money is left to continue trading   uh of course to get back uh the lost money. but  this is um just a guess and i have not had any   losses yet. i think i have one of the excellent  trades in this video uh because i have a very   large profit and it makes me very happy to  raise a very large sum from just one dollar.   i'm really satisfied. excellent. another win  is amazing and for one dollar i climbed to   eight thousand four hundred and ninety four  dollars. i don't have such moments very often guys   even as an experienced uh trader and i  am very happy now. as i promised at the beginning   of the video i will withdraw the money and i won  and leave only 200 dollars for the next videos. so i think i developed the  strategy well and at the   same time we talked about psychological moments.  you can even rate my work, like the video, subscribe   to the channel and if you think my  videos will help other traders share   them as more traders can see them. so see  you in the next video. thank you. goodbye! <3

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